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Necaxa v Toluca, Liga MX, Mon, 28 Oct 2024: statistics and head to head

2024-25. Mon, 28 Oct 2024

NecaxaHome
13Full time
TolucaAway

Toluca won by 2 goals.

LDWDDLeague form, oldest to newestWDWDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Victoria Stadium. Photo: AntoFran, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Necaxa have 6 scored home results and Toluca 6 scored away results stored in 2024-25. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Necaxa at home: 1.67 points per match (6 measured matches); Toluca away: 1.50 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Necaxa scored 1.83 per home match (6 measured matches); Toluca scored 1.00 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.29 per club appearance across 248 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 12 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Necaxa: 2 wins; Toluca: 4 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. A complete half-time score is not stored either.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
Necaxa wins
4
Draws
4
Toluca wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
30 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Necaxa clean sheets
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Toluca clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Necaxa v TolucaSat, 10 Feb 2024 · Liga MX 2023-243–3
  2. Toluca v NecaxaSun, 2 Jul 2023 · Liga MX 2023-240–0
  3. Toluca v NecaxaSun, 30 Apr 2023 · Liga MX 2022-233–0
  4. Necaxa v TolucaSat, 2 Jul 2022 · Liga MX 2022-231–3
  5. Necaxa v TolucaSat, 5 Mar 2022 · Liga MX 2021-220–1
  6. Toluca v NecaxaThu, 21 Oct 2021 · Liga MX 2021-221–1
  7. Toluca v NecaxaSun, 24 Jan 2021 · Liga MX 2020-212–0
  8. Necaxa v TolucaSat, 31 Oct 2020 · Liga MX 2020-213–2
  9. Toluca v NecaxaSun, 19 Jan 2020 · Liga MX 2019-202–3
  10. Necaxa v TolucaThu, 29 Aug 2019 · Liga MX 2019-201–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Necaxa at home, Toluca away
  • 62%
    Both teams scored
    League 55%
    18 + 21 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    18 + 21 matches
  • 82%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    18 + 21 matches
  • 59%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 55%
    18 + 21 matches
  • 36%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 28%
    18 + 21 matches
  • 21%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 15%
    18 + 21 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.74
    18 + 21 matches

Stored season context, 2024-25

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2024-25

Necaxa at home, Toluca away
Necaxa (home)Toluca (away)
9Position3
LWWLDLast 5, oldest to newestWWLDD
18Played21
1.56Points per match1.48
44%Win %38%
1.72Scored / match1.57
1.39Conceded / match1.33
3.11Avg total goals2.90
67%Both scored57%
28%Clean sheets29%
17%Failed to score24%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

No half-time figures stored for these clubs this season.

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Necaxa at home, Toluca away, this season.

Goals

NecaxaToluca
  • 1.72Scored / match1.57
  • 1.39Conceded / match1.33
  • 3.11Match total / match2.90
  • 83%Scored 1+76%
  • 50%Scored 2+43%
  • 72%Conceded 1+71%
  • 39%Conceded 2+48%
  • 83%Match over 1.581%
  • 61%Match over 2.557%
  • 39%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2024-25

#ClubPGDPts
1Cruz Azul423888
2Club America473684
3Toluca424283
4Monterrey442275
5Tigres UANL401471
7Atl. San Luis38-555
8UNAM Pumas38053
9Necaxa36148
10Club Leon36-148
11Guadalajara Chivas35546
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga MX matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.