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Newcastle v Aston Villa, Premier League, Thu, 26 Dec 2024: statistics and head to head

2024-25. Thu, 26 Dec 2024

30Full time, half-time 1–0

Newcastle won by 3 goals.

WDWLLLeague form, oldest to newestLWWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

St James’ Park. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Newcastle have 8 scored home results and Aston Villa 8 scored away results stored in 2024-25. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Newcastle at home: 1.75 points per match (8 measured matches); Aston Villa away: 1.25 points per match (8 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Newcastle scored 1.50 per home match (8 measured matches); Aston Villa scored 1.38 away (8). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.51 per club appearance across 340 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 16 pooled club appearances (56.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Newcastle: 4 wins; Aston Villa: 4 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10
Second half20

The match in numbers

NewcastleAston Villa
  • 22Shots4
  • 8Shots on target1
  • 9Corners6
  • 15Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1

From shots to goals

Newcastle

  • Shots22
  • On target8
  • Goals3

36% of shots on target, 38% of those scored.

Aston Villa

  • Shots4
  • On target1
  • Goals0

25% of shots on target, 0% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Newcastle wins
2
Draws
4
Aston Villa wins
Goals / meeting
2.80
28 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Newcastle clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Aston Villa clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.90
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.50
10 with card data
  1. Aston Villa v NewcastleTue, 30 Jan 2024 · Premier League 2023-241–3HT 0–2
  2. Newcastle v Aston VillaSat, 12 Aug 2023 · Premier League 2023-245–1HT 2–1
  3. Aston Villa v NewcastleSat, 15 Apr 2023 · Premier League 2022-233–0HT 1–0
  4. Newcastle v Aston VillaSat, 29 Oct 2022 · Premier League 2022-234–0HT 1–0
  5. Newcastle v Aston VillaSun, 13 Feb 2022 · Premier League 2021-221–0HT 1–0
  6. Aston Villa v NewcastleSat, 21 Aug 2021 · Premier League 2021-222–0HT 1–0
  7. Newcastle v Aston VillaFri, 12 Mar 2021 · Premier League 2020-211–1HT 0–0
  8. Aston Villa v NewcastleSat, 23 Jan 2021 · Premier League 2020-212–0HT 2–0
  9. Newcastle v Aston VillaWed, 24 Jun 2020 · Premier League 2019-201–1HT 0–0
  10. Aston Villa v NewcastleMon, 25 Nov 2019 · Premier League 2019-202–0HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Newcastle at home, Aston Villa away
  • 45%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 82%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 81%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 66%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 57%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 29%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 18%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.93
    19 + 19 matches
  • 82%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 24%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 37%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 11.0
    Corners per match
    League 10.30
    19 + 19 matches
  • 79%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 71%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 71%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 60%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 58%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 48%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 4.9
    Cards per match
    League 4.19
    19 + 19 matches
  • 76%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 61%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 53%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 41%
    19 + 19 matches

Stored season context, 2024-25

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2024-25

Newcastle at home, Aston Villa away
Newcastle (home)Aston Villa (away)
5Position6
WWWWLLast 5, oldest to newestWWLWL
19Played19
2.00Points per match1.37
63%Win %42%
2.11Scored / match1.26
1.05Conceded / match1.63
3.16Avg total goals2.89
42%Both scored47%
42%Clean sheets26%
16%Failed to score26%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

NewcastleAston Villa
  • 1.111st half scored / match0.42
  • 0.371st half conceded / match0.58
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.84
  • 0.682nd half conceded / match1.05
  • 68%Leading at half-time21%
  • 95%1st half over 0.568%
  • 21%1st half over 1.526%
  • 84%2nd half over 0.595%
  • 58%2nd half over 1.553%
  • 53%Scored in both halves16%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Newcastle at home, Aston Villa away, this season.

Goals

NewcastleAston Villa
  • 2.11Scored / match1.26
  • 1.05Conceded / match1.63
  • 3.16Match total / match2.89
  • 84%Scored 1+74%
  • 58%Scored 2+37%
  • 58%Conceded 1+74%
  • 26%Conceded 2+58%
  • 79%Match over 1.584%
  • 63%Match over 2.568%
  • 32%Match over 3.526%

Shots and xG

NewcastleAston Villa
  • 15.58Shots for10.05
  • 12.53Shots against14.16
  • 5.16On target for3.37
  • 4.32On target against5.11
  • 14%Shot conversion13%

Corners

NewcastleAston Villa
  • 6.21Corners for4.74
  • 5.37Corners against5.68
  • 11.58Match total10.42
  • 90%Over 7.574%
  • 90%Over 8.568%
  • 74%Over 9.568%
  • 63%Over 10.553%
  • 42%Over 11.532%

Cards

NewcastleAston Villa
  • 2.11Cards for2.32
  • 3.16Cards against2.26
  • 5.26Match total4.58
  • 79%Over 2.590%
  • 79%Over 3.574%
  • 63%Over 4.542%
  • 47%Over 5.521%
  • 11.05Fouls committed11.11
Referee this season
A Taylor
Matches
30
Cards / match
3.13
30 matches
Over 3.5 cards
43%
30 matches
Over 4.5 cards
20%
30 matches
Fouls / match
21.37
30 matches

The table, 2024-25

#ClubPGDPts
3Man City382871
4Chelsea382169
5Newcastle382166
6Aston Villa38766
7Nott'm Forest381265
8Brighton38761
Full table →

Where to watch

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.