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Oriente Petrolero v The Strongest, División Profesional, Sun, 25 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 23. Sun, 25 Oct 2026

Oriente PetroleroHome
vKick-off 23:30 UTC
The StrongestAway
DLLWWLeague form, oldest to newestWWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Oriente Petrolero have 10 scored home results and The Strongest 10 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Oriente Petrolero at home: 2.20 points per match (10 measured matches); The Strongest away: 2.10 points per match (10 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Oriente Petrolero scored 2.10 per home match (10 measured matches); The Strongest scored 1.60 away (10). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.56 per club appearance across 320 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 10 of 20 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. Oriente Petrolero: 0 wins; The Strongest: 2 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 160 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Oriente Petrolero
1.49
Expected goals, The Strongest
1.28
Most likely score
1-1 (12%)
Three or more goals
52%
Both clubs score
56%
Oriente Petrolero score at least once
78%
The Strongest score at least once
72%
Season sample
21 and 20 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Oriente Petrolero win–
Draw–
The Strongest win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Oriente Petrolero goals, columns are The Strongest goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
06%8%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
19%12%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%9%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%4%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.88 goals) and away average (1.24 goals).

Sample. Oriente Petrolero 21 matches, The Strongest 20, the league 160, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 160 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.585.2%14.8%
2.563.0%37.0%
3.539.5%60.5%
4.520.4%79.6%

First-half goals · 160 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.3%24.7%
1.542.0%58.0%
2.513.6%86.4%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Oriente Petrolero wins
1
Draws
2
The Strongest wins
Goals / meeting
2.67
8 goals in 3 meetings
Both scored
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 2.5
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Oriente Petrolero clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
The Strongest clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Oriente Petrolero v The StrongestThu, 1 Oct 2026 · Copa Bolivia 20261–1HT 1–1
  2. The Strongest v Oriente PetroleroWed, 19 Aug 2026 · Copa Bolivia 20262–1HT 1–0
  3. The Strongest v Oriente PetroleroThu, 16 Jul 2026 · División Profesional 20262–1HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Oriente Petrolero at homeLWWDWW
The Strongest awayWLWWDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
  • 64%
    Both teams scored
    League 62%
    21 + 20 matches
  • 93%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    21 + 20 matches
  • 81%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    21 + 20 matches
  • 66%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 63%
    21 + 20 matches
  • 39%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 39%
    21 + 20 matches
  • 20%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 20%
    21 + 20 matches
  • 3.1
    Avg total goals
    League 3.12
    21 + 20 matches
  • 81%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    21 + 20 matches
  • 51%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 42%
    21 + 20 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
Oriente PetroleroThe Strongest
4Position3
DLLWWLast 5, oldest to newestWWWWW
21Played20
1.57Points per match2.10
48%Win %60%
1.76Scored / match1.95
1.29Conceded / match1.10
3.05Avg total goals3.05
57%Both scored70%
29%Clean sheets30%
14%Failed to score15%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Oriente PetroleroThe Strongest
  • 0.901st half scored / match0.85
  • 0.621st half conceded / match0.65
  • 0.862nd half scored / match1.10
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match0.45
  • 29%Leading at half-time30%
  • 81%1st half over 0.580%
  • 52%1st half over 1.550%
  • 86%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 48%2nd half over 1.555%
  • 29%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Both clubs, every match this season.

Goals

Oriente PetroleroThe Strongest
  • 1.76Scored / match1.95
  • 1.29Conceded / match1.10
  • 3.05Match total / match3.05
  • 86%Scored 1+85%
  • 52%Scored 2+55%
  • 71%Conceded 1+70%
  • 48%Conceded 2+30%
  • 81%Match over 1.580%
  • 67%Match over 2.565%
  • 38%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for División Profesional matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.