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Orihuela v Deportiva Minera, Segunda Federación, Sun, 2 May 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 33. Sun, 2 May 2027

OrihuelaHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Deportiva MineraAway
WDLLLLeague form, oldest to newestDDLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Orihuela have 3 scored home results and Deportiva Minera 2 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Orihuela at home: 1.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Deportiva Minera away: 0.50 points per match (2 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Orihuela scored 0.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Deportiva Minera scored 0.00 away (2). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.28 per club appearance across 456 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 1 of 5 pooled club appearances (20.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Orihuela: 0 wins; Deportiva Minera: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 228 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Orihuela
1.05
Expected goals, Deportiva Minera
2.05
Most likely score
1-2 (10%)
Three or more goals
60%
Both clubs score
57%
Orihuela score at least once
65%
Deportiva Minera score at least once
87%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Orihuela win–
Draw–
Deportiva Minera win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Orihuela goals, columns are Deportiva Minera goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%9%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
15%10%10%7%4%1%under 1%under 1%
22%5%5%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.48 goals) and away average (1.08 goals).

Sample. Orihuela 6 matches, Deportiva Minera 6, the league 228, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 228 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.1%30.9%
2.549.1%50.9%
3.527.0%73.0%
4.513.0%87.0%

First-half goals · 228 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.563.5%36.5%
1.530.0%70.0%
2.511.3%88.7%
3.52.2%97.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Orihuela wins
1
Draws
0
Deportiva Minera wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Orihuela clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Deportiva Minera clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Deportiva Minera v OrihuelaSun, 20 Sept 2026 · Segunda Federación 2026-272–2HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Orihuela at homeWDLL
Deportiva Minera awayDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Orihuela at home, Deportiva Minera away
  • 17%
    Both teams scored
    League 46%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 69%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 49%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 27%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 13%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 2.2
    Avg total goals
    League 2.56
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 64%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 30%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Orihuela at home, Deportiva Minera away
Orihuela (home)Deportiva Minera (away)
45Position13
WLLLast 5, oldest to newestDL
3Played2
1.00Points per match0.50
33%Win %0%
0.67Scored / match0.00
2.67Conceded / match1.00
3.33Avg total goals1.00
33%Both scored0%
33%Clean sheets50%
33%Failed to score100%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

OrihuelaDeportiva Minera
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.00
  • 0.332nd half scored / match0.00
  • 2.332nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time0%
  • 33%1st half over 0.50%
  • 33%1st half over 1.50%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 67%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Orihuela at home, Deportiva Minera away, this season.

Goals

OrihuelaDeportiva Minera
  • 0.67Scored / match0.00
  • 2.67Conceded / match1.00
  • 3.33Match total / match1.00
  • 67%Scored 1+0%
  • 0%Scored 2+0%
  • 67%Conceded 1+50%
  • 67%Conceded 2+50%
  • 67%Match over 1.550%
  • 67%Match over 2.50%
  • 67%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Segunda Federación matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.