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Otelul v FCSB, Liga 1, Sat, 13 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 26. Sat, 13 Feb 2027

OtelulHome
vKick-off 14:00 UTC
FCSBAway
LLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestLLDLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Otelul have 8 scored home results and FCSB 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Otelul at home: 1.50 points per match (8 measured matches); FCSB away: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Otelul scored 1.25 per home match (8 measured matches); FCSB scored 0.60 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.40 per club appearance across 240 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 13 pooled club appearances (53.8%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Otelul: 0 wins; FCSB: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 120 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Otelul
1.48
Expected goals, FCSB
0.91
Most likely score
1-0 (14%)
Three or more goals
43%
Both clubs score
46%
Otelul score at least once
77%
FCSB score at least once
60%
Season sample
14 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Otelul win–
Draw–
FCSB win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Otelul goals, columns are FCSB goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
114%12%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.87 goals) and away average (0.93 goals).

Sample. Otelul 14 matches, FCSB 11, the league 120, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 11 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 120 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.573.8%26.2%
2.554.9%45.1%
3.539.3%60.7%
4.515.6%84.4%

First-half goals · 84 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.565.1%34.9%
1.532.6%67.4%
2.514.0%86.0%
3.55.8%94.2%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Otelul wins
0
Draws
1
FCSB wins
Goals / meeting
1.00
1 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Otelul clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
FCSB clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. FCSB v OtelulSat, 10 Oct 2026 · Liga 1 2026-271–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Otelul at homeDDDWLL
FCSB awayLDLWLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Otelul at home, FCSB away
  • 48%
    Both teams scored
    League 49%
    8 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    8 + 5 matches
  • 68%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 74%
    8 + 5 matches
  • 39%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 55%
    8 + 5 matches
  • 16%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 39%
    8 + 5 matches
  • 16%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 15%
    8 + 5 matches
  • 2.3
    Avg total goals
    League 2.79
    8 + 5 matches
  • 55%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 65%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 20%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 32%
    6 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Otelul at home, FCSB away
Otelul (home)FCSB (away)
15Position11
DDWLLLast 5, oldest to newestWDLLL
8Played5
1.50Points per match0.80
38%Win %20%
1.25Scored / match0.60
1.13Conceded / match1.60
2.38Avg total goals2.20
75%Both scored20%
13%Clean sheets40%
13%Failed to score60%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

OtelulFCSB
  • 0.171st half scored / match0.40
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.60
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.20
  • 0.832nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 17%Leading at half-time20%
  • 50%1st half over 0.560%
  • 0%1st half over 1.540%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.560%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.540%
  • 17%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Otelul at home, FCSB away, this season.

Goals

OtelulFCSB
  • 1.25Scored / match0.60
  • 1.13Conceded / match1.60
  • 2.38Match total / match2.20
  • 88%Scored 1+40%
  • 38%Scored 2+20%
  • 88%Conceded 1+60%
  • 13%Conceded 2+40%
  • 75%Match over 1.560%
  • 38%Match over 2.540%
  • 13%Match over 3.520%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
8FC Universitatea Cluj10318
10Farul Constanta13-116
11FCSB11-315
12UTA Arad14-615
13FC Botosani14014
14FC Arges12-514
15Otelul14-714
16CFR Cluj10-113
16CFR 1907 Cluj10-113
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga 1 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.