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Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Beveren, Belgian Pro League, Fri, 23 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 30. Fri, 23 Apr 2027

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
BeverenAway
LLLDWLeague form, oldest to newestLWWLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Oud-Heverlee Leuven have 4 scored home results and Beveren 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Beveren away: 0.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Oud-Heverlee Leuven scored 1.00 per home match (4 measured matches); Beveren scored 0.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.49 per club appearance across 136 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 8 pooled club appearances (37.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 0 wins; Beveren: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home and Beveren away.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home

xG 1.10
  • Shots per match14.5
  • On target per match2.5
  • Goals per match1.0

Beveren away

xG 0.69
  • Shots per match10.3
  • On target per match2.3
  • Goals per match0.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 68 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0.94
Expected goals, Beveren
1.10
Most likely score
0-1 (14%)
Three or more goals
34%
Both clubs score
41%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven score at least once
61%
Beveren score at least once
67%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven win–
Draw–
Beveren win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Oud-Heverlee Leuven goals, columns are Beveren goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
013%14%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
112%13%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
26%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
32%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.66 goals) and away average (1.31 goals).

Sample. Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 matches, Beveren 8, the league 68, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 68 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.6%21.4%
2.561.4%38.6%
3.534.3%65.7%
4.517.1%82.9%

First-half goals · 68 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.578.6%21.4%
1.540.0%60.0%
2.511.4%88.6%
3.54.3%95.7%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.563.1%36.9%
9.549.2%50.8%
10.546.2%53.8%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.8%6.2%
1.575.4%24.6%
2.563.1%36.9%
3.543.1%56.9%
4.529.2%70.8%
5.520.0%80.0%
6.56.2%93.8%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven wins
0
Draws
1
Beveren wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Oud-Heverlee Leuven clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Beveren clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
12.00
1 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
4.00
1 with card data · small sample
  1. Beveren v Oud-Heverlee LeuvenSun, 6 Sept 2026 · Belgian Pro League 2026-273–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Oud-Heverlee Leuven at homeWLLLDW
Beveren awayLLLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home, Beveren away
  • 38%
    Both teams scored
    League 41%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.97
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 79%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 10.4
    Corners per match
    League 9.95
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 63%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 46%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 4.0
    Cards per match
    League 3.37
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 43%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 29%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home, Beveren away
Oud-Heverlee Leuven (home)Beveren (away)
14Position11
LLDWLast 5, oldest to newestLLLL
4Played4
1.00Points per match0.00
25%Win %0%
1.00Scored / match0.25
1.50Conceded / match2.75
2.50Avg total goals3.00
50%Both scored25%
25%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score75%
1.10xG for0.69
1.59xG against2.54

Half by half

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenBeveren
  • 0.501st half scored / match0.25
  • 0.501st half conceded / match1.25
  • 0.502nd half scored / match0.00
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match1.50
  • 50%Leading at half-time25%
  • 100%1st half over 0.575%
  • 0%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 25%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home, Beveren away, this season.

Goals

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenBeveren
  • 1.00Scored / match0.25
  • 1.50Conceded / match2.75
  • 2.50Match total / match3.00
  • 75%Scored 1+25%
  • 25%Scored 2+0%
  • 75%Conceded 1+100%
  • 50%Conceded 2+75%
  • 100%Match over 1.575%
  • 50%Match over 2.575%
  • 0%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenBeveren
  • 14.50Shots for10.25
  • 13.25Shots against17.00
  • 2.50On target for2.25
  • 4.25On target against6.25
  • 7%Shot conversion2%
  • 1.10xG for0.69
  • 1.59xG against2.54

Corners

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenBeveren
  • 3.75Corners for5.50
  • 8.75Corners against2.75
  • 12.50Match total8.25
  • 100%Over 7.550%
  • 75%Over 8.525%
  • 50%Over 9.525%
  • 50%Over 10.525%
  • 50%Over 11.525%

Cards

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenBeveren
  • 2.00Cards for2.50
  • 2.00Cards against1.50
  • 4.00Match total4.00
  • 75%Over 2.575%
  • 75%Over 3.550%
  • 50%Over 4.550%
  • 50%Over 5.550%
  • 12.00Fouls committed8.25

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Belgian Pro League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.