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Panetolikos v Panathinaikos FC, Greek Super League, Sat, 20 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 22. Sat, 20 Feb 2027

PanetolikosHome
vKick-off 18:00 UTC
Panathinaikos FCAway
WLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestWWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Panetolikos have 4 scored home results and Panathinaikos FC 2 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Panetolikos at home: 1.50 points per match (4 measured matches); Panathinaikos FC away: 3.00 points per match (2 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Panetolikos scored 1.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Panathinaikos FC scored 1.50 away (2). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.28 per club appearance across 120 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 6 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Panetolikos: 0 wins; Panathinaikos FC: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Panetolikos at home and Panathinaikos FC away.

Panetolikos at home

xG 1.02
  • Shots per match8.7
  • On target per match3.0
  • Goals per match1.8

Panathinaikos FC away

  • Shots per match–
  • On target per match–
  • Goals per match1.5

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 60 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Panetolikos
0.50
Expected goals, Panathinaikos FC
2.57
Most likely score
0-2 (15%)
Three or more goals
59%
Both clubs score
37%
Panetolikos score at least once
40%
Panathinaikos FC score at least once
92%
Season sample
7 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Panetolikos win–
Draw–
Panathinaikos FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Panetolikos goals, columns are Panathinaikos FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
05%12%15%13%8%4%2%1%
12%6%8%7%4%2%1%under 1%
21%2%2%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.62 goals) and away average (0.95 goals).

Sample. Panetolikos 7 matches, Panathinaikos FC 5, the league 60, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 60 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.579.0%21.0%
2.546.8%53.2%
3.529.0%71.0%
4.56.5%93.5%

First-half goals · 60 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.572.6%27.4%
1.540.3%59.7%
2.53.2%96.8%
3.51.6%98.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Panetolikos wins
0
Draws
1
Panathinaikos FC wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Panetolikos clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Panathinaikos FC clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Panathinaikos FC v PanetolikosSun, 13 Sept 2026 · Greek Super League 2026-273–0HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Panetolikos at homeDLWWLL
Panathinaikos FC awayWDDWWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Panetolikos at home, Panathinaikos FC away
  • 38%
    Both teams scored
    League 47%
    4 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    4 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    4 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 38%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 47%
    4 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 38%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 28%
    4 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 5%
    4 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 2.5
    Avg total goals
    League 2.57
    4 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 73%
    4 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    4 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Panetolikos at home, Panathinaikos FC away
Panetolikos (home)Panathinaikos FC (away)
12Position1
WWLLLast 5, oldest to newestWW
4Played2
1.50Points per match3.00
50%Win %100%
1.75Scored / match1.50
1.75Conceded / match0.00
3.50Avg total goals1.50
75%Both scored0%
25%Clean sheets100%
0%Failed to score0%
1.02xG for–
1.43xG against–

Half by half

PanetolikosPanathinaikos FC
  • 0.501st half scored / match1.00
  • 1.001st half conceded / match0.00
  • 1.252nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match0.00
  • 50%Leading at half-time100%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 50%1st half over 1.50%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 75%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 50%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Panetolikos at home, Panathinaikos FC away, this season.

Goals

PanetolikosPanathinaikos FC
  • 1.75Scored / match1.50
  • 1.75Conceded / match0.00
  • 3.50Match total / match1.50
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 50%Scored 2+50%
  • 75%Conceded 1+0%
  • 50%Conceded 2+0%
  • 100%Match over 1.550%
  • 75%Match over 2.50%
  • 75%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

PanetolikosPanathinaikos FC
  • 8.67Shots for–
  • 13.67Shots against–
  • 3.00On target for–
  • 4.67On target against–
  • 23%Shot conversion–
  • 1.02xG for–
  • 1.43xG against–

Corners

PanetolikosPanathinaikos FC
  • 4.00Corners for–
  • 3.67Corners against–
  • 7.67Match total–
  • 33%Over 7.5–
  • 33%Over 8.5–
  • 33%Over 9.5–
  • 33%Over 10.5–
  • 33%Over 11.5–

Cards

PanetolikosPanathinaikos FC
  • 2.33Cards for–
  • 2.33Cards against–
  • 4.67Match total–
  • 67%Over 2.5–
  • 67%Over 3.5–
  • 67%Over 4.5–
  • 67%Over 5.5–
  • 17.67Fouls committed–

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Panathinaikos51015
1Panathinaikos FC51015
3AEK Athens61314
4PAOK5712
10OFI Crete6110
11Aris8-1110
12Panetolikos7-49
13Asteras Tripolis9-57
14Iraklis6-66
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Greek Super League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.