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Pogoń Siedlce v Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, Betclic 1. Liga, Sat, 10 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 27. Sat, 10 Apr 2027

Pogoń SiedlceHome
vKick-off 14:00 UTC
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-BiałaAway
LWDWLLeague form, oldest to newestLDDDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Pogoń Siedlce have 5 scored home results and Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Pogoń Siedlce at home: 2.00 points per match (5 measured matches); Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała away: 0.83 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Pogoń Siedlce scored 1.40 per home match (5 measured matches); Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała scored 1.33 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.38 per club appearance across 166 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 11 pooled club appearances (63.6%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Pogoń Siedlce: 0 wins; Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 83 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Pogoń Siedlce
1.13
Expected goals, Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
0.75
Most likely score
1-0 (17%)
Three or more goals
29%
Both clubs score
36%
Pogoń Siedlce score at least once
68%
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała score at least once
53%
Season sample
9 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Pogoń Siedlce win–
Draw–
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Pogoń Siedlce goals, columns are Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
015%11%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
117%13%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.53 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Pogoń Siedlce 9 matches, Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 10, the league 83, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.575.3%24.7%
2.550.6%49.4%
3.529.4%70.6%
4.512.9%87.1%

First-half goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.576.5%23.5%
1.534.1%65.9%
2.516.5%83.5%
3.53.5%96.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Pogoń Siedlce wins
0
Draws
1
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała wins
Goals / meeting
1.00
1 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Pogoń Siedlce clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała v Pogoń SiedlceFri, 9 Oct 2026 · Betclic 1. Liga 2026-271–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Pogoń Siedlce at homeDLDWWW
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała awayDDLLDD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Pogoń Siedlce at home, Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała away
  • 63%
    Both teams scored
    League 55%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 82%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 37%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 51%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 29%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.76
    5 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 37%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    5 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Pogoń Siedlce at home, Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała away
Pogoń Siedlce (home)Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała (away)
9Position12
DLWWWLast 5, oldest to newestDDLDD
5Played6
2.00Points per match0.83
60%Win %0%
1.40Scored / match1.33
0.80Conceded / match1.67
2.20Avg total goals3.00
60%Both scored67%
40%Clean sheets17%
0%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Pogoń SiedlcePodbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
  • 1.201st half scored / match0.33
  • 0.201st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.202nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.602nd half conceded / match0.67
  • 80%Leading at half-time17%
  • 100%1st half over 0.583%
  • 40%1st half over 1.533%
  • 60%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 20%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 20%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Pogoń Siedlce at home, Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała away, this season.

Goals

Pogoń SiedlcePodbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
  • 1.40Scored / match1.33
  • 0.80Conceded / match1.67
  • 2.20Match total / match3.00
  • 100%Scored 1+67%
  • 40%Scored 2+33%
  • 60%Conceded 1+83%
  • 20%Conceded 2+50%
  • 80%Match over 1.583%
  • 40%Match over 2.533%
  • 0%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Betclic 1. Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.