Ranheim vs Sogndal stats and head-to-head

2026, Round 29. Sun, 1 Nov 2026

vKick-off 13:30 UTC

LDDWWLeague form, oldest to newestDLLDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Ranheim have 13 scored home results and Sogndal 12 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Ranheim at home: 1.62 points per match (13 measured matches); Sogndal away: 0.50 points per match (12 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Ranheim scored 3.00 per home match (13 measured matches); Sogndal scored 1.25 away (12). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.91 per club appearance across 382 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 19 of 25 pooled club appearances (76.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. Ranheim: 1 wins; Sogndal: 2 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 191 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Ranheim: 3.41
Expected goals, Sogndal: 1.85
Most likely score: 3-1 (6%)
Three or more goals: 89%
Both clubs score: 81%
Ranheim score at least once: 97%
Sogndal score at least once: 84%
Season sample: 24 and 23 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Ranheim win–

Draw–

Sogndal win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Ranheim goals, columns are Sogndal goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

01234567

01%1%1%1%

12%3%3%2%1%

23%6%5%3%2%1%

34%6%6%4%2%1%

43%6%5%3%1%1%

52%4%4%2%1%

61%2%2%1%1%

71%1%1%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.13 goals) and away average (1.70 goals).

Sample. Ranheim 24 matches, Sogndal 23, the league 191, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 191 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	89.1%	10.9%
2.5	71.0%	29.0%
3.5	50.3%	49.7%
4.5	34.7%	65.3%

First-half goals · 191 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	77.2%	22.8%
1.5	48.2%	51.8%
2.5	29.0%	71.0%
3.5	10.4%	89.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Ranheim wins

Draws

Sogndal wins

Goals / meeting

2.33

7 goals in 3 meetings

Both scored

33%

1 of 3 meetings

Over 1.5

33%

1 of 3 meetings

Over 2.5

33%

1 of 3 meetings

Over 3.5

33%

1 of 3 meetings

Ranheim clean sheets

33%

1 of 3 meetings

Sogndal clean sheets

33%

1 of 3 meetings

Corners / meeting

–

0 with corner data · small sample

Cards / meeting

–

0 with card data · small sample

Sogndal v RanheimSun, 26 Jul 2026 · Norwegian 1st Division 20263–2HT 1–0
Ranheim v SogndalSat, 2 Dec 2017 · Eliteserien 20171–0
Sogndal v RanheimWed, 29 Nov 2017 · Eliteserien 20171–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Ranheim at homeLLLLDW

Fri, 2 Octv Egersund5–0C ––– · Y –––
Sun, 13 Septv Åsane2–2C ––– · Y –––
Sun, 30 Augv Odd3–5C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 15 Augv Stromsgodset1–3C ––– · Y –––
Mon, 3 Augv Haugesund3–4C ––– · Y –––
Fri, 3 Julv Stabaek2–5C ––– · Y –––

Sogndal awayLWDLDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Ranheim at home, Sogndal away

76%
Both teams scored
League 63%
13 + 12 matches
100%
Over 0.5 goals
League 98%
13 + 12 matches
100%
Over 1.5 goals
League 90%
13 + 12 matches
88%
Over 2.5 goals
League 71%
13 + 12 matches
80%
Over 3.5 goals
League 50%
13 + 12 matches
47%
Over 4.5 goals
League 35%
13 + 12 matches
4.6
Avg total goals
League 3.82
13 + 12 matches
96%
1st half over 0.5
League 77%
13 + 12 matches
67%
1st half over 1.5
League 48%
13 + 12 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and away Overall

Ranheim at home, Sogndal away

Ranheim (home)		Sogndal (away)
8	Position	14
LLLDW	Last 5, oldest to newest	LLDLL
13	Played	12
1.62	Points per match	0.50
46%	Win %	8%
3.00	Scored / match	1.25
2.15	Conceded / match	2.75
5.15	Avg total goals	4.00
85%	Both scored	67%
15%	Clean sheets	0%
0%	Failed to score	33%
–	xG for	–
–	xG against	–

Half by half

RanheimSogndal

1.231st half scored / match0.33
1.151st half conceded / match1.50
1.772nd half scored / match0.92
1.002nd half conceded / match1.25
31%Leading at half-time8%
100%1st half over 0.592%
85%1st half over 1.550%
92%2nd half over 0.5100%
92%2nd half over 1.567%
62%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Ranheim at home, Sogndal away, this season.

Goals

RanheimSogndal

3.00Scored / match1.25
2.15Conceded / match2.75
5.15Match total / match4.00
100%Scored 1+67%
85%Scored 2+42%
85%Conceded 1+100%
62%Conceded 2+100%
100%Match over 1.5100%
92%Match over 2.583%
92%Match over 3.567%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
6	Bryne	24	2	38
7	Hødd IL	24	-8	34
8	Ranheim	24	3	31
9	Egersund	24	-13	29
10	Lyn FK	24	-10	28
12	Sandnes	24	-10	25
13	Moss	24	-16	25
14	Sogndal	23	-15	23
15	Åsane	24	-19	20
16	Raufoss	23	-35	19

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Norwegian 1st Division matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.