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Raufoss v Egersund, Norwegian 1st Division, Sun, 8 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 30. Sun, 8 Nov 2026

RaufossHome
vKick-off 12:00 UTC
EgersundAway
LLLWLLeague form, oldest to newestDDDLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Raufoss have 12 scored home results and Egersund 12 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Raufoss at home: 1.08 points per match (12 measured matches); Egersund away: 0.67 points per match (12 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Raufoss scored 1.25 per home match (12 measured matches); Egersund scored 1.42 away (12). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.91 per club appearance across 382 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 14 of 24 pooled club appearances (58.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Raufoss: 0 wins; Egersund: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 191 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Raufoss
1.34
Expected goals, Egersund
1.85
Most likely score
1-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
62%
Both clubs score
62%
Raufoss score at least once
74%
Egersund score at least once
84%
Season sample
23 and 24 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Raufoss win–
Draw–
Egersund win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Raufoss goals, columns are Egersund goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%8%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
16%10%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
24%7%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
32%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.13 goals) and away average (1.70 goals).

Sample. Raufoss 23 matches, Egersund 24, the league 191, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 191 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.589.1%10.9%
2.571.0%29.0%
3.550.3%49.7%
4.534.7%65.3%

First-half goals · 191 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.577.2%22.8%
1.548.2%51.8%
2.529.0%71.0%
3.510.4%89.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Raufoss wins
0
Draws
1
Egersund wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Raufoss clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Egersund clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Egersund v RaufossWed, 6 May 2026 · Norwegian 1st Division 20262–1HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Raufoss at homeLLLWLL
Egersund awayWLDWLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Raufoss at home, Egersund away
  • 58%
    Both teams scored
    League 63%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 92%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 90%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 71%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 71%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 42%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 50%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 25%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 35%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 3.5
    Avg total goals
    League 3.82
    12 + 12 matches
  • 83%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 54%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 48%
    12 + 12 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Raufoss at home, Egersund away
Raufoss (home)Egersund (away)
16Position9
LLLWLLast 5, oldest to newestWLDLL
12Played12
1.08Points per match0.67
33%Win %17%
1.25Scored / match1.42
1.67Conceded / match2.75
2.92Avg total goals4.17
50%Both scored67%
17%Clean sheets17%
33%Failed to score17%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

RaufossEgersund
  • 0.581st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.921st half conceded / match1.50
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.92
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match1.25
  • 25%Leading at half-time25%
  • 75%1st half over 0.592%
  • 42%1st half over 1.567%
  • 92%2nd half over 0.592%
  • 42%2nd half over 1.567%
  • 25%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Raufoss at home, Egersund away, this season.

Goals

RaufossEgersund
  • 1.25Scored / match1.42
  • 1.67Conceded / match2.75
  • 2.92Match total / match4.17
  • 67%Scored 1+83%
  • 33%Scored 2+42%
  • 83%Conceded 1+83%
  • 50%Conceded 2+75%
  • 83%Match over 1.5100%
  • 58%Match over 2.583%
  • 25%Match over 3.558%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#ClubPGDPts
7Hødd IL24-834
8Ranheim24331
9Egersund24-1329
10Lyn FK24-1028
11Strømmen IF24-1726
14Sogndal23-1523
15Åsane24-1920
16Raufoss23-3519
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Norwegian 1st Division matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.