Reading vs Stockport stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 33. Sat, 27 Feb 2027

ReadingHome

vKick-off 15:00 UTC

StockportAway

LWDDWLeague form, oldest to newestWLDWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Madejski Stadium. Photo: TheSportsDB, CC0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Reading have 5 scored home results and Stockport 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Reading at home: 2.00 points per match (5 measured matches); Stockport away: 1.75 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Reading scored 2.80 per home match (5 measured matches); Stockport scored 1.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.44 per club appearance across 204 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 9 pooled club appearances (44.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Reading: 1 wins; Stockport: 2 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Reading at home and Stockport away.

Reading at home

xG 2.25

Shots per match16.8
On target per match5.6
Goals per match2.8

Stockport away

xG 1.58

Shots per match13.5
On target per match4.0
Goals per match1.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 102 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Reading: 2.13
Expected goals, Stockport: 1.83
Most likely score: 2-1 (8%)
Three or more goals: 76%
Both clubs score: 74%
Reading score at least once: 88%
Stockport score at least once: 84%
Season sample: 9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Reading win–

Draw–

Stockport win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Reading goals, columns are Stockport goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

01234567

02%3%3%2%1%

14%7%7%4%2%1%

24%8%7%4%2%1%

33%6%5%3%1%1%

42%3%3%2%1%

51%1%1%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.48 goals) and away average (1.40 goals).

Sample. Reading 9 matches, Stockport 9, the league 102, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 102 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	76.9%	23.1%
2.5	54.8%	45.2%
3.5	34.6%	65.4%
4.5	16.3%	83.7%

First-half goals · 102 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	64.4%	35.6%
1.5	34.6%	65.4%
2.5	16.3%	83.7%
3.5	1.9%	98.1%

Corners · 90 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	71.7%	28.3%
9.5	57.6%	42.4%
10.5	45.7%	54.3%

Yellow + red card events · 90 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	95.7%	4.3%
1.5	89.1%	10.9%
2.5	75.0%	25.0%
3.5	50.0%	50.0%
4.5	32.6%	67.4%
5.5	18.5%	81.5%
6.5	9.8%	90.2%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Reading wins

Draws

Stockport wins

Goals / meeting

3.00

12 goals in 4 meetings

Both scored

75%

3 of 4 meetings

Over 1.5

75%

3 of 4 meetings

Over 2.5

50%

2 of 4 meetings

Over 3.5

50%

2 of 4 meetings

Reading clean sheets

25%

1 of 4 meetings

Stockport clean sheets

0 of 4 meetings

Corners / meeting

5.75

4 with corner data

Cards / meeting

2.50

4 with card data

Reading v StockportSun, 4 Jan 2026 · EFL League One 2025-261–0HT 0–0
Stockport v ReadingSat, 27 Sept 2025 · EFL League One 2025-261–1HT 1–0
Reading v StockportSat, 18 Jan 2025 · EFL League One 2024-251–3HT 0–2
Stockport v ReadingTue, 29 Oct 2024 · EFL League One 2024-254–1HT 3–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Reading at homeDWWLWD

Sat, 3 Octv Bradford1–1C 9–5 · Y 2–3
Sat, 19 Septv Notts County2–0C 4–1 · Y 2–1
Tue, 15 Septv Brentford1–2C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 5 Septv Blackpool3–1C 6–3 · Y 0–1
Wed, 2 Septv Mansfield5–0C 5–2 · Y 1–0
Tue, 18 Augv Wycombe1–1C ––– · Y –––

Stockport awayWWLWDW

Tue, 6 Oct@ Shrewsbury2–0C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 19 Sept@ Sheffield Weds0–0C 5–4 · Y 1–3
Sat, 5 Sept@ Wigan4–0C 5–6 · Y 1–2
Wed, 2 Sept@ Luton0–2C 8–2 · Y 1–1
Sat, 15 Aug@ Plymouth3–1C 3–5 · Y 0–2
Sat, 2 May@ Barnsley3–1C 11–5 · Y 3–1

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Reading at home, Stockport away

43%
Both teams scored
League 61%
5 + 4 matches
88%
Over 0.5 goals
League 91%
5 + 4 matches
88%
Over 1.5 goals
League 77%
5 + 4 matches
55%
Over 2.5 goals
League 55%
5 + 4 matches
55%
Over 3.5 goals
League 34%
5 + 4 matches
20%
Over 4.5 goals
League 16%
5 + 4 matches
3.3
Avg total goals
League 2.88
5 + 4 matches
65%
1st half over 0.5
League 65%
5 + 4 matches
45%
1st half over 1.5
League 34%
5 + 4 matches
9.0
Corners per match
League 10.72
5 + 4 matches
58%
Corners over 8.5
League 72%
5 + 4 matches
35%
Corners over 9.5
League 58%
5 + 4 matches
23%
Corners over 10.5
League 46%
5 + 4 matches
2.7
Cards per match
League 3.78
5 + 4 matches
23%
Cards over 3.5
League 50%
5 + 4 matches
10%
Cards over 4.5
League 32%
5 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Reading at home, Stockport away

Reading (home)		Stockport (away)
6	Position	3
LWWWD	Last 5, oldest to newest	WLWD
5	Played	4
2.00	Points per match	1.75
60%	Win %	50%
2.80	Scored / match	1.75
1.20	Conceded / match	0.75
4.00	Avg total goals	2.50
60%	Both scored	25%
40%	Clean sheets	50%
0%	Failed to score	50%
2.25	xG for	1.58
0.99	xG against	1.14

Half by half

ReadingStockport

1.401st half scored / match1.25
0.401st half conceded / match0.00
1.402nd half scored / match0.50
0.802nd half conceded / match0.75
60%Leading at half-time50%
80%1st half over 0.550%
40%1st half over 1.550%
100%2nd half over 0.575%
80%2nd half over 1.550%
40%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Reading at home, Stockport away, this season.

Goals

ReadingStockport

2.80Scored / match1.75
1.20Conceded / match0.75
4.00Match total / match2.50
100%Scored 1+50%
80%Scored 2+50%
60%Conceded 1+50%
20%Conceded 2+25%
100%Match over 1.575%
60%Match over 2.550%
60%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

ReadingStockport

16.80Shots for13.50
11.20Shots against9.25
5.60On target for4.00
3.00On target against3.00
17%Shot conversion13%
2.25xG for1.58
0.99xG against1.14

Corners

ReadingStockport

5.80Corners for5.25
2.60Corners against4.25
8.40Match total9.50
40%Over 7.5100%
40%Over 8.575%
20%Over 9.550%
20%Over 10.525%
20%Over 11.50%

Cards

ReadingStockport

1.20Cards for0.75
1.40Cards against2.00
2.60Match total2.75
60%Over 2.550%
20%Over 3.525%
20%Over 4.50%
0%Over 5.50%
11.20Fouls committed10.50

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	10	6	19
2	Bradford	9	3	17
3	Stockport	9	9	16
4	Huddersfield	9	7	16
5	Cambridge	9	3	16
6	Reading	9	11	15
7	Sheffield Weds	8	7	15
8	Oxford	7	7	14

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League One matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.