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RFK Grafičar Beograd v FK Proleter 023, Prva Liga (Serbia), Sat, 28 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 20. Sat, 28 Nov 2026

RFK Grafičar BeogradHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
FK Proleter 023Away
LWLWLLeague form, oldest to newestDDLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, RFK Grafičar Beograd have 4 scored home results and FK Proleter 023 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: RFK Grafičar Beograd at home: 1.75 points per match (4 measured matches); FK Proleter 023 away: 0.83 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. RFK Grafičar Beograd scored 2.50 per home match (4 measured matches); FK Proleter 023 scored 1.67 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.38 per club appearance across 190 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 10 pooled club appearances (60.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. RFK Grafičar Beograd: 0 wins; FK Proleter 023: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 95 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, RFK Grafičar Beograd
1.29
Expected goals, FK Proleter 023
1.83
Most likely score
1-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
60%
Both clubs score
61%
RFK Grafičar Beograd score at least once
73%
FK Proleter 023 score at least once
84%
Season sample
11 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

RFK Grafičar Beograd win–
Draw–
FK Proleter 023 win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are RFK Grafičar Beograd goals, columns are FK Proleter 023 goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%8%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
16%10%10%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
24%7%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
32%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.53 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. RFK Grafičar Beograd 11 matches, FK Proleter 023 11, the league 95, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 11 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.573.2%26.8%
2.555.7%44.3%
3.530.9%69.1%
4.519.6%80.4%

First-half goals · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.559.8%40.2%
1.530.9%69.1%
2.510.3%89.7%
3.55.2%94.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
RFK Grafičar Beograd wins
0
Draws
1
FK Proleter 023 wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
RFK Grafičar Beograd clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
FK Proleter 023 clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. FK Proleter 023 v RFK Grafičar BeogradMon, 24 Aug 2026 · Prva Liga (Serbia) 2026-272–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
RFK Grafičar Beograd at homeDLLDWW
FK Proleter 023 awayDLLDLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
RFK Grafičar Beograd at home, FK Proleter 023 away
  • 63%
    Both teams scored
    League 55%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 74%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 56%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 42%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 31%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 29%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 19%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 3.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.76
    4 + 6 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 60%
    4 + 6 matches
  • 38%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 31%
    4 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
RFK Grafičar Beograd at home, FK Proleter 023 away
RFK Grafičar Beograd (home)FK Proleter 023 (away)
14Position11
LDWWLast 5, oldest to newestLLDLW
4Played6
1.75Points per match0.83
50%Win %17%
2.50Scored / match1.67
1.25Conceded / match1.33
3.75Avg total goals3.00
75%Both scored50%
25%Clean sheets33%
0%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

RFK Grafičar BeogradFK Proleter 023
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.83
  • 0.501st half conceded / match0.50
  • 1.502nd half scored / match0.83
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match0.83
  • 50%Leading at half-time17%
  • 75%1st half over 0.550%
  • 25%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.567%
  • 75%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 50%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

RFK Grafičar Beograd at home, FK Proleter 023 away, this season.

Goals

RFK Grafičar BeogradFK Proleter 023
  • 2.50Scored / match1.67
  • 1.25Conceded / match1.33
  • 3.75Match total / match3.00
  • 100%Scored 1+67%
  • 75%Scored 2+33%
  • 75%Conceded 1+67%
  • 50%Conceded 2+33%
  • 100%Match over 1.567%
  • 100%Match over 2.550%
  • 50%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Prva Liga (Serbia) matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.