Rio Ave vs Nacional stats and head-to-head

2024-25. Sun, 29 Dec 2024

21Full time, half-time 1–1

Rio Ave won by 1 goal.

DLWDDLeague form, oldest to newestLDLDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Rio Ave have 7 scored home results and Nacional 8 scored away results stored in 2024-25. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Rio Ave at home: 1.86 points per match (7 measured matches); Nacional away: 0.38 points per match (8 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Rio Ave scored 1.71 per home match (7 measured matches); Nacional scored 0.50 away (8). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.26 per club appearance across 278 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 8 of 15 pooled club appearances (53.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Rio Ave: 2 wins; Nacional: 0 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half11

Second half10

The match in numbers

Rio AveNacional

20Shots13
7Shots on target2
11Corners6
10Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Rio Ave

Shots20
On target7
Goals2

35% of shots on target, 29% of those scored.

Nacional

Shots13
On target2
Goals1

15% of shots on target, 50% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Rio Ave wins

Draws

Nacional wins

Goals / meeting

2.50

10 goals in 4 meetings

Both scored

50%

2 of 4 meetings

Over 1.5

50%

2 of 4 meetings

Over 2.5

50%

2 of 4 meetings

Over 3.5

25%

1 of 4 meetings

Rio Ave clean sheets

50%

2 of 4 meetings

Nacional clean sheets

25%

1 of 4 meetings

Corners / meeting

11.50

4 with corner data

Cards / meeting

4.25

4 with card data

Nacional v Rio AveWed, 19 May 2021 · Primeira Liga 2020-211–2HT 1–0
Rio Ave v NacionalFri, 5 Feb 2021 · Primeira Liga 2020-210–0HT 0–0
Nacional v Rio AveSun, 17 Mar 2019 · Primeira Liga 2018-190–1HT 0–1
Rio Ave v NacionalMon, 5 Nov 2018 · Primeira Liga 2018-193–3HT 2–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Rio Ave at homeLLLLLD

Mon, 14 Septv Estrela3–3C 4–5 · Y 2–3
Fri, 28 Augv Sporting CP0–4C ––– · Y –––
Fri, 28 Augv Sp Lisbon0–4C 2–3 · Y 1–1
Sat, 15 Augv FC Porto0–2C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 15 Augv Porto0–2C 6–6 · Y 0–0
Mon, 11 Mayv Sp Lisbon1–4C 5–6 · Y 7–2

Nacional awayWLDLLL

Sat, 5 Sept@ Sporting CP0–2C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 5 Sept@ Sp Lisbon0–2C 0–12 · Y 1–2
Sun, 23 Aug@ Guimaraes0–1C 3–4 · Y 1–2
Mon, 10 Aug@ Santa Clara2–2C 4–4 · Y 2–2
Mon, 11 May@ Santa Clara0–2C 6–4 · Y 2–1
Sat, 25 Apr@ Tondela2–0C 7–8 · Y 1–2

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Rio Ave at home, Nacional away

50%
Both teams scored
League 49%
17 + 17 matches
97%
Over 0.5 goals
League 94%
17 + 17 matches
74%
Over 1.5 goals
League 74%
17 + 17 matches
41%
Over 2.5 goals
League 49%
17 + 17 matches
21%
Over 3.5 goals
League 25%
17 + 17 matches
6%
Over 4.5 goals
League 11%
17 + 17 matches
2.4
Avg total goals
League 2.57
17 + 17 matches
82%
1st half over 0.5
League 69%
17 + 17 matches
26%
1st half over 1.5
League 31%
17 + 17 matches
10.7
Corners per match
League 9.52
17 + 17 matches
56%
Corners over 8.5
League 58%
17 + 17 matches
56%
Corners over 9.5
League 44%
17 + 17 matches
50%
Corners over 10.5
League 36%
17 + 17 matches
4.4
Cards per match
League 5.16
17 + 17 matches
59%
Cards over 3.5
League 72%
17 + 17 matches
47%
Cards over 4.5
League 55%
17 + 17 matches

Stored season context, 2024-25

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2024-25

Home and away Overall

Rio Ave at home, Nacional away

Rio Ave (home)		Nacional (away)
12	Position	14
LLDWD	Last 5, oldest to newest	LLWDL
17	Played	17
1.53	Points per match	0.59
35%	Win %	12%
1.47	Scored / match	0.53
1.41	Conceded / match	1.35
2.88	Avg total goals	1.88
71%	Both scored	29%
18%	Clean sheets	18%
12%	Failed to score	59%
–	xG for	–
–	xG against	–

Half by half

Rio AveNacional

0.761st half scored / match0.24
0.591st half conceded / match0.71
0.712nd half scored / match0.29
0.822nd half conceded / match0.65
41%Leading at half-time12%
88%1st half over 0.577%
35%1st half over 1.518%
77%2nd half over 0.559%
41%2nd half over 1.535%
29%Scored in both halves6%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Rio Ave at home, Nacional away, this season.

Goals

Rio AveNacional

1.47Scored / match0.53
1.41Conceded / match1.35
2.88Match total / match1.88
88%Scored 1+41%
53%Scored 2+12%
82%Conceded 1+82%
47%Conceded 2+41%
88%Match over 1.559%
53%Match over 2.529%
35%Match over 3.56%

Shots and xG

Rio AveNacional

11.59Shots for12.00
13.65Shots against15.53
4.00On target for3.47
4.59On target against5.12
13%Shot conversion4%

Corners

Rio AveNacional

5.00Corners for4.41
5.65Corners against6.41
10.65Match total10.82
71%Over 7.577%
53%Over 8.559%
53%Over 9.559%
47%Over 10.553%
35%Over 11.547%

Cards

Rio AveNacional

2.00Cards for2.94
2.18Cards against1.59
4.18Match total4.53
71%Over 2.565%
65%Over 3.553%
47%Over 4.547%
29%Over 5.541%
13.88Fouls committed14.00

The table, 2024-25

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
10	Moreirense	34	-8	40
11	Arouca	34	-14	38
12	Rio Ave	34	-16	38
13	Gil Vicente	34	-13	34
14	Nacional	34	-18	34
15	Estrela	34	-26	29
16	Farense	34	-21	27

Full table →

Where to watch

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.