Salford vs Tranmere stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 46. Sat, 8 May 2027

SalfordHome

vKick-off 14:00 UTC

TranmereAway

DWWWWLeague form, oldest to newestLDDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Moor Lane. Photo: Jonny Keen, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Salford have 5 scored home results and Tranmere 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Salford at home: 2.40 points per match (5 measured matches); Tranmere away: 0.60 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Salford scored 1.00 per home match (5 measured matches); Tranmere scored 1.00 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.24 per club appearance across 228 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 10 pooled club appearances (40.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Salford: 4 wins; Tranmere: 4 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Salford at home and Tranmere away.

Salford at home

xG 1.27

Shots per match17.0
On target per match4.2
Goals per match1.0

Tranmere away

xG 0.77

Shots per match10.4
On target per match3.2
Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 114 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Salford: 1.89
Expected goals, Tranmere: 0.84
Most likely score: 1-0 (12%)
Three or more goals: 51%
Both clubs score: 48%
Salford score at least once: 85%
Tranmere score at least once: 57%
Season sample: 10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Salford win–

Draw–

Tranmere win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Salford goals, columns are Tranmere goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

01234567

07%5%2%1%

112%10%4%1%

212%10%4%1%

37%6%3%1%

43%3%1%

51%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.49 goals) and away average (0.99 goals).

Sample. Salford 10 matches, Tranmere 10, the league 114, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 114 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	72.4%	27.6%
2.5	43.1%	56.9%
3.5	26.7%	73.3%
4.5	10.3%	89.7%

First-half goals · 114 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	65.5%	34.5%
1.5	31.0%	69.0%
2.5	7.8%	92.2%
3.5	1.7%	98.3%

Corners · 102 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	65.4%	34.6%
9.5	61.5%	38.5%
10.5	47.1%	52.9%

Yellow + red card events · 102 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	98.1%	1.9%
1.5	89.4%	10.6%
2.5	73.1%	26.9%
3.5	56.7%	43.3%
4.5	44.2%	55.8%
5.5	26.0%	74.0%
6.5	12.5%	87.5%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Salford wins

Draws

Tranmere wins

Goals / meeting

2.70

27 goals in 10 meetings

Both scored

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Over 1.5

70%

7 of 10 meetings

Over 2.5

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Over 3.5

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Salford clean sheets

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Tranmere clean sheets

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Corners / meeting

10.00

10 with corner data

Cards / meeting

4.40

10 with card data

Tranmere v SalfordSat, 31 Jan 2026 · EFL League Two 2025-260–2HT 0–0
Salford v TranmereSat, 6 Sept 2025 · EFL League Two 2025-263–1HT 0–0
Salford v TranmereSat, 8 Feb 2025 · EFL League Two 2024-252–0HT 0–0
Tranmere v SalfordFri, 27 Sept 2024 · EFL League Two 2024-250–0HT 0–0
Salford v TranmereTue, 26 Dec 2023 · EFL League Two 2023-241–5HT 0–2
Tranmere v SalfordSat, 19 Aug 2023 · EFL League Two 2023-243–4HT 2–1
Tranmere v SalfordSat, 11 Feb 2023 · EFL League Two 2022-231–0HT 1–0
Salford v TranmereSat, 17 Sept 2022 · EFL League Two 2022-230–1HT 0–1
Salford v TranmereTue, 11 Jan 2022 · EFL League Two 2021-221–1HT 1–0
Tranmere v SalfordSat, 18 Sept 2021 · EFL League Two 2021-222–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Salford at homeLWWWLW

Sat, 3 Octv Fleetwood Town1–0C 11–3 · Y 1–1
Tue, 22 Septv Sheffield Weds1–2C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 19 Septv Swindon1–0C 12–5 · Y 0–3
Sat, 5 Septv Port Vale1–0C 6–6 · Y 1–2
Tue, 1 Septv Newport County2–1C 10–0 · Y 1–3
Sat, 22 Augv Chesterfield0–1C 5–1 · Y 2–3

Tranmere awayLDDLDL

Sat, 3 Oct@ Chesterfield2–4C 1–12 · Y 3–3
Sat, 19 Sept@ Exeter0–0C 2–6 · Y 3–2
Sat, 12 Sept@ Gillingham0–2C 5–5 · Y 2–3
Sat, 29 Aug@ Newport County2–2C 6–4 · Y 2–2
Sat, 22 Aug@ Port Vale1–1C 3–4 · Y 3–2
Sat, 25 Apr@ Milton Keynes Dons0–3C 2–6 · Y 2–0

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Salford at home, Tranmere away

40%
Both teams scored
League 53%
5 + 5 matches
90%
Over 0.5 goals
League 91%
5 + 5 matches
50%
Over 1.5 goals
League 73%
5 + 5 matches
30%
Over 2.5 goals
League 43%
5 + 5 matches
20%
Over 3.5 goals
League 26%
5 + 5 matches
10%
Over 4.5 goals
League 10%
5 + 5 matches
2.1
Avg total goals
League 2.48
5 + 5 matches
40%
1st half over 0.5
League 66%
5 + 5 matches
0%
1st half over 1.5
League 31%
5 + 5 matches
10.7
Corners per match
League 10.11
5 + 5 matches
70%
Corners over 8.5
League 66%
5 + 5 matches
70%
Corners over 9.5
League 62%
5 + 5 matches
40%
Corners over 10.5
League 47%
5 + 5 matches
4.2
Cards per match
League 4.09
5 + 5 matches
70%
Cards over 3.5
League 57%
5 + 5 matches
50%
Cards over 4.5
League 44%
5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Salford at home, Tranmere away

Salford (home)		Tranmere (away)
1	Position	13
LWWWW	Last 5, oldest to newest	DDLDL
5	Played	5
2.40	Points per match	0.60
80%	Win %	0%
1.00	Scored / match	1.00
0.40	Conceded / match	1.80
1.40	Avg total goals	2.80
20%	Both scored	60%
60%	Clean sheets	20%
20%	Failed to score	40%
1.27	xG for	0.77
0.87	xG against	1.47

Half by half

SalfordTranmere

0.001st half scored / match0.00
0.201st half conceded / match0.60
1.002nd half scored / match1.00
0.202nd half conceded / match1.20
0%Leading at half-time0%
20%1st half over 0.560%
0%1st half over 1.50%
80%2nd half over 0.580%
20%2nd half over 1.560%
0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Salford at home, Tranmere away, this season.

Goals

SalfordTranmere

1.00Scored / match1.00
0.40Conceded / match1.80
1.40Match total / match2.80
80%Scored 1+60%
20%Scored 2+40%
40%Conceded 1+80%
0%Conceded 2+60%
20%Match over 1.580%
20%Match over 2.540%
0%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

SalfordTranmere

17.00Shots for10.40
11.00Shots against13.00
4.20On target for3.20
2.00On target against5.20
6%Shot conversion10%
1.27xG for0.77
0.87xG against1.47

Corners

SalfordTranmere

8.80Corners for3.40
3.00Corners against6.20
11.80Match total9.60
80%Over 7.580%
80%Over 8.560%
80%Over 9.560%
60%Over 10.520%
60%Over 11.520%

Cards

SalfordTranmere

1.00Cards for2.60
2.40Cards against2.40
3.40Match total5.00
80%Over 2.5100%
40%Over 3.5100%
20%Over 4.580%
0%Over 5.520%
9.20Fouls committed12.20

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
1	Salford	10	5	19
2	Barnet	8	9	18
3	Crewe	10	5	18
11	Grimsby	10	2	13
12	Newport County	10	1	13
13	Tranmere	10	0	12
14	Exeter	10	0	12
15	Accrington	10	-1	11

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League Two matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.