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Sandefjord v Tromsø IL, Eliteserien, Sun, 29 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 28. Sun, 29 Nov 2026

SandefjordHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
Tromsø ILAway
DLLWDLeague form, oldest to newestLDLLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Sandefjord have 14 scored home results and Tromsø IL 10 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Sandefjord at home: 1.14 points per match (14 measured matches); Tromsø IL away: 1.40 points per match (10 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Sandefjord scored 0.79 per home match (14 measured matches); Tromsø IL scored 1.90 away (10). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.59 per club appearance across 526 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 10 of 24 pooled club appearances (41.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Sandefjord: 0 wins; Tromsø IL: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 263 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Sandefjord
0.97
Expected goals, Tromsø IL
1.44
Most likely score
0-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
43%
Both clubs score
47%
Sandefjord score at least once
62%
Tromsø IL score at least once
76%
Season sample
30 and 21 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Sandefjord win–
Draw–
Tromsø IL win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Sandefjord goals, columns are Tromsø IL goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%13%9%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%
19%13%9%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%
24%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.85 goals) and away average (1.33 goals).

Sample. Sandefjord 30 matches, Tromsø IL 21, the league 263, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 263 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.586.8%13.2%
2.562.6%37.4%
3.534.7%65.3%
4.520.8%79.2%

First-half goals · 167 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.584.6%15.4%
1.545.0%55.0%
2.515.4%84.6%
3.55.3%94.7%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Sandefjord wins
0
Draws
1
Tromsø IL wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Sandefjord clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Tromsø IL clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Tromsø IL v SandefjordSun, 26 Apr 2026 · Eliteserien 20263–1HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Sandefjord at homeLDDDDW
Tromsø IL awayLWLLLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Sandefjord at home, Tromsø IL away
  • 44%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    14 + 10 matches
  • 84%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    14 + 10 matches
  • 72%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 87%
    14 + 10 matches
  • 44%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 63%
    14 + 10 matches
  • 29%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 35%
    14 + 10 matches
  • 25%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 21%
    14 + 10 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.18
    14 + 10 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 85%
    11 + 10 matches
  • 20%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 45%
    11 + 10 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Sandefjord at home, Tromsø IL away
Sandefjord (home)Tromsø IL (away)
15Position7
DDDDWLast 5, oldest to newestWWLLL
14Played10
1.14Points per match1.40
21%Win %40%
0.79Scored / match1.90
1.00Conceded / match2.00
1.79Avg total goals3.90
29%Both scored60%
43%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score30%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

SandefjordTromsø IL
  • 0.181st half scored / match0.40
  • 0.361st half conceded / match0.90
  • 0.732nd half scored / match1.50
  • 0.552nd half conceded / match1.10
  • 18%Leading at half-time20%
  • 46%1st half over 0.580%
  • 9%1st half over 1.530%
  • 64%2nd half over 0.590%
  • 46%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 18%Scored in both halves30%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Sandefjord at home, Tromsø IL away, this season.

Goals

SandefjordTromsø IL
  • 0.79Scored / match1.90
  • 1.00Conceded / match2.00
  • 1.79Match total / match3.90
  • 50%Scored 1+70%
  • 21%Scored 2+50%
  • 57%Conceded 1+80%
  • 29%Conceded 2+50%
  • 64%Match over 1.580%
  • 29%Match over 2.560%
  • 7%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#ClubPGDPts
6Molde27742
7Tromso211138
7Tromsø IL211138
9Sarpsborg 0828-933
10Lillestrom21-132
13Brann21729
14SK Brann22529
15Sandefjord30-1429
16HamKam28-2629
17Kristiansund29-3028
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Eliteserien matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.