Santander vs Vallecano stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Matchday 26. Sun, 28 Feb 2027

SantanderHome

vKick-off 19:00 UTC

VallecanoAway

WLWLLLeague form, oldest to newestLWLWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Campos de Sport de El Sardinero. Photo: Maria Victoria Gomez Fernandez, CC BY 2.5, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Santander have 3 scored home results and Vallecano 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Santander at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Vallecano away: 0.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Santander scored 2.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Vallecano scored 1.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.50 per club appearance across 146 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 7 pooled club appearances (100.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. Santander: 0 wins; Vallecano: 3 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Santander at home and Vallecano away.

Santander at home

xG 1.87

Shots per match13.7
On target per match4.3
Goals per match2.3

Vallecano away

xG 1.30

Shots per match13.5
On target per match4.3
Goals per match1.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 73 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Santander: 2.71
Expected goals, Vallecano: 2.73
Most likely score: 2-2 (6%)
Three or more goals: 91%
Both clubs score: 87%
Santander score at least once: 93%
Vallecano score at least once: 93%
Season sample: 7 and 7 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Santander win–

Draw–

Vallecano win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Santander goals, columns are Vallecano goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

01234567

01%2%1%1%1%

11%3%4%4%3%2%1%

22%4%6%5%4%2%1%

31%4%5%5%3%2%1%

41%3%4%3%2%1%1%

51%1%2%2%1%1%

61%1%1%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.70 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. Santander 7 matches, Vallecano 7, the league 73, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 73 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	76.0%	24.0%
2.5	56.0%	44.0%
3.5	37.3%	62.7%
4.5	22.7%	77.3%

First-half goals · 73 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	66.7%	33.3%
1.5	46.7%	53.3%
2.5	17.3%	82.7%
3.5	6.7%	93.3%

Corners · 69 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	50.7%	49.3%
9.5	49.3%	50.7%
10.5	39.4%	60.6%

Yellow + red card events · 69 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	95.8%	4.2%
1.5	87.3%	12.7%
2.5	76.1%	23.9%
3.5	62.0%	38.0%
4.5	47.9%	52.1%
5.5	33.8%	66.2%
6.5	14.1%	85.9%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Santander wins

Draws

Vallecano wins

Goals / meeting

3.33

10 goals in 3 meetings

Both scored

67%

2 of 3 meetings

Over 1.5

100%

3 of 3 meetings

Over 2.5

67%

2 of 3 meetings

Over 3.5

33%

1 of 3 meetings

Santander clean sheets

0 of 3 meetings

Vallecano clean sheets

33%

1 of 3 meetings

Corners / meeting

13.00

3 with corner data

Cards / meeting

7.00

3 with card data

Vallecano v SantanderSat, 5 Sept 2026 · La Liga 2026-273–2HT 2–2
Santander v VallecanoMon, 20 Jul 2020 · La Liga 2 2019-201–2HT 1–0
Vallecano v SantanderFri, 13 Sept 2019 · La Liga 2 2019-202–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Santander at homeWWDWLW

Sat, 12 Septv Alaves2–1C 4–6 · Y 3–3
Tue, 8 Septv Osasuna2–4C ––– · Y –––
Fri, 28 Augv Elche3–2C 5–10 · Y 2–1
Sun, 16 Augv Villarreal2–2C 6–10 · Y 2–4
Sun, 31 Mayv Cadiz4–1C 3–3 · Y 0–0
Sat, 16 Mayv Valladolid4–1C 6–2 · Y 1–1

Vallecano awayDWLLLD

Sat, 19 Sept@ Osasuna1–1C 4–4 · Y 2–3
Sat, 12 Sept@ Real Madrid1–4C 5–11 · Y 1–0
Mon, 31 Aug@ Barcelona2–5C 5–9 · Y 1–0
Sat, 15 Aug@ Sevilla1–2C 2–1 · Y 4–5
Sat, 23 May@ Alaves2–1C 5–10 · Y 3–3
Thu, 14 May@ Valencia1–1C 1–5 · Y 1–1

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Santander at home, Vallecano away

100%
Both teams scored
League 58%
3 + 4 matches
100%
Over 0.5 goals
League 93%
3 + 4 matches
100%
Over 1.5 goals
League 77%
3 + 4 matches
88%
Over 2.5 goals
League 56%
3 + 4 matches
58%
Over 3.5 goals
League 37%
3 + 4 matches
42%
Over 4.5 goals
League 22%
3 + 4 matches
4.1
Avg total goals
League 3.00
3 + 4 matches
100%
1st half over 0.5
League 67%
3 + 4 matches
75%
1st half over 1.5
League 47%
3 + 4 matches
12.0
Corners per match
League 9.65
3 + 4 matches
75%
Corners over 8.5
League 51%
3 + 4 matches
75%
Corners over 9.5
League 49%
3 + 4 matches
58%
Corners over 10.5
League 39%
3 + 4 matches
4.5
Cards per match
League 4.29
3 + 4 matches
58%
Cards over 3.5
League 62%
3 + 4 matches
58%
Cards over 4.5
League 48%
3 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Santander at home, Vallecano away

Santander (home)		Vallecano (away)
16	Position	12
DWW	Last 5, oldest to newest	LLLD
3	Played	4
2.33	Points per match	0.25
67%	Win %	0%
2.33	Scored / match	1.25
1.67	Conceded / match	3.00
4.00	Avg total goals	4.25
100%	Both scored	100%
0%	Clean sheets	0%
0%	Failed to score	0%
1.87	xG for	1.30
1.23	xG against	2.04

Half by half

SantanderVallecano

2.001st half scored / match0.50
1.001st half conceded / match1.50
0.332nd half scored / match0.75
0.672nd half conceded / match1.50
33%Leading at half-time25%
100%1st half over 0.5100%
100%1st half over 1.550%
67%2nd half over 0.5100%
33%2nd half over 1.575%
33%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Santander at home, Vallecano away, this season.

Goals

SantanderVallecano

2.33Scored / match1.25
1.67Conceded / match3.00
4.00Match total / match4.25
100%Scored 1+100%
100%Scored 2+25%
100%Conceded 1+100%
67%Conceded 2+75%
100%Match over 1.5100%
100%Match over 2.575%
67%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

SantanderVallecano

13.67Shots for13.50
15.33Shots against18.25
4.33On target for4.25
7.33On target against6.75
17%Shot conversion9%
1.87xG for1.30
1.23xG against2.04

Corners

SantanderVallecano

5.00Corners for4.00
8.67Corners against6.25
13.67Match total10.25
100%Over 7.575%
100%Over 8.550%
100%Over 9.550%
67%Over 10.550%
67%Over 11.550%

Cards

SantanderVallecano

2.33Cards for2.00
2.67Cards against2.00
5.00Match total4.00
100%Over 2.550%
67%Over 3.550%
67%Over 4.550%
67%Over 5.525%
15.67Fouls committed13.75

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanol	8	0	8
12	Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta	7	2	7
16	Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for La Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.