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Sassuolo v Como, Serie A, Sun, 31 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 22. Sun, 31 Jan 2027

SassuoloHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
ComoAway
LWDWLLeague form, oldest to newestDWWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore. Photo: Vincenzo.togni, CC BY 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Sassuolo have 2 scored home results and Como 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Sassuolo at home: 3.00 points per match (2 measured matches); Como away: 1.75 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Sassuolo scored 2.50 per home match (2 measured matches); Como scored 1.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.45 per club appearance across 106 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 6 pooled club appearances (83.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Sassuolo: 1 wins; Como: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Sassuolo at home and Como away.

Sassuolo at home

xG 1.44
  • Shots per match14.5
  • On target per match6.5
  • Goals per match2.5

Como away

xG 1.61
  • Shots per match22.0
  • On target per match7.3
  • Goals per match1.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 53 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Sassuolo
1.58
Expected goals, Como
2.09
Most likely score
1-2 (9%)
Three or more goals
71%
Both clubs score
70%
Sassuolo score at least once
79%
Como score at least once
88%
Season sample
5 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Sassuolo win–
Draw–
Como win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Sassuolo goals, columns are Como goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%5%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
14%8%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
23%7%7%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%
32%4%4%3%1%1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.55 goals) and away average (1.36 goals).

Sample. Sassuolo 5 matches, Como 5, the league 53, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 53 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.8%18.2%
2.556.4%43.6%
3.527.3%72.7%
4.518.2%81.8%

First-half goals · 53 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.565.5%34.5%
1.534.5%65.5%
2.516.4%83.6%
3.59.1%90.9%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.555.8%44.2%
9.542.3%57.7%
10.534.6%65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.592.3%7.7%
1.578.8%21.2%
2.567.3%32.7%
3.546.2%53.8%
4.525.0%75.0%
5.517.3%82.7%
6.53.8%96.2%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Sassuolo wins
0
Draws
1
Como wins
Goals / meeting
2.50
5 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Sassuolo clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Como clean sheets
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
10.50
2 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
4.50
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Sassuolo v ComoFri, 17 Apr 2026 · Serie A 2025-262–1HT 2–1
  2. Como v SassuoloFri, 28 Nov 2025 · Serie A 2025-262–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Sassuolo at homeWLWWDW
Como awayWDWWLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Sassuolo at home, Como away
  • 88%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 100%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 83%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 57%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 38%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 38%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 17%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 3.5
    Avg total goals
    League 2.91
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 63%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 10.5
    Corners per match
    League 9.50
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 56%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 42%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 34%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 3.5
    Cards per match
    League 3.32
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 63%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 46%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample
  • 13%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 24%
    2 + 4 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Sassuolo at home, Como away
Sassuolo (home)Como (away)
10Position8
WWLast 5, oldest to newestDWWL
2Played4
3.00Points per match1.75
100%Win %50%
2.50Scored / match1.75
1.50Conceded / match1.25
4.00Avg total goals3.00
100%Both scored75%
0%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score25%
1.44xG for1.61
1.18xG against1.62

Half by half

SassuoloComo
  • 0.501st half scored / match1.25
  • 0.501st half conceded / match1.25
  • 2.002nd half scored / match0.50
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match0.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time50%
  • 50%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 50%1st half over 1.575%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 50%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Sassuolo at home, Como away, this season.

Goals

SassuoloComo
  • 2.50Scored / match1.75
  • 1.50Conceded / match1.25
  • 4.00Match total / match3.00
  • 100%Scored 1+75%
  • 100%Scored 2+50%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 50%Conceded 2+25%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 100%Match over 2.550%
  • 50%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

SassuoloComo
  • 14.50Shots for22.00
  • 14.50Shots against15.75
  • 6.50On target for7.25
  • 6.00On target against3.25
  • 17%Shot conversion8%
  • 1.44xG for1.61
  • 1.18xG against1.62

Corners

SassuoloComo
  • 3.50Corners for7.25
  • 6.50Corners against3.75
  • 10.00Match total11.00
  • 50%Over 7.5100%
  • 50%Over 8.5100%
  • 50%Over 9.550%
  • 50%Over 10.550%
  • 50%Over 11.525%

Cards

SassuoloComo
  • 2.50Cards for0.75
  • 1.50Cards against2.25
  • 4.00Match total3.00
  • 100%Over 2.575%
  • 100%Over 3.525%
  • 0%Over 4.525%
  • 0%Over 5.50%
  • 10.00Fouls committed7.75

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
6Napoli6410
7Juventus5410
8Como5310
9Frosinone6210
10Sassuolo507
11Atalanta5-26
12Lecce5-56
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie A matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.