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SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen v SV Bergisch Gladbach 09, Regionalliga West, Sat, 20 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 22. Sat, 20 Feb 2027

SC Rot-Weiß OberhausenHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09Away
WWWWWLeague form, oldest to newestWLWLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen have 6 scored home results and SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen at home: 2.17 points per match (6 measured matches); SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 away: 1.50 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen scored 2.17 per home match (6 measured matches); SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 scored 2.00 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.75 per club appearance across 202 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 12 pooled club appearances (75.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen: 1 wins; SV Bergisch Gladbach 09: 0 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 101 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
3.01
Expected goals, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09
0.81
Most likely score
3-0 (10%)
Three or more goals
73%
Both clubs score
53%
SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen score at least once
95%
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 score at least once
56%
Season sample
11 and 12 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen win–
Draw–
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen goals, columns are SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
02%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
17%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
310%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
48%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
55%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
62%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
71%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.67 goals) and away average (1.83 goals).

Sample. SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen 11 matches, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 12, the league 101, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 25 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 101 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.587.4%12.6%
2.569.9%30.1%
3.548.5%51.5%
4.529.1%70.9%

First-half goals · 101 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.7%24.3%
1.555.3%44.7%
2.518.4%81.6%
3.58.7%91.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen wins
0
Draws
0
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 v SC Rot-Weiß OberhausenSat, 29 Aug 2026 · Regionalliga West 2026-270–4HT 0–3

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen at homeDLWWWW
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 awayWLWWLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen at home, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 away
  • 75%
    Both teams scored
    League 72%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 88%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 83%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 70%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 58%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 49%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 25%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 29%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 3.6
    Avg total goals
    League 3.50
    6 + 6 matches
  • 83%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 58%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 55%
    6 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen at home, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 away
SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen (home)SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 (away)
1Position8
LWWWWLast 5, oldest to newestLWWLL
6Played6
2.17Points per match1.50
67%Win %50%
2.17Scored / match2.00
1.00Conceded / match2.00
3.17Avg total goals4.00
67%Both scored83%
33%Clean sheets17%
17%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

SC Rot-Weiß OberhausenSV Bergisch Gladbach 09
  • 0.831st half scored / match0.67
  • 0.831st half conceded / match0.83
  • 1.332nd half scored / match1.33
  • 0.172nd half conceded / match1.17
  • 17%Leading at half-time17%
  • 83%1st half over 0.583%
  • 83%1st half over 1.533%
  • 83%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.583%
  • 67%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen at home, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 away, this season.

Goals

SC Rot-Weiß OberhausenSV Bergisch Gladbach 09
  • 2.17Scored / match2.00
  • 1.00Conceded / match2.00
  • 3.17Match total / match4.00
  • 83%Scored 1+100%
  • 67%Scored 2+83%
  • 67%Conceded 1+83%
  • 33%Conceded 2+50%
  • 83%Match over 1.5100%
  • 83%Match over 2.583%
  • 50%Match over 3.567%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Regionalliga West matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.