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SC Villa v Blacks Power FC, Uganda Premier League, Tue, 27 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 8. Tue, 27 Oct 2026

SC VillaHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
Blacks Power FCAway
DWWWDLeague form, oldest to newestWWWLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, SC Villa have 3 scored home results and Blacks Power FC 2 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: SC Villa at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Blacks Power FC away: 1.50 points per match (2 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. SC Villa scored 2.00 per home match (3 measured matches); Blacks Power FC scored 1.50 away (2). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.01 per club appearance across 82 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 5 pooled club appearances (60.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 41 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, SC Villa
2.61
Expected goals, Blacks Power FC
0.32
Most likely score
2-0 (18%)
Three or more goals
56%
Both clubs score
26%
SC Villa score at least once
93%
Blacks Power FC score at least once
28%
Season sample
5 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

SC Villa win–
Draw–
Blacks Power FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are SC Villa goals, columns are Blacks Power FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
05%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
114%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
218%6%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
316%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
410%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
55%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
62%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
71%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.20 goals) and away average (0.83 goals).

Sample. SC Villa 5 matches, Blacks Power FC 5, the league 41, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.555.8%44.2%
2.539.5%60.5%
3.516.3%83.7%
4.59.3%90.7%

First-half goals · 41 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.553.5%46.5%
1.525.6%74.4%
2.511.6%88.4%
3.54.7%95.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
SC Villa at homeDWW
Blacks Power FC awayWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
SC Villa at home, Blacks Power FC away
  • 67%
    Both teams scored
    League 34%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 85%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 56%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 39%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 15%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 7%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.02
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 54%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 24%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
SC Villa at home, Blacks Power FC away
SC Villa (home)Blacks Power FC (away)
3Position5
DWWLast 5, oldest to newestWL
3Played2
2.33Points per match1.50
67%Win %50%
2.00Scored / match1.50
0.33Conceded / match1.50
2.33Avg total goals3.00
33%Both scored100%
67%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

SC VillaBlacks Power FC
  • 1.331st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.672nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 100%Leading at half-time0%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 33%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 67%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

SC Villa at home, Blacks Power FC away, this season.

Goals

SC VillaBlacks Power FC
  • 2.00Scored / match1.50
  • 0.33Conceded / match1.50
  • 2.33Match total / match3.00
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 67%Scored 2+50%
  • 33%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 33%Match over 2.5100%
  • 0%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Uganda Premier League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.