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Sekhukhune United v Kruger United, South African Premier Division, Tue, 16 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 23. Tue, 16 Mar 2027

Sekhukhune UnitedHome
vKick-off 17:30 UTC
Kruger UnitedAway
WLDDWLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Sekhukhune United have 3 scored home results and Kruger United 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Sekhukhune United at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Kruger United away: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Sekhukhune United scored 1.00 per home match (3 measured matches); Kruger United scored 0.67 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.14 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 1 of 6 pooled club appearances (16.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Sekhukhune United
1.62
Expected goals, Kruger United
0.35
Most likely score
1-0 (23%)
Three or more goals
31%
Both clubs score
24%
Sekhukhune United score at least once
80%
Kruger United score at least once
29%
Season sample
7 and 7 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Sekhukhune United win–
Draw–
Kruger United win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Sekhukhune United goals, columns are Kruger United goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
014%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
123%8%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
218%6%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
310%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
44%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.23 goals) and away average (1.05 goals).

Sample. Sekhukhune United 7 matches, Kruger United 7, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 17 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.567.8%32.2%
2.533.9%66.1%
3.523.7%76.3%
4.513.6%86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.555.9%44.1%
1.522.0%78.0%
2.55.1%94.9%
3.53.4%96.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Sekhukhune United at homeDWWLD
Kruger United awayDLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Sekhukhune United at home, Kruger United away
  • 17%
    Both teams scored
    League 46%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 84%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 68%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 33%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 23%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 1.2
    Avg total goals
    League 2.28
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 56%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 21%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Sekhukhune United at home, Kruger United away
Sekhukhune United (home)Kruger United (away)
6Position13
WWDLast 5, oldest to newestDLW
3Played3
2.33Points per match1.33
67%Win %33%
1.00Scored / match0.67
0.00Conceded / match0.67
1.00Avg total goals1.33
0%Both scored33%
100%Clean sheets67%
33%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Sekhukhune UnitedKruger United
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.001st half conceded / match0.00
  • 0.002nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.002nd half conceded / match0.67
  • 67%Leading at half-time0%
  • 67%1st half over 0.50%
  • 33%1st half over 1.50%
  • 0%2nd half over 0.567%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Sekhukhune United at home, Kruger United away, this season.

Goals

Sekhukhune UnitedKruger United
  • 1.00Scored / match0.67
  • 0.00Conceded / match0.67
  • 1.00Match total / match1.33
  • 67%Scored 1+67%
  • 33%Scored 2+0%
  • 0%Conceded 1+33%
  • 0%Conceded 2+33%
  • 33%Match over 1.533%
  • 0%Match over 2.533%
  • 0%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for South African Premier Division matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.