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SG Wattenscheid 09 v Borussia Dortmund II U23, Regionalliga West, Sat, 10 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 29. Sat, 10 Apr 2027

SG Wattenscheid 09Home
vKick-off 12:00 UTC
Borussia Dortmund II U23Away
DLDWLLeague form, oldest to newestWDWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, SG Wattenscheid 09 have 6 scored home results and Borussia Dortmund II U23 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: SG Wattenscheid 09 at home: 1.83 points per match (6 measured matches); Borussia Dortmund II U23 away: 2.00 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. SG Wattenscheid 09 scored 1.83 per home match (6 measured matches); Borussia Dortmund II U23 scored 1.67 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.75 per club appearance across 202 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 12 pooled club appearances (75.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. SG Wattenscheid 09: 0 wins; Borussia Dortmund II U23: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 101 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, SG Wattenscheid 09
0.89
Expected goals, Borussia Dortmund II U23
2.39
Most likely score
0-2 (11%)
Three or more goals
64%
Both clubs score
54%
SG Wattenscheid 09 score at least once
59%
Borussia Dortmund II U23 score at least once
91%
Season sample
12 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

SG Wattenscheid 09 win–
Draw–
Borussia Dortmund II U23 win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are SG Wattenscheid 09 goals, columns are Borussia Dortmund II U23 goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%9%11%9%5%2%1%under 1%
13%8%10%8%5%2%1%under 1%
21%4%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.67 goals) and away average (1.83 goals).

Sample. SG Wattenscheid 09 12 matches, Borussia Dortmund II U23 11, the league 101, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 27 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 101 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.587.4%12.6%
2.569.9%30.1%
3.548.5%51.5%
4.529.1%70.9%

First-half goals · 101 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.7%24.3%
1.555.3%44.7%
2.518.4%81.6%
3.58.7%91.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
SG Wattenscheid 09 wins
0
Draws
1
Borussia Dortmund II U23 wins
Goals / meeting
5.00
5 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
SG Wattenscheid 09 clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Borussia Dortmund II U23 clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Borussia Dortmund II U23 v SG Wattenscheid 09Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga West 2026-273–2HT 2–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
SG Wattenscheid 09 at homeLWWDDW
Borussia Dortmund II U23 awayDWWDDW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
SG Wattenscheid 09 at home, Borussia Dortmund II U23 away
  • 75%
    Both teams scored
    League 72%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 88%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 70%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 25%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 49%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 29%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 3.50
    6 + 6 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    6 + 6 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 55%
    6 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
SG Wattenscheid 09 at home, Borussia Dortmund II U23 away
SG Wattenscheid 09 (home)Borussia Dortmund II U23 (away)
14Position2
WWDDWLast 5, oldest to newestWWDDW
6Played6
1.83Points per match2.00
50%Win %50%
1.83Scored / match1.67
1.00Conceded / match0.67
2.83Avg total goals2.33
83%Both scored67%
17%Clean sheets33%
0%Failed to score17%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

SG Wattenscheid 09Borussia Dortmund II U23
  • 1.171st half scored / match0.67
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.33
  • 0.672nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match0.33
  • 50%Leading at half-time33%
  • 83%1st half over 0.567%
  • 67%1st half over 1.533%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.567%
  • 17%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 17%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

SG Wattenscheid 09 at home, Borussia Dortmund II U23 away, this season.

Goals

SG Wattenscheid 09Borussia Dortmund II U23
  • 1.83Scored / match1.67
  • 1.00Conceded / match0.67
  • 2.83Match total / match2.33
  • 100%Scored 1+83%
  • 50%Scored 2+50%
  • 83%Conceded 1+67%
  • 17%Conceded 2+0%
  • 100%Match over 1.583%
  • 67%Match over 2.533%
  • 17%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Regionalliga West matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.