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MatchDaySync

Sheffield United v Southampton, EFL Championship, Tue, 24 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 17. Tue, 24 Nov 2026

Sheffield UnitedHome
vKick-off 19:45 UTC
SouthamptonAway
LWLLWLeague form, oldest to newestDDWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Bramall Lane. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Sheffield United have 5 scored home results and Southampton 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Sheffield United at home: 1.40 points per match (5 measured matches); Southampton away: 0.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Sheffield United scored 1.40 per home match (5 measured matches); Southampton scored 1.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.42 per club appearance across 212 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 9 pooled club appearances (66.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 6. Sheffield United: 0 wins; Southampton: 6 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Sheffield United at home and Southampton away.

Sheffield United at home

xG 0.98
  • Shots per match8.3
  • On target per match3.0
  • Goals per match1.4

Southampton away

xG 1.37
  • Shots per match16.5
  • On target per match4.5
  • Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 106 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Sheffield United
1.30
Expected goals, Southampton
1.81
Most likely score
1-1 (11%)
Three or more goals
60%
Both clubs score
61%
Sheffield United score at least once
73%
Southampton score at least once
84%
Season sample
9 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Sheffield United win–
Draw–
Southampton win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Sheffield United goals, columns are Southampton goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%8%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
16%11%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
24%7%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
32%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.58 goals) and away average (1.26 goals).

Sample. Sheffield United 9 matches, Southampton 8, the league 106, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 106 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.7%21.3%
2.562.0%38.0%
3.534.3%65.7%
4.510.2%89.8%

First-half goals · 106 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.578.7%21.3%
1.539.8%60.2%
2.516.7%83.3%
3.58.3%91.7%

Corners · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.570.1%29.9%
9.558.8%41.2%
10.549.5%50.5%

Yellow + red card events · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.9%3.1%
1.592.8%7.2%
2.575.3%24.7%
3.548.5%51.5%
4.536.1%63.9%
5.518.6%81.4%
6.512.4%87.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

6 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Sheffield United wins
0
Draws
6
Southampton wins
Goals / meeting
2.33
14 goals in 6 meetings
Both scored
33%
2 of 6 meetings
Over 1.5
67%
4 of 6 meetings
Over 2.5
50%
3 of 6 meetings
Over 3.5
17%
1 of 6 meetings
Sheffield United clean sheets
0%
0 of 6 meetings
Southampton clean sheets
67%
4 of 6 meetings
Corners / meeting
12.00
6 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.83
6 with card data
  1. Southampton v Sheffield UnitedWed, 21 Jan 2026 · EFL Championship 2025-261–0HT 1–0
  2. Sheffield United v SouthamptonTue, 30 Sept 2025 · EFL Championship 2025-261–2HT 1–0
  3. Sheffield United v SouthamptonSat, 6 Mar 2021 · Premier League 2020-210–2HT 0–1
  4. Southampton v Sheffield UnitedSun, 13 Dec 2020 · Premier League 2020-213–0HT 1–0
  5. Southampton v Sheffield UnitedSun, 26 Jul 2020 · Premier League 2019-203–1HT 0–1
  6. Sheffield United v SouthamptonSat, 14 Sept 2019 · Premier League 2019-200–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Sheffield United at homeLDWLLW
Southampton awayWWLDDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Sheffield United at home, Southampton away
  • 70%
    Both teams scored
    League 67%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 80%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 55%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 20%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 9%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.85
    5 + 4 matches
  • 80%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 79%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 9.4
    Corners per match
    League 10.60
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 71%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 59%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 4.0
    Cards per match
    League 3.92
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 48%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 36%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Sheffield United at home, Southampton away
Sheffield United (home)Southampton (away)
14Position5
DWLLWLast 5, oldest to newestLDDL
5Played4
1.40Points per match0.50
40%Win %0%
1.40Scored / match1.00
1.20Conceded / match1.50
2.60Avg total goals2.50
40%Both scored100%
40%Clean sheets0%
40%Failed to score0%
0.98xG for1.37
1.89xG against1.21

Half by half

Sheffield UnitedSouthampton
  • 0.601st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.601st half conceded / match0.75
  • 0.802nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.602nd half conceded / match0.75
  • 20%Leading at half-time50%
  • 60%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 40%1st half over 1.525%
  • 80%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 40%2nd half over 1.525%
  • 40%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Sheffield United at home, Southampton away, this season.

Goals

Sheffield UnitedSouthampton
  • 1.40Scored / match1.00
  • 1.20Conceded / match1.50
  • 2.60Match total / match2.50
  • 60%Scored 1+100%
  • 40%Scored 2+0%
  • 60%Conceded 1+100%
  • 40%Conceded 2+50%
  • 60%Match over 1.5100%
  • 60%Match over 2.550%
  • 40%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

Sheffield UnitedSouthampton
  • 8.25Shots for16.50
  • 16.00Shots against14.75
  • 3.00On target for4.50
  • 4.75On target against4.00
  • 12%Shot conversion6%
  • 0.98xG for1.37
  • 1.89xG against1.21

Corners

Sheffield UnitedSouthampton
  • 3.50Corners for5.50
  • 6.50Corners against3.25
  • 10.00Match total8.75
  • 100%Over 7.575%
  • 100%Over 8.550%
  • 75%Over 9.550%
  • 25%Over 10.525%
  • 0%Over 11.525%

Cards

Sheffield UnitedSouthampton
  • 1.00Cards for2.25
  • 1.50Cards against3.25
  • 2.50Match total5.50
  • 50%Over 2.5100%
  • 25%Over 3.575%
  • 25%Over 4.575%
  • 0%Over 5.525%
  • 11.50Fouls committed8.50

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
3West Ham91116
4Stoke9216
5Southampton8914
6Wolves8414
7QPR9314
12Charlton9-313
13Blackburn9112
14Sheffield United9112
15Wrexham9-311
16Lincoln9-411
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.