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Sheffield United v West Brom, EFL Championship, Sat, 3 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 40. Sat, 3 Apr 2027

Sheffield UnitedHome
vKick-off 14:00 UTC
West BromAway
LWLLWLeague form, oldest to newestWWDLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Bramall Lane. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Sheffield United have 5 scored home results and West Brom 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Sheffield United at home: 1.40 points per match (5 measured matches); West Brom away: 1.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Sheffield United scored 1.40 per home match (5 measured matches); West Brom scored 1.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.42 per club appearance across 212 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 9 pooled club appearances (44.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Sheffield United: 4 wins; West Brom: 3 wins; draws: 3.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Sheffield United at home and West Brom away.

Sheffield United at home

xG 0.98
  • Shots per match8.3
  • On target per match3.0
  • Goals per match1.4

West Brom away

xG 0.98
  • Shots per match8.0
  • On target per match2.8
  • Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 106 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Sheffield United
1.04
Expected goals, West Brom
0.85
Most likely score
1-0 (16%)
Three or more goals
29%
Both clubs score
37%
Sheffield United score at least once
65%
West Brom score at least once
57%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Sheffield United win–
Draw–
West Brom win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Sheffield United goals, columns are West Brom goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
015%13%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
116%13%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.58 goals) and away average (1.26 goals).

Sample. Sheffield United 9 matches, West Brom 9, the league 106, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 106 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.7%21.3%
2.562.0%38.0%
3.534.3%65.7%
4.510.2%89.8%

First-half goals · 106 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.578.7%21.3%
1.539.8%60.2%
2.516.7%83.3%
3.58.3%91.7%

Corners · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.570.1%29.9%
9.558.8%41.2%
10.549.5%50.5%

Yellow + red card events · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.9%3.1%
1.592.8%7.2%
2.575.3%24.7%
3.548.5%51.5%
4.536.1%63.9%
5.518.6%81.4%
6.512.4%87.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Sheffield United wins
3
Draws
3
West Brom wins
Goals / meeting
2.40
24 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Sheffield United clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
West Brom clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.30
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.00
10 with card data
  1. Sheffield United v West BromSat, 7 Mar 2026 · EFL Championship 2025-261–1HT 0–0
  2. West Brom v Sheffield UnitedFri, 12 Dec 2025 · EFL Championship 2025-262–0HT 0–0
  3. Sheffield United v West BromSun, 29 Dec 2024 · EFL Championship 2024-251–1HT 1–1
  4. West Brom v Sheffield UnitedSun, 8 Dec 2024 · EFL Championship 2024-252–2HT 1–2
  5. Sheffield United v West BromWed, 26 Apr 2023 · EFL Championship 2022-232–0HT 0–0
  6. West Brom v Sheffield UnitedSat, 29 Oct 2022 · EFL Championship 2022-230–2HT 0–2
  7. Sheffield United v West BromWed, 9 Feb 2022 · EFL Championship 2021-222–0HT 1–0
  8. West Brom v Sheffield UnitedWed, 18 Aug 2021 · EFL Championship 2021-224–0HT 1–0
  9. Sheffield United v West BromTue, 2 Feb 2021 · Premier League 2020-212–1HT 0–1
  10. West Brom v Sheffield UnitedSat, 28 Nov 2020 · Premier League 2020-211–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Sheffield United at homeLDWLLW
West Brom awayWWLLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Sheffield United at home, West Brom away
  • 45%
    Both teams scored
    League 67%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 55%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 55%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 33%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 9%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.85
    5 + 4 matches
  • 43%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 79%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 20%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 11.5
    Corners per match
    League 10.60
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 71%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 59%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 2.6
    Cards per match
    League 3.92
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 48%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 36%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Sheffield United at home, West Brom away
Sheffield United (home)West Brom (away)
14Position10
DWLLWLast 5, oldest to newestWLWL
5Played4
1.40Points per match1.50
40%Win %50%
1.40Scored / match1.00
1.20Conceded / match1.25
2.60Avg total goals2.25
40%Both scored50%
40%Clean sheets25%
40%Failed to score25%
0.98xG for0.98
1.89xG against2.17

Half by half

Sheffield UnitedWest Brom
  • 0.601st half scored / match0.25
  • 0.601st half conceded / match0.00
  • 0.802nd half scored / match0.75
  • 0.602nd half conceded / match1.25
  • 20%Leading at half-time25%
  • 60%1st half over 0.525%
  • 40%1st half over 1.50%
  • 80%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 40%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 40%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Sheffield United at home, West Brom away, this season.

Goals

Sheffield UnitedWest Brom
  • 1.40Scored / match1.00
  • 1.20Conceded / match1.25
  • 2.60Match total / match2.25
  • 60%Scored 1+75%
  • 40%Scored 2+25%
  • 60%Conceded 1+75%
  • 40%Conceded 2+25%
  • 60%Match over 1.550%
  • 60%Match over 2.550%
  • 40%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

Sheffield UnitedWest Brom
  • 8.25Shots for8.00
  • 16.00Shots against15.75
  • 3.00On target for2.75
  • 4.75On target against5.50
  • 12%Shot conversion13%
  • 0.98xG for0.98
  • 1.89xG against2.17

Corners

Sheffield UnitedWest Brom
  • 3.50Corners for4.50
  • 6.50Corners against8.50
  • 10.00Match total13.00
  • 100%Over 7.5100%
  • 100%Over 8.5100%
  • 75%Over 9.5100%
  • 25%Over 10.575%
  • 0%Over 11.575%

Cards

Sheffield UnitedWest Brom
  • 1.00Cards for2.50
  • 1.50Cards against0.25
  • 2.50Match total2.75
  • 50%Over 2.550%
  • 25%Over 3.525%
  • 25%Over 4.525%
  • 0%Over 5.50%
  • 11.50Fouls committed10.25

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
8Birmingham9214
9Millwall9114
10West Brom9114
11Bristol City9-114
12Charlton9-313
13Blackburn9112
14Sheffield United9112
15Wrexham9-311
16Lincoln9-411
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.