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Shonan Bellmare v Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo, J2 League, Sat, 27 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 29. Sat, 27 Mar 2027

Shonan BellmareHome
vKick-off 09:00 UTC
Hokkaido Consadole SapporoAway
WDWDDLeague form, oldest to newestDDLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Shonan Bellmare have 4 scored home results and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Shonan Bellmare at home: 1.25 points per match (4 measured matches); Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo away: 0.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Shonan Bellmare scored 1.00 per home match (4 measured matches); Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo scored 1.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.27 per club appearance across 192 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 8 pooled club appearances (75.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Shonan Bellmare: 1 wins; Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo: 4 wins; draws: 5.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 96 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Shonan Bellmare
1.66
Expected goals, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0.67
Most likely score
1-0 (16%)
Three or more goals
41%
Both clubs score
39%
Shonan Bellmare score at least once
81%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo score at least once
49%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Shonan Bellmare win–
Draw–
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Shonan Bellmare goals, columns are Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
116%11%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
213%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
37%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.41 goals) and away average (1.13 goals).

Sample. Shonan Bellmare 9 matches, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 9, the league 96, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 96 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.572.4%27.6%
2.546.9%53.1%
3.525.5%74.5%
4.514.3%85.7%

First-half goals · 96 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.3%33.7%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.511.2%88.8%
3.55.1%94.9%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Shonan Bellmare wins
5
Draws
4
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo wins
Goals / meeting
2.70
27 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Shonan Bellmare clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Shonan Bellmare v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSat, 9 Nov 2024 · J1 League 20241–1
  2. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Shonan BellmareSat, 27 Apr 2024 · J1 League 20243–3
  3. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Shonan BellmareSat, 16 Sept 2023 · J1 League 20230–1
  4. Shonan Bellmare v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSat, 13 May 2023 · J1 League 20232–4
  5. Shonan Bellmare v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSun, 7 Aug 2022 · J1 League 20221–5
  6. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Shonan BellmareFri, 29 Apr 2022 · J1 League 20221–0
  7. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Shonan BellmareWed, 3 Nov 2021 · J1 League 20211–1
  8. Shonan Bellmare v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSun, 2 May 2021 · J1 League 20210–0
  9. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo v Shonan BellmareSat, 10 Oct 2020 · J1 League 20202–1
  10. Shonan Bellmare v Hokkaido Consadole SapporoSun, 12 Jul 2020 · J1 League 20200–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Shonan Bellmare at homeWWWLDD
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo awayLLWDLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Shonan Bellmare at home, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo away
  • 75%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 47%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 2.5
    Avg total goals
    League 2.53
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 32%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Shonan Bellmare at home, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo away
Shonan Bellmare (home)Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (away)
6Position19
WLDDLast 5, oldest to newestLDLL
4Played4
1.25Points per match0.25
25%Win %0%
1.00Scored / match1.00
1.25Conceded / match1.75
2.25Avg total goals2.75
75%Both scored75%
25%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score25%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Shonan BellmareHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
  • 0.251st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.751st half conceded / match1.25
  • 0.752nd half scored / match0.50
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 0%Leading at half-time0%
  • 50%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 25%1st half over 1.575%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.525%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Shonan Bellmare at home, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo away, this season.

Goals

Shonan BellmareHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
  • 1.00Scored / match1.00
  • 1.25Conceded / match1.75
  • 2.25Match total / match2.75
  • 100%Scored 1+75%
  • 0%Scored 2+25%
  • 75%Conceded 1+100%
  • 25%Conceded 2+50%
  • 75%Match over 1.575%
  • 25%Match over 2.550%
  • 25%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for J2 League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.