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SK Trygg/Lade v Rana FK, 2nd Division, Group 2, Sat, 31 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 26. Sat, 31 Oct 2026

SK Trygg/LadeHome
vKick-off 12:00 UTC
Rana FKAway
LLLLDLeague form, oldest to newestLLWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, SK Trygg/Lade have 11 scored home results and Rana FK 11 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: SK Trygg/Lade at home: 0.45 points per match (11 measured matches); Rana FK away: 1.18 points per match (11 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. SK Trygg/Lade scored 1.27 per home match (11 measured matches); Rana FK scored 1.82 away (11). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.75 per club appearance across 314 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 18 of 22 pooled club appearances (81.8%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. SK Trygg/Lade: 0 wins; Rana FK: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 157 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, SK Trygg/Lade
1.40
Expected goals, Rana FK
2.17
Most likely score
1-2 (9%)
Three or more goals
69%
Both clubs score
67%
SK Trygg/Lade score at least once
75%
Rana FK score at least once
89%
Season sample
23 and 24 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

SK Trygg/Lade win–
Draw–
Rana FK win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are SK Trygg/Lade goals, columns are Rana FK goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%6%7%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%
14%9%9%7%4%2%1%under 1%
23%6%6%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%
31%3%3%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.90 goals) and away average (1.59 goals).

Sample. SK Trygg/Lade 23 matches, Rana FK 24, the league 157, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.583.0%17.0%
2.569.8%30.2%
3.544.7%55.3%
4.533.3%66.7%

First-half goals · 157 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.5%24.5%
1.547.2%52.8%
2.521.4%78.6%
3.56.9%93.1%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
SK Trygg/Lade wins
0
Draws
1
Rana FK wins
Goals / meeting
1.00
1 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
SK Trygg/Lade clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Rana FK clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Rana FK v SK Trygg/LadeMon, 6 Apr 2026 · 2nd Division, Group 2 20261–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
SK Trygg/Lade at homeLDLLLL
Rana FK awayLWWLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
SK Trygg/Lade at home, Rana FK away
  • 82%
    Both teams scored
    League 64%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 91%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 83%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 77%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 70%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 50%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 45%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 32%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 33%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 3.7
    Avg total goals
    League 3.49
    11 + 11 matches
  • 68%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    11 + 11 matches
  • 59%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 47%
    11 + 11 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
SK Trygg/Lade at home, Rana FK away
SK Trygg/Lade (home)Rana FK (away)
14Position9
LDLLLLast 5, oldest to newestLWLWL
11Played11
0.45Points per match1.18
9%Win %36%
1.27Scored / match1.82
2.09Conceded / match2.18
3.36Avg total goals4.00
82%Both scored82%
0%Clean sheets9%
18%Failed to score9%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

SK Trygg/LadeRana FK
  • 0.731st half scored / match0.55
  • 0.911st half conceded / match0.82
  • 0.552nd half scored / match1.27
  • 1.182nd half conceded / match1.36
  • 18%Leading at half-time9%
  • 82%1st half over 0.555%
  • 64%1st half over 1.555%
  • 91%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 64%2nd half over 1.582%
  • 18%Scored in both halves27%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

SK Trygg/Lade at home, Rana FK away, this season.

Goals

SK Trygg/LadeRana FK
  • 1.27Scored / match1.82
  • 2.09Conceded / match2.18
  • 3.36Match total / match4.00
  • 82%Scored 1+91%
  • 27%Scored 2+64%
  • 100%Conceded 1+91%
  • 73%Conceded 2+64%
  • 82%Match over 1.5100%
  • 73%Match over 2.582%
  • 46%Match over 3.555%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#ClubPGDPts
7Lørenskog IF23-434
8Stjørdals/Blink23-133
9Rana FK24-331
10Junkeren IK21-828
11Skeid23-1920
12Follo FK23-2015
13Ullensaker Kisa22-3613
14SK Trygg/Lade23-2810
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for 2nd Division, Group 2 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.