Solihull vs Hartlepool stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 29. Tue, 26 Jan 2027

vKick-off 19:45 UTC

LLWLLLeague form, oldest to newestLLLLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Solihull have 7 scored home results and Hartlepool 7 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Solihull at home: 0.43 points per match (7 measured matches); Hartlepool away: 0.86 points per match (7 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Solihull scored 0.57 per home match (7 measured matches); Hartlepool scored 1.14 away (7). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.55 per club appearance across 310 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 14 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Solihull: 4 wins; Hartlepool: 5 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Solihull at home and Hartlepool away.

Solihull at home

Shots per match8.4
On target per match3.7
Goals per match0.6

Hartlepool away

Shots per match7.0
On target per match3.0
Goals per match1.1

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 155 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Solihull: 1.02
Expected goals, Hartlepool: 1.47
Most likely score: 1-1 (12%)
Three or more goals: 45%
Both clubs score: 49%
Solihull score at least once: 64%
Hartlepool score at least once: 77%
Season sample: 13 and 13 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Solihull win–

Draw–

Hartlepool win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Solihull goals, columns are Hartlepool goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

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08%12%9%4%2%

18%12%9%4%2%

24%6%5%2%1%

31%2%2%1%

41%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.68 goals) and away average (1.42 goals).

Sample. Solihull 13 matches, Hartlepool 13, the league 155, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 155 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	80.9%	19.1%
2.5	60.5%	39.5%
3.5	38.2%	61.8%
4.5	21.0%	79.0%

First-half goals · 155 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	73.2%	26.8%
1.5	33.1%	66.9%
2.5	14.0%	86.0%
3.5	4.5%	95.5%

Corners · 143 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	64.1%	35.9%
9.5	53.8%	46.2%
10.5	42.8%	57.2%

Yellow + red card events · 143 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	97.9%	2.1%
1.5	90.3%	9.7%
2.5	77.9%	22.1%
3.5	64.1%	35.9%
4.5	40.0%	60.0%
5.5	29.0%	71.0%
6.5	11.7%	88.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Solihull wins

Draws

Hartlepool wins

Goals / meeting

2.90

29 goals in 10 meetings

Both scored

40%

4 of 10 meetings

Over 1.5

80%

8 of 10 meetings

Over 2.5

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Over 3.5

20%

2 of 10 meetings

Solihull clean sheets

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Hartlepool clean sheets

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Corners / meeting

–

0 with corner data · small sample

Cards / meeting

3.80

10 with card data

Solihull v HartlepoolSat, 21 Feb 2026 · National League 2025-263–4HT 2–2
Hartlepool v SolihullSat, 25 Oct 2025 · National League 2025-262–0HT 1–0
Hartlepool v SolihullSat, 15 Mar 2025 · National League 2024-251–1HT 0–0
Solihull v HartlepoolSat, 23 Nov 2024 · National League 2024-253–4HT 1–2
Solihull v HartlepoolSat, 24 Feb 2024 · National League 2023-242–1HT 1–0
Hartlepool v SolihullTue, 26 Sept 2023 · National League 2023-240–2HT 0–2
Hartlepool v SolihullTue, 9 Feb 2021 · National League 2020-212–0HT 1–0
Solihull v HartlepoolTue, 1 Dec 2020 · National League 2020-212–0HT 0–0
Solihull v HartlepoolTue, 3 Mar 2020 · National League 2019-200–1HT 0–0
Hartlepool v SolihullTue, 5 Nov 2019 · National League 2019-200–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Solihull at homeLLLWLL

Sat, 3 Octv Halifax0–2C 4–6 · Y 1–1
Sat, 26 Septv Boreham Wood0–3C 0–9 · Y 1–1
Tue, 15 Septv Barrow1–0C 4–6 · Y 1–5
Sat, 12 Septv Aldershot1–2C 10–2 · Y 2–4
Mon, 31 Augv Fylde1–3C 6–5 · Y 3–1
Sat, 22 Augv Southend1–3C 6–4 · Y 4–1

Hartlepool awayLLLLLW

Sat, 10 Oct@ Forest Green4–2C ––– · Y –––
Sat, 26 Sept@ Scunthorpe1–4C 5–3 · Y 1–3
Wed, 16 Sept@ Altrincham1–2C 1–8 · Y 5–1
Fri, 11 Sept@ Kidderminster0–2C 3–6 · Y 5–1
Tue, 1 Sept@ Halifax0–1C 7–8 · Y 3–3
Sat, 22 Aug@ Sutton1–2C 5–4 · Y 3–2

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Solihull at home, Hartlepool away

50%
Both teams scored
League 63%
7 + 7 matches
100%
Over 0.5 goals
League 99%
7 + 7 matches
79%
Over 1.5 goals
League 81%
7 + 7 matches
57%
Over 2.5 goals
League 61%
7 + 7 matches
29%
Over 3.5 goals
League 38%
7 + 7 matches
14%
Over 4.5 goals
League 21%
7 + 7 matches
2.9
Avg total goals
League 3.10
7 + 7 matches
71%
1st half over 0.5
League 74%
7 + 7 matches
36%
1st half over 1.5
League 33%
7 + 7 matches
10.0
Corners per match
League 9.91
7 + 6 matches
83%
Corners over 8.5
League 64%
7 + 6 matches
51%
Corners over 9.5
League 54%
7 + 6 matches
30%
Corners over 10.5
League 43%
7 + 6 matches
4.5
Cards per match
League 4.24
7 + 6 matches
77%
Cards over 3.5
League 64%
7 + 6 matches
55%
Cards over 4.5
League 40%
7 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Solihull at home, Hartlepool away

Solihull (home)		Hartlepool (away)
23	Position	20
LLWLL	Last 5, oldest to newest	LLLLW
7	Played	7
0.43	Points per match	0.86
14%	Win %	29%
0.57	Scored / match	1.14
2.14	Conceded / match	1.86
2.71	Avg total goals	3.00
43%	Both scored	57%
14%	Clean sheets	14%
43%	Failed to score	29%
–	xG for	–
–	xG against	–

Half by half

SolihullHartlepool

0.291st half scored / match0.57
0.861st half conceded / match0.86
0.292nd half scored / match0.57
1.292nd half conceded / match1.00
14%Leading at half-time14%
71%1st half over 0.571%
29%1st half over 1.543%
100%2nd half over 0.586%
57%2nd half over 1.529%
0%Scored in both halves14%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Solihull at home, Hartlepool away, this season.

Goals

SolihullHartlepool

0.57Scored / match1.14
2.14Conceded / match1.86
2.71Match total / match3.00
57%Scored 1+71%
0%Scored 2+14%
86%Conceded 1+86%
86%Conceded 2+71%
86%Match over 1.571%
57%Match over 2.557%
29%Match over 3.529%

Shots and xG

SolihullHartlepool

8.43Shots for7.00
10.14Shots against9.83
3.71On target for3.00
6.29On target against5.17
7%Shot conversion10%

Corners

SolihullHartlepool

5.29Corners for4.17
5.29Corners against5.17
10.57Match total9.33
100%Over 7.583%
100%Over 8.567%
86%Over 9.517%
43%Over 10.517%
29%Over 11.517%

Cards

SolihullHartlepool

1.86Cards for3.00
2.29Cards against1.83
4.14Match total4.83
71%Over 2.583%
71%Over 3.583%
43%Over 4.567%
29%Over 5.550%
11.86Fouls committed14.50

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
18	Tamworth	13	-9	14
19	Wealdstone	13	-7	12
20	Hartlepool	13	-7	12
21	Boston Utd	13	-8	12
22	Scunthorpe	12	-6	10
23	Solihull	13	-22	7
24	Gateshead	13	-23	4

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for National League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.