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Sonderjyske v Lyngby, Danish Superliga, Sun, 14 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 21. Sun, 14 Mar 2027

SonderjyskeHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
LyngbyAway
LLLDWLeague form, oldest to newestLDWDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Sonderjyske have 7 scored home results and Lyngby 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Sonderjyske at home: 0.57 points per match (7 measured matches); Lyngby away: 0.60 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Sonderjyske scored 1.43 per home match (7 measured matches); Lyngby scored 1.40 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.49 per club appearance across 174 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 12 pooled club appearances (58.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Sonderjyske: 5 wins; Lyngby: 1 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 87 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Sonderjyske
1.62
Expected goals, Lyngby
1.99
Most likely score
1-1 (9%)
Three or more goals
70%
Both clubs score
69%
Sonderjyske score at least once
80%
Lyngby score at least once
86%
Season sample
12 and 12 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Sonderjyske win–
Draw–
Lyngby win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Sonderjyske goals, columns are Lyngby goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%5%5%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
14%9%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
24%7%7%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
32%4%4%3%1%1%under 1%under 1%
41%2%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.56 goals) and away average (1.41 goals).

Sample. Sonderjyske 12 matches, Lyngby 12, the league 87, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 21 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 87 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.583.1%16.9%
2.555.1%44.9%
3.541.6%58.4%
4.516.9%83.1%

First-half goals · 55 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.571.9%28.1%
1.542.1%57.9%
2.521.1%78.9%
3.55.3%94.7%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

5
Sonderjyske wins
4
Draws
1
Lyngby wins
Goals / meeting
2.80
28 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Sonderjyske clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Lyngby clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Lyngby v SonderjyskeSun, 13 Sept 2026 · Danish Superliga 2026-271–1HT 1–0
  2. Sonderjyske v LyngbySun, 18 May 2025 · Danish Superliga 2024-255–1
  3. Lyngby v SonderjyskeThu, 17 Apr 2025 · Danish Superliga 2024-250–2
  4. Lyngby v SonderjyskeSun, 1 Dec 2024 · Danish Superliga 2024-250–2
  5. Sonderjyske v LyngbyFri, 26 Jul 2024 · Danish Superliga 2024-251–1
  6. Sonderjyske v LyngbyMon, 17 May 2021 · Danish Superliga 2020-212–0
  7. Lyngby v SonderjyskeWed, 21 Apr 2021 · Danish Superliga 2020-210–1
  8. Sonderjyske v LyngbyMon, 1 Mar 2021 · Danish Superliga 2020-211–4
  9. Lyngby v SonderjyskeSun, 4 Oct 2020 · Danish Superliga 2020-212–2
  10. Lyngby v SonderjyskeWed, 8 Jul 2020 · Danish Superliga 2019-201–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Sonderjyske at homeLDLLLW
Lyngby awayLLLDWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Sonderjyske at home, Lyngby away
  • 59%
    Both teams scored
    League 60%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 93%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 93%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 84%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 73%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 55%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 49%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 41%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 49%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    7 + 5 matches
  • 3.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.98
    7 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 73%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 43%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 42%
    5 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Sonderjyske at home, Lyngby away
Sonderjyske (home)Lyngby (away)
16Position13
DLLLWLast 5, oldest to newestLLLLW
7Played5
0.57Points per match0.60
14%Win %20%
1.43Scored / match1.40
2.71Conceded / match2.00
4.14Avg total goals3.40
57%Both scored60%
14%Clean sheets20%
43%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

SonderjyskeLyngby
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.75
  • 1.201st half conceded / match0.75
  • 0.602nd half scored / match0.50
  • 1.402nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 20%Leading at half-time50%
  • 80%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 60%1st half over 1.525%
  • 80%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 40%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Sonderjyske at home, Lyngby away, this season.

Goals

SonderjyskeLyngby
  • 1.43Scored / match1.40
  • 2.71Conceded / match2.00
  • 4.14Match total / match3.40
  • 57%Scored 1+80%
  • 57%Scored 2+60%
  • 86%Conceded 1+80%
  • 86%Conceded 2+80%
  • 86%Match over 1.5100%
  • 86%Match over 2.560%
  • 57%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
11Silkeborg13-312
12Odense13-1112
13Lyngby12-79
14Aarhus9-65
14AGF9-65
16Sonderjyske12-155
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Danish Superliga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.