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Sporting Braga v Academico Viseu, Primeira Liga, Sun, 20 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 15. Sun, 20 Dec 2026

Sporting BragaHome
vKick-off 11:00 UTC
Academico ViseuAway
WLWDLLeague form, oldest to newestLWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Sporting Braga have 3 scored home results and Academico Viseu 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Sporting Braga at home: 2.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Academico Viseu away: 2.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Sporting Braga scored 1.00 per home match (3 measured matches); Academico Viseu scored 1.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.38 per club appearance across 174 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 7 pooled club appearances (42.9%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Sporting Braga at home and Academico Viseu away.

Sporting Braga at home

  • Shots per match–
  • On target per match–
  • Goals per match1.0

Academico Viseu away

xG 1.47
  • Shots per match8.8
  • On target per match4.0
  • Goals per match1.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 87 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Sporting Braga
1.16
Expected goals, Academico Viseu
1.05
Most likely score
1-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
38%
Both clubs score
44%
Sporting Braga score at least once
69%
Academico Viseu score at least once
65%
Season sample
7 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Sporting Braga win–
Draw–
Academico Viseu win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Sporting Braga goals, columns are Academico Viseu goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
011%12%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%13%7%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
33%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.33 goals) and away average (1.43 goals).

Sample. Sporting Braga 7 matches, Academico Viseu 9, the league 87, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 20 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 87 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.576.4%23.6%
2.556.2%43.8%
3.537.1%62.9%
4.59.0%91.0%

First-half goals · 87 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.569.7%30.3%
1.539.3%60.7%
2.512.4%87.6%
3.54.5%95.5%

Corners · 62 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.546.9%53.1%
9.537.5%62.5%
10.525.0%75.0%

Yellow + red card events · 62 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.8%6.3%
1.590.6%9.4%
2.581.3%18.8%
3.567.2%32.8%
4.546.9%53.1%
5.526.6%73.4%
6.520.3%79.7%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Sporting Braga at homeWWWWWL
Academico Viseu awayDDWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Sporting Braga at home, Academico Viseu away
  • 42%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 54%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 77%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 42%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 56%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 42%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 8%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.76
    3 + 4 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 70%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 39%
    3 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Sporting Braga at home, Academico Viseu away
Sporting Braga (home)Academico Viseu (away)
12Position8
WWLLast 5, oldest to newestDDWW
3Played4
2.00Points per match2.00
67%Win %50%
1.00Scored / match1.75
1.00Conceded / match1.00
2.00Avg total goals2.75
33%Both scored50%
67%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score0%
–xG for1.47
–xG against1.78

Half by half

Sporting BragaAcademico Viseu
  • 0.331st half scored / match1.25
  • 0.001st half conceded / match0.25
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.50
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match0.75
  • 33%Leading at half-time75%
  • 33%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Sporting Braga at home, Academico Viseu away, this season.

Goals

Sporting BragaAcademico Viseu
  • 1.00Scored / match1.75
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.00
  • 2.00Match total / match2.75
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 0%Scored 2+75%
  • 33%Conceded 1+50%
  • 33%Conceded 2+50%
  • 33%Match over 1.575%
  • 33%Match over 2.550%
  • 33%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

Sporting BragaAcademico Viseu
  • –Shots for8.75
  • –Shots against22.00
  • –On target for4.00
  • –On target against6.00
  • –Shot conversion20%
  • –xG for1.47
  • –xG against1.78

Corners

Sporting BragaAcademico Viseu
  • –Corners for2.50
  • –Corners against6.50
  • –Match total9.00
  • –Over 7.575%
  • –Over 8.550%
  • –Over 9.525%
  • –Over 10.525%
  • –Over 11.525%

Cards

Sporting BragaAcademico Viseu
  • –Cards for3.75
  • –Cards against1.50
  • –Match total5.25
  • –Over 2.575%
  • –Over 3.575%
  • –Over 4.575%
  • –Over 5.550%
  • –Fouls committed13.25

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
6Sp Lisbon7915
7Estrela9114
8Academico Viseu9-214
9Arouca9112
10Sp Braga6211
11Gil Vicente7111
12Sporting Braga7011
13Moreirense10-89
14Famalicao828
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Primeira Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.