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St Albans City v Leatherhead, Isthmian Football League, Premier Division, Sat, 23 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 28. Sat, 23 Jan 2027

St Albans CityHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
LeatherheadAway
WDWDWLeague form, oldest to newestLDDDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, St Albans City have 4 scored home results and Leatherhead 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: St Albans City at home: 2.25 points per match (4 measured matches); Leatherhead away: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. St Albans City scored 2.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Leatherhead scored 1.80 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.67 per club appearance across 226 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 9 pooled club appearances (66.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 113 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, St Albans City
2.28
Expected goals, Leatherhead
1.29
Most likely score
2-1 (9%)
Three or more goals
69%
Both clubs score
65%
St Albans City score at least once
90%
Leatherhead score at least once
72%
Season sample
9 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

St Albans City win–
Draw–
Leatherhead win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are St Albans City goals, columns are Leatherhead goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
16%8%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
36%7%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%4%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.88 goals) and away average (1.47 goals).

Sample. St Albans City 9 matches, Leatherhead 10, the league 113, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 25 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 113 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.585.2%14.8%
2.568.7%31.3%
3.546.1%53.9%
4.528.7%71.3%

First-half goals · 113 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.0%20.0%
1.544.3%55.7%
2.523.5%76.5%
3.58.7%91.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
St Albans City at homeDWLWW
Leatherhead awayWDWDD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
St Albans City at home, Leatherhead away
  • 65%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 68%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 69%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 58%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 46%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 23%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 28%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 3.5
    Avg total goals
    League 3.35
    4 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 81%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 68%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 44%
    4 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
St Albans City at home, Leatherhead away
St Albans City (home)Leatherhead (away)
8Position13
WLWWLast 5, oldest to newestWDWDD
4Played5
2.25Points per match1.80
75%Win %40%
2.75Scored / match1.80
1.00Conceded / match1.40
3.75Avg total goals3.20
50%Both scored80%
25%Clean sheets20%
25%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

St Albans CityLeatherhead
  • 1.501st half scored / match0.80
  • 0.501st half conceded / match1.20
  • 1.252nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match0.20
  • 75%Leading at half-time20%
  • 100%1st half over 0.580%
  • 75%1st half over 1.560%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 75%2nd half over 1.540%
  • 75%Scored in both halves40%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

St Albans City at home, Leatherhead away, this season.

Goals

St Albans CityLeatherhead
  • 2.75Scored / match1.80
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.40
  • 3.75Match total / match3.20
  • 75%Scored 1+100%
  • 75%Scored 2+60%
  • 75%Conceded 1+80%
  • 25%Conceded 2+40%
  • 100%Match over 1.580%
  • 75%Match over 2.560%
  • 75%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Isthmian Football League, Premier Division matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.