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St. Polten v Admira, 2. Liga, Fri, 7 May 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 27. Fri, 7 May 2027

St. PoltenHome
vKick-off 14:00 UTC
AdmiraAway
LWWWLLeague form, oldest to newestLWWLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, St. Polten have 4 scored home results and Admira 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: St. Polten at home: 1.50 points per match (4 measured matches); Admira away: 1.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. St. Polten scored 0.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Admira scored 1.50 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.62 per club appearance across 126 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 8 pooled club appearances (37.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. St. Polten: 2 wins; Admira: 4 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 63 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, St. Polten
0.81
Expected goals, Admira
0.70
Most likely score
0-0 (22%)
Three or more goals
19%
Both clubs score
28%
St. Polten score at least once
55%
Admira score at least once
50%
Season sample
8 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

St. Polten win–
Draw–
Admira win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are St. Polten goals, columns are Admira goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
022%15%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
118%13%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
32%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.94 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. St. Polten 8 matches, Admira 8, the league 63, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 9 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.5%21.5%
2.563.1%36.9%
3.546.2%53.8%
4.524.6%75.4%

First-half goals · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.0%20.0%
1.538.5%61.5%
2.521.5%78.5%
3.56.2%93.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
St. Polten wins
4
Draws
4
Admira wins
Goals / meeting
2.90
29 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
St. Polten clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Admira clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Admira v St. PoltenSat, 8 May 2021 · Austrian Bundesliga 2020-212–0
  2. St. Polten v AdmiraSat, 3 Apr 2021 · Austrian Bundesliga 2020-210–1
  3. St. Polten v AdmiraSat, 23 Jan 2021 · Austrian Bundesliga 2020-212–2
  4. Admira v St. PoltenSun, 20 Sept 2020 · Austrian Bundesliga 2020-210–5
  5. Admira v St. PoltenTue, 30 Jun 2020 · Austrian Bundesliga 2019-200–3
  6. St. Polten v AdmiraTue, 9 Jun 2020 · Austrian Bundesliga 2019-200–3
  7. St. Polten v AdmiraSun, 16 Feb 2020 · Austrian Bundesliga 2019-202–2
  8. Admira v St. PoltenSat, 21 Sept 2019 · Austrian Bundesliga 2019-201–1
  9. Admira v St. PoltenSun, 10 Mar 2019 · Austrian Bundesliga 2018-193–2
  10. St. Polten v AdmiraSat, 6 Oct 2018 · Austrian Bundesliga 2018-190–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
St. Polten at homeLLLWLW
Admira awayLLLWWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
St. Polten at home, Admira away
  • 38%
    Both teams scored
    League 59%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 63%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 46%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 24%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 2.3
    Avg total goals
    League 3.24
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 81%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 38%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
St. Polten at home, Admira away
St. Polten (home)Admira (away)
11Position8
LLWWLast 5, oldest to newestLWWL
4Played4
1.50Points per match1.50
50%Win %50%
0.75Scored / match1.50
0.75Conceded / match1.50
1.50Avg total goals3.00
25%Both scored50%
25%Clean sheets25%
50%Failed to score25%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

St. PoltenAdmira
  • 0.001st half scored / match0.75
  • 0.501st half conceded / match0.50
  • 0.752nd half scored / match0.75
  • 0.252nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time50%
  • 50%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.525%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 0%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

St. Polten at home, Admira away, this season.

Goals

St. PoltenAdmira
  • 0.75Scored / match1.50
  • 0.75Conceded / match1.50
  • 1.50Match total / match3.00
  • 50%Scored 1+75%
  • 25%Scored 2+50%
  • 75%Conceded 1+75%
  • 0%Conceded 2+50%
  • 25%Match over 1.5100%
  • 25%Match over 2.575%
  • 0%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for 2. Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.