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Standard v Kortrijk, Belgian Pro League, Sat, 31 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 10. Sat, 31 Oct 2026

StandardHome
vKick-off 17:15 UTC
KortrijkAway
WWWLLLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Standard have 3 scored home results and Kortrijk 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Standard at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Kortrijk away: 0.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Standard scored 1.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Kortrijk scored 0.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.49 per club appearance across 136 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 1 of 7 pooled club appearances (14.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Standard: 4 wins; Kortrijk: 4 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Standard at home and Kortrijk away.

Standard at home

xG 2.38
  • Shots per match17.0
  • On target per match6.0
  • Goals per match1.7

Kortrijk away

xG 0.71
  • Shots per match8.3
  • On target per match2.0
  • Goals per match0.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 68 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Standard
3.15
Expected goals, Kortrijk
0.25
Most likely score
3-0 (18%)
Three or more goals
66%
Both clubs score
21%
Standard score at least once
96%
Kortrijk score at least once
22%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Standard win–
Draw–
Kortrijk win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Standard goals, columns are Kortrijk goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
111%3%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
217%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
318%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
414%4%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
59%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
65%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
72%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.66 goals) and away average (1.31 goals).

Sample. Standard 7 matches, Kortrijk 8, the league 68, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 68 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.6%21.4%
2.561.4%38.6%
3.534.3%65.7%
4.517.1%82.9%

First-half goals · 68 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.578.6%21.4%
1.540.0%60.0%
2.511.4%88.6%
3.54.3%95.7%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.563.1%36.9%
9.549.2%50.8%
10.546.2%53.8%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.8%6.2%
1.575.4%24.6%
2.563.1%36.9%
3.543.1%56.9%
4.529.2%70.8%
5.520.0%80.0%
6.56.2%93.8%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Standard wins
2
Draws
4
Kortrijk wins
Goals / meeting
1.70
17 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Standard clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Kortrijk clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
11.10
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.90
10 with card data
  1. Standard v KortrijkFri, 10 Jan 2025 · Belgian Pro League 2024-251–0HT 0–0
  2. Kortrijk v StandardSun, 18 Aug 2024 · Belgian Pro League 2024-251–0HT 0–0
  3. Standard v KortrijkSat, 20 Jan 2024 · Belgian Pro League 2023-240–1HT 0–1
  4. Kortrijk v StandardSat, 26 Aug 2023 · Belgian Pro League 2023-241–1HT 1–0
  5. Standard v KortrijkSun, 12 Feb 2023 · Belgian Pro League 2022-230–2HT 0–0
  6. Kortrijk v StandardSun, 28 Aug 2022 · Belgian Pro League 2022-230–1HT 0–0
  7. Kortrijk v StandardSun, 20 Mar 2022 · Belgian Pro League 2021-220–1HT 0–0
  8. Standard v KortrijkSat, 30 Oct 2021 · Belgian Pro League 2021-221–1HT 0–0
  9. Kortrijk v StandardWed, 16 Dec 2020 · Belgian Pro League 2020-212–1HT 2–0
  10. Standard v KortrijkSun, 20 Sept 2020 · Belgian Pro League 2020-212–1HT 2–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Standard at homeWDLDWW
Kortrijk awayWLLLDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Standard at home, Kortrijk away
  • 17%
    Both teams scored
    League 41%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 71%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 54%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.97
    3 + 4 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 79%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 42%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    3 + 4 matches
  • 10.2
    Corners per match
    League 9.95
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 63%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 49%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 46%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 3.3
    Cards per match
    League 3.37
    3 + 3 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 43%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 29%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Standard at home, Kortrijk away
Standard (home)Kortrijk (away)
7Position18
DWWLast 5, oldest to newestLLLL
3Played4
2.33Points per match0.00
67%Win %0%
1.67Scored / match0.00
0.67Conceded / match2.50
2.33Avg total goals2.50
33%Both scored0%
67%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score100%
2.38xG for0.71
1.12xG against2.97

Half by half

StandardKortrijk
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.331st half conceded / match1.50
  • 1.332nd half scored / match0.00
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time0%
  • 33%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 33%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 67%2nd half over 1.525%
  • 33%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Standard at home, Kortrijk away, this season.

Goals

StandardKortrijk
  • 1.67Scored / match0.00
  • 0.67Conceded / match2.50
  • 2.33Match total / match2.50
  • 100%Scored 1+0%
  • 67%Scored 2+0%
  • 33%Conceded 1+100%
  • 33%Conceded 2+75%
  • 67%Match over 1.575%
  • 33%Match over 2.575%
  • 33%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

StandardKortrijk
  • 17.00Shots for8.33
  • 15.00Shots against17.00
  • 6.00On target for2.00
  • 3.67On target against6.33
  • 10%Shot conversion0%
  • 2.38xG for0.71
  • 1.12xG against2.97

Corners

StandardKortrijk
  • 8.33Corners for2.33
  • 5.33Corners against4.33
  • 13.67Match total6.67
  • 67%Over 7.533%
  • 67%Over 8.533%
  • 67%Over 9.50%
  • 67%Over 10.50%
  • 67%Over 11.50%

Cards

StandardKortrijk
  • 1.00Cards for1.67
  • 2.33Cards against1.67
  • 3.33Match total3.33
  • 67%Over 2.567%
  • 33%Over 3.567%
  • 33%Over 4.50%
  • 0%Over 5.50%
  • 9.00Fouls committed12.67

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
5Anderlecht8316
6Genk8412
7Standard7111
8Waregem8111
9Lommel SK8011
16Cercle Brugge8-73
17Mechelen7-93
18Kortrijk8-163
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Belgian Pro League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.