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Stirling v Forfar, Scottish League Two, Sat, 31 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 12. Sat, 31 Oct 2026

StirlingHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
ForfarAway
LLLDWLeague form, oldest to newestDLLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Stirling have 4 scored home results and Forfar 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Stirling at home: 1.25 points per match (4 measured matches); Forfar away: 0.40 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Stirling scored 1.25 per home match (4 measured matches); Forfar scored 0.80 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.70 per club appearance across 90 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 9 pooled club appearances (66.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Stirling: 4 wins; Forfar: 4 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Stirling at home and Forfar away.

Stirling at home

  • Shots per match7.8
  • On target per match4.8
  • Goals per match1.3

Forfar away

  • Shots per match8.0
  • On target per match4.6
  • Goals per match0.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 45 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Stirling
1.43
Expected goals, Forfar
1.17
Most likely score
1-1 (12%)
Three or more goals
48%
Both clubs score
52%
Stirling score at least once
76%
Forfar score at least once
69%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Stirling win–
Draw–
Forfar win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Stirling goals, columns are Forfar goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
07%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
111%12%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.02 goals) and away average (1.38 goals).

Sample. Stirling 9 matches, Forfar 9, the league 45, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.580.9%19.1%
2.561.7%38.3%
3.542.6%57.4%
4.527.7%72.3%

First-half goals · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.9%19.1%
1.540.4%59.6%
2.519.1%80.9%
3.58.5%91.5%

Corners · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.557.4%42.6%
9.553.2%46.8%
10.542.6%57.4%

Yellow + red card events · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.6%6.4%
1.589.4%10.6%
2.580.9%19.1%
3.557.4%42.6%
4.538.3%61.7%
5.525.5%74.5%
6.514.9%85.1%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Stirling wins
2
Draws
4
Forfar wins
Goals / meeting
3.10
31 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Stirling clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Forfar clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.90
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.30
10 with card data
  1. Forfar v StirlingSat, 15 Aug 2026 · Scottish League Two 2026-273–0HT 2–0
  2. Stirling v ForfarSat, 14 Mar 2026 · Scottish League Two 2025-260–3HT 0–3
  3. Forfar v StirlingSat, 24 Jan 2026 · Scottish League Two 2025-260–1HT 0–0
  4. Stirling v ForfarSat, 15 Nov 2025 · Scottish League Two 2025-260–4HT 0–2
  5. Forfar v StirlingSat, 16 Aug 2025 · Scottish League Two 2025-264–2HT 2–1
  6. Forfar v StirlingSat, 3 May 2025 · Scottish League Two 2024-250–0HT 0–0
  7. Stirling v ForfarSat, 15 Feb 2025 · Scottish League Two 2024-253–1HT 1–1
  8. Forfar v StirlingSat, 28 Dec 2024 · Scottish League Two 2024-252–2HT 1–0
  9. Stirling v ForfarSat, 5 Oct 2024 · Scottish League Two 2024-252–1HT 2–1
  10. Stirling v ForfarSat, 29 Apr 2023 · Scottish League Two 2022-232–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Stirling at homeWDLWDD
Forfar awayDLDDLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Stirling at home, Forfar away
  • 65%
    Both teams scored
    League 53%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 82%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 43%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 23%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 42%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 27%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 2.9
    Avg total goals
    League 3.40
    4 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 82%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 55%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 11.4
    Corners per match
    League 9.96
    4 + 5 matches
  • 58%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 58%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 58%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 53%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 48%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 42%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 4.4
    Cards per match
    League 4.20
    4 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 58%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 45%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 38%
    4 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Stirling at home, Forfar away
Stirling (home)Forfar (away)
10Position8
WDLDLast 5, oldest to newestDLDLL
4Played5
1.25Points per match0.40
25%Win %0%
1.25Scored / match0.80
1.25Conceded / match2.40
2.50Avg total goals3.20
50%Both scored80%
25%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

StirlingForfar
  • 0.501st half scored / match0.40
  • 1.001st half conceded / match1.20
  • 0.752nd half scored / match0.40
  • 0.252nd half conceded / match1.20
  • 25%Leading at half-time20%
  • 100%1st half over 0.580%
  • 50%1st half over 1.560%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.560%
  • 25%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Stirling at home, Forfar away, this season.

Goals

StirlingForfar
  • 1.25Scored / match0.80
  • 1.25Conceded / match2.40
  • 2.50Match total / match3.20
  • 75%Scored 1+80%
  • 50%Scored 2+0%
  • 75%Conceded 1+100%
  • 50%Conceded 2+60%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 25%Match over 2.560%
  • 25%Match over 3.520%

Shots and xG

StirlingForfar
  • 7.75Shots for8.00
  • 10.00Shots against15.20
  • 4.75On target for4.60
  • 5.00On target against5.80
  • 16%Shot conversion10%

Corners

StirlingForfar
  • 5.75Corners for4.40
  • 6.75Corners against5.80
  • 12.50Match total10.20
  • 75%Over 7.580%
  • 75%Over 8.540%
  • 75%Over 9.540%
  • 75%Over 10.520%
  • 75%Over 11.520%

Cards

StirlingForfar
  • 3.00Cards for2.00
  • 2.00Cards against1.80
  • 5.00Match total3.80
  • 100%Over 2.580%
  • 100%Over 3.540%
  • 50%Over 4.540%
  • 50%Over 5.520%
  • 12.00Fouls committed12.20

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
6Kelty Hearts9-512
7Dumbarton9-512
8Forfar9-611
9Annan Athletic9-29
10Stirling9-118
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Scottish League Two matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.