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SV Werder Bremen II U23 v Hamburger SV II U23, Regionalliga Nord, Sat, 21 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 19. Sat, 21 Nov 2026

SV Werder Bremen II U23Home
vKick-off 14:30 UTC
Hamburger SV II U23Away
LWWLDLeague form, oldest to newestLLWLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, SV Werder Bremen II U23 have 6 scored home results and Hamburger SV II U23 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: SV Werder Bremen II U23 at home: 0.33 points per match (6 measured matches); Hamburger SV II U23 away: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. SV Werder Bremen II U23 scored 0.33 per home match (6 measured matches); Hamburger SV II U23 scored 2.40 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.91 per club appearance across 204 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 11 pooled club appearances (45.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 102 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, SV Werder Bremen II U23
1.80
Expected goals, Hamburger SV II U23
1.13
Most likely score
1-1 (11%)
Three or more goals
56%
Both clubs score
56%
SV Werder Bremen II U23 score at least once
83%
Hamburger SV II U23 score at least once
68%
Season sample
11 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

SV Werder Bremen II U23 win–
Draw–
Hamburger SV II U23 win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are SV Werder Bremen II U23 goals, columns are Hamburger SV II U23 goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
05%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
110%11%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
29%10%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%3%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.98 goals) and away average (1.83 goals).

Sample. SV Werder Bremen II U23 11 matches, Hamburger SV II U23 11, the league 102, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 102 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.588.5%11.5%
2.567.3%32.7%
3.551.0%49.0%
4.533.7%66.3%

First-half goals · 102 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.576.0%24.0%
1.541.3%58.7%
2.518.3%81.7%
3.59.6%90.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
SV Werder Bremen II U23 at homeLLDLLD
Hamburger SV II U23 awayLWLWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
SV Werder Bremen II U23 at home, Hamburger SV II U23 away
  • 47%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 83%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 89%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 68%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 51%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 33%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 3.81
    6 + 5 matches
  • 83%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 40%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 41%
    6 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
SV Werder Bremen II U23 at home, Hamburger SV II U23 away
SV Werder Bremen II U23 (home)Hamburger SV II U23 (away)
11Position16
LDLLDLast 5, oldest to newestLWLWW
6Played5
0.33Points per match1.80
0%Win %60%
0.33Scored / match2.40
1.50Conceded / match1.80
1.83Avg total goals4.20
33%Both scored60%
17%Clean sheets20%
67%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

SV Werder Bremen II U23Hamburger SV II U23
  • 0.171st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.501st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.172nd half scored / match1.40
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match0.80
  • 17%Leading at half-time40%
  • 67%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.580%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.580%
  • 0%Scored in both halves60%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

SV Werder Bremen II U23 at home, Hamburger SV II U23 away, this season.

Goals

SV Werder Bremen II U23Hamburger SV II U23
  • 0.33Scored / match2.40
  • 1.50Conceded / match1.80
  • 1.83Match total / match4.20
  • 33%Scored 1+80%
  • 0%Scored 2+80%
  • 83%Conceded 1+80%
  • 50%Conceded 2+40%
  • 67%Match over 1.5100%
  • 33%Match over 2.5100%
  • 0%Match over 3.5100%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Regionalliga Nord matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.