Skip to content
MatchDaySync

Świt Skolwin Szczecin v Lechia Zielona Góra, Betclic 2. Liga, Sat, 20 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 24. Sat, 20 Mar 2027

Świt Skolwin SzczecinHome
vKick-off 10:00 UTC
Lechia Zielona GóraAway
WLLWLLeague form, oldest to newestLWLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Świt Skolwin Szczecin have 5 scored home results and Lechia Zielona Góra 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Świt Skolwin Szczecin at home: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches); Lechia Zielona Góra away: 2.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Świt Skolwin Szczecin scored 1.20 per home match (5 measured matches); Lechia Zielona Góra scored 2.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.58 per club appearance across 186 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 9 pooled club appearances (77.8%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Świt Skolwin Szczecin: 1 wins; Lechia Zielona Góra: 0 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 93 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Świt Skolwin Szczecin
1.18
Expected goals, Lechia Zielona Góra
2.24
Most likely score
1-2 (10%)
Three or more goals
66%
Both clubs score
62%
Świt Skolwin Szczecin score at least once
69%
Lechia Zielona Góra score at least once
89%
Season sample
11 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Świt Skolwin Szczecin win–
Draw–
Lechia Zielona Góra win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Świt Skolwin Szczecin goals, columns are Lechia Zielona Góra goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%7%8%6%3%2%1%under 1%
14%9%10%7%4%2%1%under 1%
22%5%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.81 goals) and away average (1.35 goals).

Sample. Świt Skolwin Szczecin 11 matches, Lechia Zielona Góra 11, the league 93, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 93 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.582.1%17.9%
2.561.1%38.9%
3.538.9%61.1%
4.523.2%76.8%

First-half goals · 93 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.576.8%23.2%
1.543.2%56.8%
2.517.9%82.1%
3.52.1%97.9%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Świt Skolwin Szczecin wins
0
Draws
0
Lechia Zielona Góra wins
Goals / meeting
5.00
5 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Świt Skolwin Szczecin clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Lechia Zielona Góra clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Lechia Zielona Góra v Świt Skolwin SzczecinSat, 5 Sept 2026 · Betclic 2. Liga 2026-271–4HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Świt Skolwin Szczecin at homeLLDLW
Lechia Zielona Góra awayLWWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Świt Skolwin Szczecin at home, Lechia Zielona Góra away
  • 78%
    Both teams scored
    League 60%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 78%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 83%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 68%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 61%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 45%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 39%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 20%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 23%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 3.2
    Avg total goals
    League 3.16
    5 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 43%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 43%
    5 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Świt Skolwin Szczecin at home, Lechia Zielona Góra away
Świt Skolwin Szczecin (home)Lechia Zielona Góra (away)
17Position9
LLDLWLast 5, oldest to newestLWWW
5Played4
0.80Points per match2.25
20%Win %75%
1.20Scored / match2.00
2.20Conceded / match1.00
3.40Avg total goals3.00
80%Both scored75%
0%Clean sheets25%
20%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Świt Skolwin SzczecinLechia Zielona Góra
  • 0.801st half scored / match0.75
  • 1.201st half conceded / match0.25
  • 0.402nd half scored / match1.25
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match0.75
  • 20%Leading at half-time50%
  • 100%1st half over 0.575%
  • 60%1st half over 1.525%
  • 60%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 40%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Świt Skolwin Szczecin at home, Lechia Zielona Góra away, this season.

Goals

Świt Skolwin SzczecinLechia Zielona Góra
  • 1.20Scored / match2.00
  • 2.20Conceded / match1.00
  • 3.40Match total / match3.00
  • 80%Scored 1+100%
  • 40%Scored 2+50%
  • 100%Conceded 1+75%
  • 40%Conceded 2+25%
  • 80%Match over 1.575%
  • 60%Match over 2.575%
  • 40%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Betclic 2. Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.