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Tromsø IL v Start, Eliteserien, Sun, 6 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 29. Sun, 6 Dec 2026

Tromsø ILHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
StartAway
LDLLWLeague form, oldest to newestWLWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Tromsø IL have 11 scored home results and Start 15 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Tromsø IL at home: 2.18 points per match (11 measured matches); Start away: 0.27 points per match (15 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Tromsø IL scored 1.91 per home match (11 measured matches); Start scored 1.00 away (15). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.59 per club appearance across 526 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 13 of 26 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Tromsø IL: 0 wins; Start: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 263 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Tromsø IL
3.26
Expected goals, Start
0.78
Most likely score
3-0 (10%)
Three or more goals
76%
Both clubs score
52%
Tromsø IL score at least once
96%
Start score at least once
54%
Season sample
21 and 29 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Tromsø IL win–
Draw–
Start win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Tromsø IL goals, columns are Start goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
02%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
16%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
310%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
48%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
56%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
63%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
71%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.85 goals) and away average (1.33 goals).

Sample. Tromsø IL 21 matches, Start 29, the league 263, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 263 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.586.8%13.2%
2.562.6%37.4%
3.534.7%65.3%
4.520.8%79.2%

First-half goals · 167 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.584.6%15.4%
1.545.0%55.0%
2.515.4%84.6%
3.55.3%94.7%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Tromsø IL wins
1
Draws
0
Start wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
2 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Tromsø IL clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Start clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Start v Tromsø ILSun, 3 May 2026 · Eliteserien 20261–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Tromsø IL at homeWLWDDW
Start awayWWLWLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Tromsø IL at home, Start away
  • 47%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    11 + 15 matches
  • 91%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    11 + 15 matches
  • 91%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 87%
    11 + 15 matches
  • 63%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 63%
    11 + 15 matches
  • 43%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 35%
    11 + 15 matches
  • 22%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 21%
    11 + 15 matches
  • 3.4
    Avg total goals
    League 3.18
    11 + 15 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 85%
    11 + 10 matches
  • 48%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 45%
    11 + 10 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Tromsø IL at home, Start away
Tromsø IL (home)Start (away)
7Position21
WDWDWLast 5, oldest to newestLLWLL
11Played15
2.18Points per match0.27
64%Win %7%
1.91Scored / match1.00
0.82Conceded / match3.00
2.73Avg total goals4.00
27%Both scored67%
64%Clean sheets0%
27%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Tromsø ILStart
  • 0.821st half scored / match0.60
  • 0.361st half conceded / match0.90
  • 1.092nd half scored / match0.40
  • 0.452nd half conceded / match1.80
  • 45%Leading at half-time20%
  • 64%1st half over 0.570%
  • 36%1st half over 1.560%
  • 82%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 55%2nd half over 1.570%
  • 46%Scored in both halves10%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Tromsø IL at home, Start away, this season.

Goals

Tromsø ILStart
  • 1.91Scored / match1.00
  • 0.82Conceded / match3.00
  • 2.73Match total / match4.00
  • 73%Scored 1+67%
  • 64%Scored 2+20%
  • 36%Conceded 1+100%
  • 18%Conceded 2+87%
  • 82%Match over 1.5100%
  • 46%Match over 2.580%
  • 46%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#ClubPGDPts
6Molde27742
7Tromso211138
7Tromsø IL211138
9Sarpsborg 0828-933
10Lillestrom21-132
19Valerenga27-1826
20Aalesund28-2226
21Start29-3720
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Eliteserien matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.