Twente vs For Sittard stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 18. Fri, 8 Jan 2027

TwenteHome

vKick-off 19:00 UTC

For SittardAway

DWWWDLeague form, oldest to newestWWLWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

De Grolsch Veste. Photo: Mark92 at nl.wikipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Twente have 4 scored home results and For Sittard 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Twente at home: 3.00 points per match (4 measured matches); For Sittard away: 2.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Twente scored 2.25 per home match (4 measured matches); For Sittard scored 2.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.87 per club appearance across 136 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 8 pooled club appearances (62.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Twente: 7 wins; For Sittard: 1 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Twente at home and For Sittard away.

Twente at home

xG 2.49

Shots per match23.5
On target per match8.8
Goals per match2.3

For Sittard away

xG 0.94

Shots per match10.5
On target per match4.8
Goals per match2.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 68 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Twente: 1.85
Expected goals, For Sittard: 1.01
Most likely score: 1-1 (11%)
Three or more goals: 54%
Both clubs score: 54%
Twente score at least once: 84%
For Sittard score at least once: 64%
Season sample: 8 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Twente win–

Draw–

For Sittard win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Twente goals, columns are For Sittard goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

01234567

06%6%3%1%

111%11%5%2%

210%10%5%2%

36%6%3%1%

43%3%1%

51%1%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.72 goals) and away average (2.01 goals).

Sample. Twente 8 matches, For Sittard 8, the league 68, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 68 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	90.0%	10.0%
2.5	71.4%	28.6%
3.5	60.0%	40.0%
4.5	31.4%	68.6%

First-half goals · 68 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	81.4%	18.6%
1.5	50.0%	50.0%
2.5	25.7%	74.3%
3.5	5.7%	94.3%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	72.3%	27.7%
9.5	55.4%	44.6%
10.5	52.3%	47.7%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	84.6%	15.4%
1.5	73.8%	26.2%
2.5	49.2%	50.8%
3.5	32.3%	67.7%
4.5	15.4%	84.6%
5.5	12.3%	87.7%
6.5	4.6%	95.4%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Twente wins

Draws

For Sittard wins

Goals / meeting

2.90

29 goals in 10 meetings

Both scored

60%

6 of 10 meetings

Over 1.5

100%

10 of 10 meetings

Over 2.5

70%

7 of 10 meetings

Over 3.5

10%

1 of 10 meetings

Twente clean sheets

40%

4 of 10 meetings

For Sittard clean sheets

0 of 10 meetings

Corners / meeting

8.11

9 with corner data

Cards / meeting

4.44

9 with card data

For Sittard v TwenteSat, 10 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie 2026-271–1HT 1–1
For Sittard v TwenteSat, 21 Mar 2026 · Eredivisie 2025-261–2HT 1–0
Twente v For SittardFri, 26 Sept 2025 · Eredivisie 2025-263–2HT 1–0
Twente v For SittardSat, 5 Apr 2025 · Eredivisie 2024-251–1HT 1–0
For Sittard v TwenteSat, 23 Nov 2024 · Eredivisie 2024-251–2HT 0–1
Twente v For SittardSat, 6 Apr 2024 · Eredivisie 2023-242–0HT 0–0
For Sittard v TwenteSun, 8 Oct 2023 · Eredivisie 2023-240–3HT 0–1
For Sittard v TwenteSat, 11 Mar 2023 · Eredivisie 2022-230–3HT 0–0
Twente v For SittardSun, 14 Aug 2022 · Eredivisie 2022-233–0HT 2–0
Twente v For SittardSat, 7 May 2022 · Eredivisie 2021-221–2HT 1–2

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Twente at homeWWLWWW

Sun, 20 Septv PSV Eindhoven3–2C 6–5 · Y 1–3
Sat, 12 Septv Den Haag2–0C 12–2 · Y 1–3
Wed, 9 Septv Telstar1–0C 9–2 · Y 1–3
Thu, 20 Augv Qarabağ FK0–1C ––– · Y –––
Sun, 16 Augv Zwolle3–1C 6–3 · Y 0–0
Thu, 6 Augv DAC 19046–0C ––– · Y –––

For Sittard awayLLDWWW

Sat, 19 Sept@ Willem II1–0C 3–5 · Y 1–3
Sun, 6 Sept@ Den Haag3–2C 0–2 · Y 4–0
Fri, 28 Aug@ Groningen3–2C 2–7 · Y 4–3
Sat, 8 Aug@ PSV Eindhoven2–2C 0–9 · Y 1–1
Sun, 17 May@ Utrecht0–2C 5–2 · Y 1–0
Sat, 25 Apr@ Heerenveen1–2C 0–7 · Y 2–2

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Twente at home, For Sittard away

63%
Both teams scored
League 69%
4 + 4 matches
100%
Over 0.5 goals
League 99%
4 + 4 matches
75%
Over 1.5 goals
League 91%
4 + 4 matches
63%
Over 2.5 goals
League 72%
4 + 4 matches
63%
Over 3.5 goals
League 60%
4 + 4 matches
38%
Over 4.5 goals
League 31%
4 + 4 matches
3.4
Avg total goals
League 3.74
4 + 4 matches
63%
1st half over 0.5
League 82%
4 + 4 matches
50%
1st half over 1.5
League 50%
4 + 4 matches
9.1
Corners per match
League 10.44
4 + 4 matches
75%
Corners over 8.5
League 73%
4 + 4 matches
38%
Corners over 9.5
League 56%
4 + 4 matches
38%
Corners over 10.5
League 52%
4 + 4 matches
3.6
Cards per match
League 2.71
4 + 4 matches
75%
Cards over 3.5
League 32%
4 + 4 matches
13%
Cards over 4.5
League 14%
4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Twente at home, For Sittard away

Twente (home)		For Sittard (away)
4	Position	6
WWWW	Last 5, oldest to newest	DWWW
4	Played	4
3.00	Points per match	2.50
100%	Win %	75%
2.25	Scored / match	2.25
0.75	Conceded / match	1.50
3.00	Avg total goals	3.75
50%	Both scored	75%
50%	Clean sheets	25%
0%	Failed to score	0%
2.49	xG for	0.94
0.69	xG against	1.35

Half by half

TwenteFor Sittard

0.501st half scored / match1.25
0.751st half conceded / match0.25
1.752nd half scored / match1.00
0.002nd half conceded / match1.25
0%Leading at half-time75%
50%1st half over 0.575%
50%1st half over 1.550%
100%2nd half over 0.5100%
75%2nd half over 1.575%
50%Scored in both halves75%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Twente at home, For Sittard away, this season.

Goals

TwenteFor Sittard

2.25Scored / match2.25
0.75Conceded / match1.50
3.00Match total / match3.75
100%Scored 1+100%
75%Scored 2+75%
50%Conceded 1+75%
25%Conceded 2+75%
75%Match over 1.575%
50%Match over 2.575%
50%Match over 3.575%

Shots and xG

TwenteFor Sittard

23.50Shots for10.50
8.00Shots against17.25
8.75On target for4.75
3.50On target against3.50
10%Shot conversion21%
2.49xG for0.94
0.69xG against1.35

Corners

TwenteFor Sittard

8.25Corners for1.25
3.00Corners against5.75
11.25Match total7.00
100%Over 7.575%
100%Over 8.550%
75%Over 9.50%
75%Over 10.50%
25%Over 11.50%

Cards

TwenteFor Sittard

0.75Cards for2.50
2.25Cards against1.75
3.00Match total4.25
75%Over 2.575%
75%Over 3.575%
0%Over 4.525%
0%Over 5.525%
10.25Fouls committed10.00

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	16	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	10	19
4	Twente	8	8	17
5	Ajax	8	12	15
6	For Sittard	8	-1	14
7	Excelsior	7	6	11
8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	11

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Eredivisie matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.