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Unia Skierniewice v Polonia Warszawa, Betclic 1. Liga, Sat, 6 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 19. Sat, 6 Feb 2027

Unia SkierniewiceHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
Polonia WarszawaAway
LLWDDLeague form, oldest to newestLLDWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Unia Skierniewice have 6 scored home results and Polonia Warszawa 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Unia Skierniewice at home: 1.17 points per match (6 measured matches); Polonia Warszawa away: 1.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Unia Skierniewice scored 1.33 per home match (6 measured matches); Polonia Warszawa scored 1.40 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.38 per club appearance across 166 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 11 pooled club appearances (54.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Unia Skierniewice: 0 wins; Polonia Warszawa: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 83 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Unia Skierniewice
1.25
Expected goals, Polonia Warszawa
1.87
Most likely score
1-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
60%
Both clubs score
60%
Unia Skierniewice score at least once
71%
Polonia Warszawa score at least once
85%
Season sample
10 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Unia Skierniewice win–
Draw–
Polonia Warszawa win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Unia Skierniewice goals, columns are Polonia Warszawa goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%8%8%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
16%10%10%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
23%6%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
31%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.53 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Unia Skierniewice 10 matches, Polonia Warszawa 10, the league 83, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 8 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.575.3%24.7%
2.550.6%49.4%
3.529.4%70.6%
4.512.9%87.1%

First-half goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.576.5%23.5%
1.534.1%65.9%
2.516.5%83.5%
3.53.5%96.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Unia Skierniewice wins
0
Draws
1
Polonia Warszawa wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Unia Skierniewice clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Polonia Warszawa clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Polonia Warszawa v Unia SkierniewiceSat, 1 Aug 2026 · Betclic 1. Liga 2026-273–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Unia Skierniewice at homeDWLLWD
Polonia Warszawa awayWLWWLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Unia Skierniewice at home, Polonia Warszawa away
  • 55%
    Both teams scored
    League 55%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 72%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 63%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 51%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 27%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 29%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 8%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.76
    6 + 5 matches
  • 82%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 77%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 37%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 34%
    6 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Unia Skierniewice at home, Polonia Warszawa away
Unia Skierniewice (home)Polonia Warszawa (away)
14Position2
WLLWDLast 5, oldest to newestWLWLW
6Played5
1.17Points per match1.80
33%Win %60%
1.33Scored / match1.40
1.67Conceded / match1.00
3.00Avg total goals2.40
50%Both scored60%
17%Clean sheets20%
33%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Unia SkierniewicePolonia Warszawa
  • 0.501st half scored / match0.40
  • 0.831st half conceded / match0.80
  • 0.832nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.832nd half conceded / match0.20
  • 17%Leading at half-time20%
  • 83%1st half over 0.580%
  • 33%1st half over 1.540%
  • 83%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.520%
  • 17%Scored in both halves40%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Unia Skierniewice at home, Polonia Warszawa away, this season.

Goals

Unia SkierniewicePolonia Warszawa
  • 1.33Scored / match1.40
  • 1.67Conceded / match1.00
  • 3.00Match total / match2.40
  • 67%Scored 1+80%
  • 50%Scored 2+40%
  • 83%Conceded 1+80%
  • 67%Conceded 2+20%
  • 83%Match over 1.560%
  • 67%Match over 2.560%
  • 33%Match over 3.520%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Betclic 1. Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.