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Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas v Vaqueros Reynosa FC, Liga Premier Serie A, Tue, 2 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 22. Tue, 2 Mar 2027

Universidad Autónoma de TamaulipasHome
vKick-off 02:05 UTC
Vaqueros Reynosa FCAway
LDLWWLeague form, oldest to newestDLWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas have 4 scored home results and Vaqueros Reynosa FC 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas at home: 2.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Vaqueros Reynosa FC away: 2.00 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas scored 1.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Vaqueros Reynosa FC scored 2.33 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.66 per club appearance across 118 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 7 pooled club appearances (71.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 59 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas
1.33
Expected goals, Vaqueros Reynosa FC
1.03
Most likely score
1-1 (13%)
Three or more goals
42%
Both clubs score
47%
Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas score at least once
74%
Vaqueros Reynosa FC score at least once
64%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas win–
Draw–
Vaqueros Reynosa FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas goals, columns are Vaqueros Reynosa FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%10%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%13%7%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%9%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.10 goals) and away average (1.22 goals).

Sample. Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas 6 matches, Vaqueros Reynosa FC 6, the league 59, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 13 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 59 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.585.2%14.8%
2.567.2%32.8%
3.537.7%62.3%
4.526.2%73.8%

First-half goals · 59 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.3%19.7%
1.550.8%49.2%
2.523.0%77.0%
3.56.6%93.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas at homeDDWW
Vaqueros Reynosa FC awayWLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas at home, Vaqueros Reynosa FC away
  • 75%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 88%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 68%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 29%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 25%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 3.3
    Avg total goals
    League 3.32
    4 + 3 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 81%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 42%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 51%
    4 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas at home, Vaqueros Reynosa FC away
Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas (home)Vaqueros Reynosa FC (away)
11Position3
DDWWLast 5, oldest to newestWLW
4Played3
2.00Points per match2.00
50%Win %67%
1.75Scored / match2.33
0.50Conceded / match2.00
2.25Avg total goals4.33
50%Both scored100%
50%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Universidad Autónoma de TamaulipasVaqueros Reynosa FC
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.67
  • 0.001st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.752nd half scored / match1.67
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 50%Leading at half-time33%
  • 50%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 50%1st half over 1.533%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.5100%
  • 50%Scored in both halves67%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas at home, Vaqueros Reynosa FC away, this season.

Goals

Universidad Autónoma de TamaulipasVaqueros Reynosa FC
  • 1.75Scored / match2.33
  • 0.50Conceded / match2.00
  • 2.25Match total / match4.33
  • 75%Scored 1+100%
  • 50%Scored 2+67%
  • 50%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+67%
  • 75%Match over 1.5100%
  • 50%Match over 2.5100%
  • 25%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga Premier Serie A matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.