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Vaqueros Reynosa FC v Guerreros de Autlán, Liga Premier Serie A, Sun, 17 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 16. Sun, 17 Jan 2027

Vaqueros Reynosa FCHome
vKick-off 01:00 UTC
Guerreros de AutlánAway
DLWWWLeague form, oldest to newestLWLWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Vaqueros Reynosa FC have 3 scored home results and Guerreros de Autlán 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Vaqueros Reynosa FC at home: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Guerreros de Autlán away: 0.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Vaqueros Reynosa FC scored 1.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Guerreros de Autlán scored 0.67 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.66 per club appearance across 118 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 6 pooled club appearances (66.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Vaqueros Reynosa FC: 1 wins; Guerreros de Autlán: 0 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 59 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Vaqueros Reynosa FC
3.05
Expected goals, Guerreros de Autlán
1.11
Most likely score
3-1 (8%)
Three or more goals
78%
Both clubs score
64%
Vaqueros Reynosa FC score at least once
95%
Guerreros de Autlán score at least once
67%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Vaqueros Reynosa FC win–
Draw–
Guerreros de Autlán win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Vaqueros Reynosa FC goals, columns are Guerreros de Autlán goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
02%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
15%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%8%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
38%8%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
46%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
53%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
62%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
71%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.10 goals) and away average (1.22 goals).

Sample. Vaqueros Reynosa FC 6 matches, Guerreros de Autlán 6, the league 59, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 14 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 59 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.585.2%14.8%
2.567.2%32.8%
3.537.7%62.3%
4.526.2%73.8%

First-half goals · 59 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.3%19.7%
1.550.8%49.2%
2.523.0%77.0%
3.56.6%93.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Vaqueros Reynosa FC wins
0
Draws
0
Guerreros de Autlán wins
Goals / meeting
7.00
7 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Vaqueros Reynosa FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Guerreros de Autlán clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Guerreros de Autlán v Vaqueros Reynosa FCSun, 6 Sept 2026 · Liga Premier Serie A 2026-273–4HT 2–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Vaqueros Reynosa FC at homeDWW
Guerreros de Autlán awayLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Vaqueros Reynosa FC at home, Guerreros de Autlán away
  • 67%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 68%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 25%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.32
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 81%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 51%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Vaqueros Reynosa FC at home, Guerreros de Autlán away
Vaqueros Reynosa FC (home)Guerreros de Autlán (away)
3Position14
DWWLast 5, oldest to newestLLD
3Played3
2.33Points per match0.33
67%Win %0%
1.67Scored / match0.67
1.00Conceded / match2.33
2.67Avg total goals3.00
100%Both scored33%
0%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score67%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Vaqueros Reynosa FCGuerreros de Autlán
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.671st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match1.33
  • 33%Leading at half-time0%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 67%1st half over 1.50%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 0%2nd half over 1.567%
  • 33%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Vaqueros Reynosa FC at home, Guerreros de Autlán away, this season.

Goals

Vaqueros Reynosa FCGuerreros de Autlán
  • 1.67Scored / match0.67
  • 1.00Conceded / match2.33
  • 2.67Match total / match3.00
  • 100%Scored 1+33%
  • 67%Scored 2+33%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+100%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 67%Match over 2.567%
  • 0%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Liga Premier Serie A matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.