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Ventforet Kofu v Vegalta Sendai, J2 League, Sat, 17 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 32. Sat, 17 Apr 2027

Ventforet KofuHome
vKick-off 09:00 UTC
Vegalta SendaiAway
LLLLWLeague form, oldest to newestDWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Ventforet Kofu have 5 scored home results and Vegalta Sendai 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Ventforet Kofu at home: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches); Vegalta Sendai away: 2.50 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Ventforet Kofu scored 0.80 per home match (5 measured matches); Vegalta Sendai scored 1.83 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.27 per club appearance across 192 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 11 pooled club appearances (45.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 96 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Ventforet Kofu
0.46
Expected goals, Vegalta Sendai
2.06
Most likely score
0-2 (17%)
Three or more goals
46%
Both clubs score
32%
Ventforet Kofu score at least once
37%
Vegalta Sendai score at least once
87%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Ventforet Kofu win–
Draw–
Vegalta Sendai win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Ventforet Kofu goals, columns are Vegalta Sendai goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
08%17%17%12%6%3%1%under 1%
14%8%8%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%
21%2%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.41 goals) and away average (1.13 goals).

Sample. Ventforet Kofu 9 matches, Vegalta Sendai 9, the league 96, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 96 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.572.4%27.6%
2.546.9%53.1%
3.525.5%74.5%
4.514.3%85.7%

First-half goals · 96 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.3%33.7%
1.532.7%67.3%
2.511.2%88.8%
3.55.1%94.9%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Ventforet Kofu at homeDLLLW
Vegalta Sendai awayWWLWWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Ventforet Kofu at home, Vegalta Sendai away
  • 47%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 72%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 37%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 47%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 14%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 2.3
    Avg total goals
    League 2.53
    5 + 6 matches
  • 70%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 37%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 32%
    5 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Ventforet Kofu at home, Vegalta Sendai away
Ventforet Kofu (home)Vegalta Sendai (away)
20Position1
DLLLWLast 5, oldest to newestWWWWW
5Played6
0.80Points per match2.50
20%Win %83%
0.80Scored / match1.83
1.20Conceded / match0.67
2.00Avg total goals2.50
60%Both scored33%
0%Clean sheets50%
40%Failed to score17%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Ventforet KofuVegalta Sendai
  • 0.601st half scored / match1.17
  • 0.401st half conceded / match0.33
  • 0.202nd half scored / match0.67
  • 0.802nd half conceded / match0.33
  • 20%Leading at half-time83%
  • 40%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 40%1st half over 1.533%
  • 60%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 20%2nd half over 1.517%
  • 0%Scored in both halves67%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Ventforet Kofu at home, Vegalta Sendai away, this season.

Goals

Ventforet KofuVegalta Sendai
  • 0.80Scored / match1.83
  • 1.20Conceded / match0.67
  • 2.00Match total / match2.50
  • 60%Scored 1+83%
  • 20%Scored 2+67%
  • 100%Conceded 1+50%
  • 20%Conceded 2+17%
  • 60%Match over 1.583%
  • 40%Match over 2.533%
  • 0%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for J2 League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.