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Verona v Cesena, Serie B, Fri, 20 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 12. Fri, 20 Nov 2026

VeronaHome
vKick-off 19:30 UTC
CesenaAway
LDWLWLeague form, oldest to newestWDDDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Verona have 3 scored home results and Cesena 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Verona at home: 2.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Cesena away: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Verona scored 2.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Cesena scored 1.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 6 pooled club appearances (66.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match.

Verona

xG 2.07
  • Shots per match16.2
  • On target per match5.6
  • Goals per match2.0

Cesena

xG 1.21
  • Shots per match12.0
  • On target per match3.2
  • Goals per match1.2

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Verona
2.16
Expected goals, Cesena
1.16
Most likely score
2-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
64%
Both clubs score
61%
Verona score at least once
88%
Cesena score at least once
69%
Season sample
5 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Verona win–
Draw–
Cesena win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Verona goals, columns are Cesena goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
18%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%10%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
36%7%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.40 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Verona 5 matches, Cesena 6, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 27 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.6%25.4%
2.552.5%47.5%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.513.6%86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.561.0%39.0%
1.523.7%76.3%
2.510.2%89.8%
3.53.4%96.6%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.557.7%42.3%
9.544.2%55.8%
10.534.6%65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.2%3.8%
1.592.3%7.7%
2.580.8%19.2%
3.565.4%34.6%
4.542.3%57.7%
5.519.2%80.8%
6.515.4%84.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Verona at homeLDLLWW
Cesena awayDLWDWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
  • 82%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 57%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 28%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.63
    5 + 6 matches
  • 80%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 61%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 18%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 23%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 9.5
    Corners per match
    League 9.78
    5 + 5 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 58%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 44%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 30%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 34%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 4.3
    Cards per match
    League 4.20
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 66%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 60%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 42%
    5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
VeronaCesena
9Position10
LDWLWLast 5, oldest to newestWDDDL
5Played6
1.40Points per match1.17
40%Win %17%
2.00Scored / match1.17
1.40Conceded / match1.33
3.40Avg total goals2.50
80%Both scored83%
20%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score17%
2.07xG for1.21
0.87xG against0.99

Half by half

VeronaCesena
  • 0.401st half scored / match0.83
  • 0.401st half conceded / match0.50
  • 1.602nd half scored / match0.33
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match0.83
  • 20%Leading at half-time67%
  • 60%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 20%1st half over 1.517%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 80%2nd half over 1.517%
  • 0%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Both clubs, every match this season.

Goals

VeronaCesena
  • 2.00Scored / match1.17
  • 1.40Conceded / match1.33
  • 3.40Match total / match2.50
  • 100%Scored 1+83%
  • 40%Scored 2+33%
  • 80%Conceded 1+100%
  • 40%Conceded 2+33%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 80%Match over 2.533%
  • 40%Match over 3.517%

Shots and xG

VeronaCesena
  • 16.20Shots for12.00
  • 8.60Shots against15.40
  • 5.60On target for3.20
  • 2.80On target against5.00
  • 12%Shot conversion12%
  • 2.07xG for1.21
  • 0.87xG against0.99

Corners

VeronaCesena
  • 5.80Corners for3.80
  • 3.00Corners against6.40
  • 8.80Match total10.20
  • 80%Over 7.5100%
  • 40%Over 8.560%
  • 20%Over 9.540%
  • 20%Over 10.540%
  • 20%Over 11.540%

Cards

VeronaCesena
  • 2.60Cards for2.40
  • 2.80Cards against0.80
  • 5.40Match total3.20
  • 100%Over 2.560%
  • 100%Over 3.540%
  • 80%Over 4.540%
  • 40%Over 5.50%
  • 15.40Fouls committed15.40

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
7Pisa6310
8Benevento6310
9Verona537
10Cesena6-17
11Padova5-17
12Arezzo6-77
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie B matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.