Verona vs Sampdoria stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 30. Sat, 13 Mar 2027

vKick-off 16:00 UTC

LDWLWLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Verona have 3 scored home results and Sampdoria 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Verona at home: 2.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Sampdoria away: 0.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Verona scored 2.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Sampdoria scored 0.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 7 pooled club appearances (71.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Verona: 2 wins; Sampdoria: 6 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Verona at home and Sampdoria away.

Verona at home

xG 2.40

Shots per match18.7
On target per match7.3
Goals per match2.7

Sampdoria away

xG 1.51

Shots per match16.0
On target per match5.3
Goals per match0.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Verona: 3.51
Expected goals, Sampdoria: 0.99
Most likely score: 3-0 (8%)
Three or more goals: 82%
Both clubs score: 61%
Verona score at least once: 97%
Sampdoria score at least once: 63%
Season sample: 5 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Verona win–

Draw–

Sampdoria win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Verona goals, columns are Sampdoria goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

01234567

01%1%1%

14%4%2%1%

27%7%3%1%

38%8%4%1%

47%7%4%1%

55%5%2%1%

63%3%1%

71%1%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.40 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Verona 5 matches, Sampdoria 6, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	74.6%	25.4%
2.5	52.5%	47.5%
3.5	27.1%	72.9%
4.5	13.6%	86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	61.0%	39.0%
1.5	23.7%	76.3%
2.5	10.2%	89.8%
3.5	3.4%	96.6%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	57.7%	42.3%
9.5	44.2%	55.8%
10.5	34.6%	65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.2%	3.8%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	80.8%	19.2%
3.5	65.4%	34.6%
4.5	42.3%	57.7%
5.5	19.2%	80.8%
6.5	15.4%	84.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

Verona wins

Draws

Sampdoria wins

Goals / meeting

2.70

27 goals in 10 meetings

Both scored

70%

7 of 10 meetings

Over 1.5

90%

9 of 10 meetings

Over 2.5

60%

6 of 10 meetings

Over 3.5

30%

3 of 10 meetings

Verona clean sheets

20%

2 of 10 meetings

Sampdoria clean sheets

20%

2 of 10 meetings

Corners / meeting

10.50

10 with corner data

Cards / meeting

4.80

10 with card data

Sampdoria v VeronaSun, 19 Mar 2023 · Serie A 2022-233–1HT 2–0
Verona v SampdoriaSun, 4 Sept 2022 · Serie A 2022-232–1HT 2–1
Verona v SampdoriaSat, 23 Apr 2022 · Serie A 2021-221–1HT 0–1
Sampdoria v VeronaSat, 27 Nov 2021 · Serie A 2021-223–1HT 0–1
Sampdoria v VeronaSat, 17 Apr 2021 · Serie A 2020-213–1HT 0–1
Verona v SampdoriaWed, 16 Dec 2020 · Serie A 2020-211–2HT 0–1
Sampdoria v VeronaSun, 8 Mar 2020 · Serie A 2019-202–1HT 0–1
Verona v SampdoriaSat, 5 Oct 2019 · Serie A 2019-202–0HT 1–0
Sampdoria v VeronaSun, 11 Feb 2018 · Serie A 2017-182–0HT 0–0
Verona v SampdoriaWed, 20 Sept 2017 · Serie A 2017-180–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Verona at homeLDLLWW

Sun, 20 Septv Vicenza2–1C 3–5 · Y 4–2
Sun, 6 Septv Arezzo5–0C 6–0 · Y 2–2
Sun, 30 Augv Asd Moncalieri Calcio 19530–2C ––– · Y –––
Sun, 23 Augv Ascoli1–2C 5–4 · Y 2–3
Sun, 16 Augv Virtus Entella2–2C ––– · Y –––
Sun, 24 Mayv Roma0–2C 6–6 · Y 4–1

Sampdoria awayLLDLLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Verona at home, Sampdoria away

71%
Both teams scored
League 61%
3 + 4 matches
100%
Over 0.5 goals
League 95%
3 + 4 matches
100%
Over 1.5 goals
League 75%
3 + 4 matches
75%
Over 2.5 goals
League 53%
3 + 4 matches
42%
Over 3.5 goals
League 26%
3 + 4 matches
29%
Over 4.5 goals
League 12%
3 + 4 matches
3.5
Avg total goals
League 2.63
3 + 4 matches
54%
1st half over 0.5
League 61%
3 + 4 matches
25%
1st half over 1.5
League 23%
3 + 4 matches
8.7
Corners per match
League 9.78
3 + 3 matches
50%
Corners over 8.5
League 58%
3 + 3 matches
33%
Corners over 9.5
League 44%
3 + 3 matches
17%
Corners over 10.5
League 34%
3 + 3 matches
4.7
Cards per match
League 4.20
3 + 3 matches
83%
Cards over 3.5
League 66%
3 + 3 matches
67%
Cards over 4.5
League 42%
3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Verona at home, Sampdoria away

Verona (home)		Sampdoria (away)
9	Position	18
LWW	Last 5, oldest to newest	DLLL
3	Played	4
2.00	Points per match	0.25
67%	Win %	0%
2.67	Scored / match	0.75
1.00	Conceded / match	2.50
3.67	Avg total goals	3.25
67%	Both scored	75%
33%	Clean sheets	0%
0%	Failed to score	25%
2.40	xG for	1.51
0.76	xG against	1.33

Half by half

VeronaSampdoria

0.331st half scored / match0.25
0.001st half conceded / match1.75
2.332nd half scored / match0.50
1.002nd half conceded / match0.75
33%Leading at half-time0%
33%1st half over 0.575%
0%1st half over 1.550%
100%2nd half over 0.575%
100%2nd half over 1.550%
0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Verona at home, Sampdoria away, this season.

Goals

VeronaSampdoria

2.67Scored / match0.75
1.00Conceded / match2.50
3.67Match total / match3.25
100%Scored 1+75%
67%Scored 2+0%
67%Conceded 1+100%
33%Conceded 2+75%
100%Match over 1.5100%
100%Match over 2.550%
33%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

VeronaSampdoria

18.67Shots for16.00
7.67Shots against10.33
7.33On target for5.33
2.00On target against4.33
14%Shot conversion4%
2.40xG for1.51
0.76xG against1.33

Corners

VeronaSampdoria

4.67Corners for7.33
3.00Corners against2.33
7.67Match total9.67
67%Over 7.567%
33%Over 8.567%
0%Over 9.567%
0%Over 10.533%
0%Over 11.533%

Cards

VeronaSampdoria

2.67Cards for2.00
2.33Cards against2.33
5.00Match total4.33
100%Over 2.5100%
100%Over 3.567%
67%Over 4.567%
33%Over 5.50%
15.67Fouls committed9.00

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
7	Pisa	6	3	10
8	Benevento	6	3	10
9	Verona	5	3	7
10	Cesena	6	-1	7
11	Padova	5	-1	7
16	Empoli	6	-4	6
17	Vicenza	6	-6	5
18	Sampdoria	6	-7	4
19	Catanzaro	5	-4	3
20	Carrarese	5	-4	1

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie B matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.