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VfB Oldenburg v SC Weiche Flensburg 08, Regionalliga Nord, Sat, 20 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 27. Sat, 20 Mar 2027

VfB OldenburgHome
vKick-off 14:30 UTC
SC Weiche Flensburg 08Away
LWWLLLeague form, oldest to newestWLLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, VfB Oldenburg have 5 scored home results and SC Weiche Flensburg 08 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: VfB Oldenburg at home: 2.40 points per match (5 measured matches); SC Weiche Flensburg 08 away: 2.17 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. VfB Oldenburg scored 3.80 per home match (5 measured matches); SC Weiche Flensburg 08 scored 2.83 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.91 per club appearance across 204 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 10 of 11 pooled club appearances (90.9%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. VfB Oldenburg: 0 wins; SC Weiche Flensburg 08: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 102 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, VfB Oldenburg
1.91
Expected goals, SC Weiche Flensburg 08
2.27
Most likely score
1-2 (8%)
Three or more goals
79%
Both clubs score
76%
VfB Oldenburg score at least once
85%
SC Weiche Flensburg 08 score at least once
90%
Season sample
11 and 12 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

VfB Oldenburg win–
Draw–
SC Weiche Flensburg 08 win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are VfB Oldenburg goals, columns are SC Weiche Flensburg 08 goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
02%3%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
13%7%8%6%3%1%1%under 1%
23%6%7%5%3%1%1%under 1%
32%4%5%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
41%2%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.98 goals) and away average (1.83 goals).

Sample. VfB Oldenburg 11 matches, SC Weiche Flensburg 08 12, the league 102, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 8 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 102 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.588.5%11.5%
2.567.3%32.7%
3.551.0%49.0%
4.533.7%66.3%

First-half goals · 102 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.576.0%24.0%
1.541.3%58.7%
2.518.3%81.7%
3.59.6%90.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
VfB Oldenburg wins
0
Draws
1
SC Weiche Flensburg 08 wins
Goals / meeting
5.00
5 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
VfB Oldenburg clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
SC Weiche Flensburg 08 clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. SC Weiche Flensburg 08 v VfB OldenburgSat, 3 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga Nord 2026-273–2HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
VfB Oldenburg at homeWWWWL
SC Weiche Flensburg 08 awayDWWWLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
  • 70%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    11 + 12 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    11 + 12 matches
  • 91%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 89%
    11 + 12 matches
  • 78%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 68%
    11 + 12 matches
  • 61%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 51%
    11 + 12 matches
  • 44%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 33%
    11 + 12 matches
  • 4.3
    Avg total goals
    League 3.81
    11 + 12 matches
  • 95%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    11 + 12 matches
  • 53%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 41%
    11 + 12 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
VfB OldenburgSC Weiche Flensburg 08
4Position1
LWWLLLast 5, oldest to newestWLLWW
11Played12
2.00Points per match2.33
64%Win %75%
3.00Scored / match2.92
1.55Conceded / match1.17
4.55Avg total goals4.08
73%Both scored67%
18%Clean sheets25%
9%Failed to score8%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

VfB OldenburgSC Weiche Flensburg 08
  • 0.821st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.821st half conceded / match0.58
  • 2.182nd half scored / match1.92
  • 0.732nd half conceded / match0.58
  • 36%Leading at half-time50%
  • 91%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 64%1st half over 1.542%
  • 91%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 82%2nd half over 1.567%
  • 46%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Both clubs, every match this season.

Goals

VfB OldenburgSC Weiche Flensburg 08
  • 3.00Scored / match2.92
  • 1.55Conceded / match1.17
  • 4.55Match total / match4.08
  • 91%Scored 1+92%
  • 73%Scored 2+67%
  • 82%Conceded 1+75%
  • 36%Conceded 2+42%
  • 91%Match over 1.592%
  • 82%Match over 2.575%
  • 73%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Regionalliga Nord matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.