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Vicenza v Modena, Serie B, Tue, 27 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 9. Tue, 27 Oct 2026

VicenzaHome
vKick-off 19:00 UTC
ModenaAway
LDDLLLeague form, oldest to newestWWLDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stadio Romeo Menti. Photo: Pottercomuneo, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Vicenza have 3 scored home results and Modena 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Vicenza at home: 1.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Modena away: 2.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Vicenza scored 1.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Modena scored 2.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 6 pooled club appearances (66.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Vicenza at home and Modena away.

Vicenza at home

xG 1.21
  • Shots per match15.0
  • On target per match5.5
  • Goals per match1.3

Modena away

xG 1.03
  • Shots per match13.7
  • On target per match5.0
  • Goals per match2.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Vicenza
0.76
Expected goals, Modena
2.46
Most likely score
0-2 (12%)
Three or more goals
62%
Both clubs score
49%
Vicenza score at least once
53%
Modena score at least once
91%
Season sample
6 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Vicenza win–
Draw–
Modena win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Vicenza goals, columns are Modena goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%10%12%10%6%3%1%under 1%
13%7%9%8%5%2%1%under 1%
21%3%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.40 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Vicenza 6 matches, Modena 5, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.6%25.4%
2.552.5%47.5%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.513.6%86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.561.0%39.0%
1.523.7%76.3%
2.510.2%89.8%
3.53.4%96.6%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.557.7%42.3%
9.544.2%55.8%
10.534.6%65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.2%3.8%
1.592.3%7.7%
2.580.8%19.2%
3.565.4%34.6%
4.542.3%57.7%
5.519.2%80.8%
6.515.4%84.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Vicenza at homeLWDWDL
Modena awayLLLWWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Vicenza at home, Modena away
  • 67%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 3.0
    Avg total goals
    League 2.63
    3 + 3 matches
  • 83%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 61%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 23%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 13.1
    Corners per match
    League 9.78
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 58%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 44%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 83%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 34%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 3.4
    Cards per match
    League 4.20
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 66%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 42%
    2 + 3 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Vicenza at home, Modena away
Vicenza (home)Modena (away)
17Position6
WDLLast 5, oldest to newestWWD
3Played3
1.33Points per match2.33
33%Win %67%
1.33Scored / match2.00
2.00Conceded / match0.67
3.33Avg total goals2.67
67%Both scored67%
0%Clean sheets33%
33%Failed to score0%
1.21xG for1.03
1.64xG against0.70

Half by half

VicenzaModena
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.67
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.67
  • 1.002nd half scored / match1.33
  • 1.332nd half conceded / match0.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time33%
  • 67%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 33%1st half over 1.533%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 100%2nd half over 1.533%
  • 33%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Vicenza at home, Modena away, this season.

Goals

VicenzaModena
  • 1.33Scored / match2.00
  • 2.00Conceded / match0.67
  • 3.33Match total / match2.67
  • 67%Scored 1+100%
  • 33%Scored 2+67%
  • 100%Conceded 1+67%
  • 67%Conceded 2+0%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 67%Match over 2.567%
  • 33%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

VicenzaModena
  • 15.00Shots for13.67
  • 13.50Shots against11.67
  • 5.50On target for5.00
  • 6.50On target against2.67
  • 13%Shot conversion15%
  • 1.21xG for1.03
  • 1.64xG against0.70

Corners

VicenzaModena
  • 9.00Corners for4.67
  • 5.50Corners against7.00
  • 14.50Match total11.67
  • 100%Over 7.5100%
  • 100%Over 8.5100%
  • 100%Over 9.5100%
  • 100%Over 10.567%
  • 100%Over 11.567%

Cards

VicenzaModena
  • 2.00Cards for1.33
  • 1.50Cards against2.00
  • 3.50Match total3.33
  • 50%Over 2.5100%
  • 50%Over 3.533%
  • 50%Over 4.50%
  • 0%Over 5.50%
  • 17.50Fouls committed13.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
4Ascoli6311
5Avellino6410
6Modena5410
7Pisa6310
8Benevento6310
15Juve Stabia6-36
16Empoli6-46
17Vicenza6-65
18Sampdoria6-74
19Catanzaro5-43
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie B matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.