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Viking FK II v Flekkerøy, 3rd Division, Group 4, Sat, 24 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 25. Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Viking FK IIHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
FlekkerøyAway
WDLLWLeague form, oldest to newestLDWWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Viking FK II have 12 scored home results and Flekkerøy 12 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Viking FK II at home: 2.42 points per match (12 measured matches); Flekkerøy away: 1.42 points per match (12 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Viking FK II scored 3.58 per home match (12 measured matches); Flekkerøy scored 1.83 away (12). The competition's pooled scoring average was 2.00 per club appearance across 316 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 19 of 24 pooled club appearances (79.2%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Viking FK II: 0 wins; Flekkerøy: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 158 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Viking FK II
2.18
Expected goals, Flekkerøy
1.31
Most likely score
2-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
68%
Both clubs score
65%
Viking FK II score at least once
89%
Flekkerøy score at least once
73%
Season sample
23 and 23 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Viking FK II win–
Draw–
Flekkerøy win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Viking FK II goals, columns are Flekkerøy goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%4%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
17%9%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
27%10%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%7%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.18 goals) and away average (1.81 goals).

Sample. Viking FK II 23 matches, Flekkerøy 23, the league 158, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 158 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.593.1%6.9%
2.575.0%25.0%
3.555.6%44.4%
4.534.4%65.6%

First-half goals · 158 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.581.3%18.8%
1.546.9%53.1%
2.521.3%78.8%
3.510.0%90.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Viking FK II wins
0
Draws
1
Flekkerøy wins
Goals / meeting
5.00
5 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Viking FK II clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Flekkerøy clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Flekkerøy v Viking FK IISun, 12 Apr 2026 · 3rd Division, Group 4 20263–2HT 2–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Viking FK II at homeWDWWLW
Flekkerøy awayLLWLWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Viking FK II at home, Flekkerøy away
  • 79%
    Both teams scored
    League 68%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 99%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 94%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 79%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 75%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 63%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 56%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 33%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 34%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 4.1
    Avg total goals
    League 3.99
    12 + 12 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 82%
    12 + 12 matches
  • 46%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 47%
    12 + 12 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Viking FK II at home, Flekkerøy away
Viking FK II (home)Flekkerøy (away)
6Position3
DWWLWLast 5, oldest to newestLWLWW
12Played12
2.42Points per match1.42
75%Win %42%
3.58Scored / match1.83
0.83Conceded / match2.00
4.42Avg total goals3.83
67%Both scored92%
33%Clean sheets8%
0%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Viking FK IIFlekkerøy
  • 1.501st half scored / match0.67
  • 0.081st half conceded / match0.83
  • 2.082nd half scored / match1.17
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match1.17
  • 75%Leading at half-time33%
  • 75%1st half over 0.575%
  • 58%1st half over 1.533%
  • 92%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 92%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 67%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Viking FK II at home, Flekkerøy away, this season.

Goals

Viking FK IIFlekkerøy
  • 3.58Scored / match1.83
  • 0.83Conceded / match2.00
  • 4.42Match total / match3.83
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 75%Scored 2+50%
  • 67%Conceded 1+92%
  • 17%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 83%Match over 2.575%
  • 75%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#ClubPGDPts
1Madla233248
2FK Mandalskameratene222143
3Flekkerøy23839
4Vindbjart232038
5Varhaug23536
6Viking FK II232335
7Brodd23233
8Våg FK23132
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for 3rd Division, Group 4 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.