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Viking FK v Tromsø IL, Eliteserien, Sun, 25 Oct 2026: statistics and head to head

2026, Round 12. Sun, 25 Oct 2026

Viking FKHome
vKick-off 13:30 UTC
Tromsø ILAway
WDWWWLeague form, oldest to newestLDLLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Viking FK have 10 scored home results and Tromsø IL 10 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Viking FK at home: 3.00 points per match (10 measured matches); Tromsø IL away: 1.40 points per match (10 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Viking FK scored 3.80 per home match (10 measured matches); Tromsø IL scored 1.90 away (10). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.59 per club appearance across 526 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 13 of 20 pooled club appearances (65.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 263 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Viking FK
2.57
Expected goals, Tromsø IL
0.91
Most likely score
2-0 (10%)
Three or more goals
67%
Both clubs score
55%
Viking FK score at least once
92%
Tromsø IL score at least once
60%
Season sample
22 and 21 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Viking FK win–
Draw–
Tromsø IL win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Viking FK goals, columns are Tromsø IL goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
18%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
39%8%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
46%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
53%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.85 goals) and away average (1.33 goals).

Sample. Viking FK 22 matches, Tromsø IL 21, the league 263, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 263 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.586.8%13.2%
2.562.6%37.4%
3.534.7%65.3%
4.520.8%79.2%

First-half goals · 167 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.584.6%15.4%
1.545.0%55.0%
2.515.4%84.6%
3.55.3%94.7%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Viking FK at homeWWWWWW
Tromsø IL awayLWLLLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Viking FK at home, Tromsø IL away
  • 65%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 95%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 90%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 87%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 63%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 50%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 35%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 50%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 21%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 4.4
    Avg total goals
    League 3.18
    10 + 10 matches
  • 90%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 85%
    10 + 10 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 45%
    10 + 10 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Viking FK at home, Tromsø IL away
Viking FK (home)Tromsø IL (away)
1Position7
WWWWWLast 5, oldest to newestWWLLL
10Played10
3.00Points per match1.40
100%Win %40%
3.80Scored / match1.90
1.00Conceded / match2.00
4.80Avg total goals3.90
70%Both scored60%
30%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score30%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Viking FKTromsø IL
  • 2.001st half scored / match0.40
  • 0.701st half conceded / match0.90
  • 1.802nd half scored / match1.50
  • 0.302nd half conceded / match1.10
  • 80%Leading at half-time20%
  • 100%1st half over 0.580%
  • 70%1st half over 1.530%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.590%
  • 70%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 90%Scored in both halves30%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Viking FK at home, Tromsø IL away, this season.

Goals

Viking FKTromsø IL
  • 3.80Scored / match1.90
  • 1.00Conceded / match2.00
  • 4.80Match total / match3.90
  • 100%Scored 1+70%
  • 100%Scored 2+50%
  • 70%Conceded 1+80%
  • 20%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.580%
  • 100%Match over 2.560%
  • 50%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026

#ClubPGDPts
1Bodø/Glimt223653
1Viking FK223653
3Viking213450
4Bodo/Glimt213450
6Molde27742
7Tromso211138
7Tromsø IL211138
9Sarpsborg 0828-933
10Lillestrom21-132
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Eliteserien matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.