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Vissel Kobe v Avispa Fukuoka, J1 League, Sat, 24 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 31. Sat, 24 Apr 2027

Vissel KobeHome
vKick-off 09:00 UTC
Avispa FukuokaAway
WWWWLLeague form, oldest to newestLDLLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Vissel Kobe have 4 scored home results and Avispa Fukuoka 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Vissel Kobe at home: 2.50 points per match (4 measured matches); Avispa Fukuoka away: 0.00 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Vissel Kobe scored 2.00 per home match (4 measured matches); Avispa Fukuoka scored 1.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.46 per club appearance across 180 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 7 pooled club appearances (71.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Vissel Kobe: 7 wins; Avispa Fukuoka: 1 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 90 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Vissel Kobe
1.66
Expected goals, Avispa Fukuoka
0.78
Most likely score
1-0 (15%)
Three or more goals
44%
Both clubs score
44%
Vissel Kobe score at least once
81%
Avispa Fukuoka score at least once
54%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Vissel Kobe win–
Draw–
Avispa Fukuoka win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Vissel Kobe goals, columns are Avispa Fukuoka goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
115%11%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
212%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
37%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.57 goals) and away average (1.34 goals).

Sample. Vissel Kobe 9 matches, Avispa Fukuoka 9, the league 90, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 25 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 90 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.3%21.7%
2.553.3%46.7%
3.531.5%68.5%
4.518.5%81.5%

First-half goals · 90 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.567.4%32.6%
1.535.9%64.1%
2.512.0%88.0%
3.52.2%97.8%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

7
Vissel Kobe wins
2
Draws
1
Avispa Fukuoka wins
Goals / meeting
1.10
11 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Vissel Kobe clean sheets
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Avispa Fukuoka v Vissel KobeSat, 8 Aug 2026 · J1 League 2026-270–1HT 0–1
  2. Avispa Fukuoka v Vissel KobeSat, 28 Jun 2025 · J1 League 20250–0
  3. Vissel Kobe v Avispa FukuokaSat, 1 Mar 2025 · J1 League 20250–1
  4. Avispa Fukuoka v Vissel KobeSun, 1 Sept 2024 · J1 League 20240–2
  5. Vissel Kobe v Avispa FukuokaWed, 15 May 2024 · J1 League 20241–0
  6. Avispa Fukuoka v Vissel KobeSun, 25 Jun 2023 · J1 League 20230–3
  7. Vissel Kobe v Avispa FukuokaSat, 18 Feb 2023 · J1 League 20231–0
  8. Avispa Fukuoka v Vissel KobeSat, 1 Oct 2022 · J1 League 20220–1
  9. Vissel Kobe v Avispa FukuokaSat, 26 Feb 2022 · J1 League 20220–0
  10. Vissel Kobe v Avispa FukuokaSat, 16 Oct 2021 · J1 League 20211–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Vissel Kobe at homeDWWWWW
Avispa Fukuoka awayDLLLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 59%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 61%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 28%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 31%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 18%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.91
    9 + 9 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 68%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 28%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 36%
    9 + 9 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
Vissel KobeAvispa Fukuoka
5Position17
WWWWLLast 5, oldest to newestLDLLW
9Played9
2.11Points per match0.78
67%Win %22%
1.56Scored / match1.22
1.00Conceded / match1.44
2.56Avg total goals2.67
44%Both scored56%
44%Clean sheets11%
11%Failed to score33%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Vissel KobeAvispa Fukuoka
  • 0.561st half scored / match0.67
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.44
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.56
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 33%Leading at half-time33%
  • 67%1st half over 0.567%
  • 22%1st half over 1.533%
  • 78%2nd half over 0.589%
  • 44%2nd half over 1.556%
  • 33%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Both clubs, every match this season.

Goals

Vissel KobeAvispa Fukuoka
  • 1.56Scored / match1.22
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.44
  • 2.56Match total / match2.67
  • 89%Scored 1+67%
  • 56%Scored 2+44%
  • 56%Conceded 1+89%
  • 22%Conceded 2+33%
  • 56%Match over 1.567%
  • 44%Match over 2.556%
  • 33%Match over 3.522%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for J1 League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.