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Wehen v Hansa Rostock, 3. Liga, Fri, 12 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 23. Fri, 12 Feb 2027

WehenHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
Hansa RostockAway
DDLWLLeague form, oldest to newestDLWDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Wehen have 4 scored home results and Hansa Rostock 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Wehen at home: 0.25 points per match (4 measured matches); Hansa Rostock away: 2.00 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Wehen scored 0.50 per home match (4 measured matches); Hansa Rostock scored 2.00 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.66 per club appearance across 152 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 9 pooled club appearances (55.6%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. Wehen: 1 wins; Hansa Rostock: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 76 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Wehen
0.83
Expected goals, Hansa Rostock
2.29
Most likely score
0-2 (12%)
Three or more goals
60%
Both clubs score
51%
Wehen score at least once
57%
Hansa Rostock score at least once
90%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Wehen win–
Draw–
Hansa Rostock win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Wehen goals, columns are Hansa Rostock goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%10%12%9%5%2%1%under 1%
14%8%10%7%4%2%1%under 1%
22%4%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.72 goals) and away average (1.61 goals).

Sample. Wehen 7 matches, Hansa Rostock 8, the league 76, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 76 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.579.5%20.5%
2.565.4%34.6%
3.541.0%59.0%
4.528.2%71.8%

First-half goals · 76 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.579.5%20.5%
1.547.4%52.6%
2.523.1%76.9%
3.511.5%88.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Wehen wins
1
Draws
1
Hansa Rostock wins
Goals / meeting
2.33
7 goals in 3 meetings
Both scored
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Over 1.5
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Over 2.5
33%
1 of 3 meetings
Over 3.5
33%
1 of 3 meetings
Wehen clean sheets
33%
1 of 3 meetings
Hansa Rostock clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Corners / meeting
15.00
2 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
2.50
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Hansa Rostock v WehenSat, 5 Sept 2026 · 3. Liga 2026-271–1HT 0–0
  2. Hansa Rostock v WehenFri, 5 Apr 2024 · 2. Bundesliga 2023-243–1HT 0–0
  3. Wehen v Hansa RostockSun, 29 Oct 2023 · 2. Bundesliga 2023-241–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Wehen at homeLLLDLL
Hansa Rostock awayLWWLDW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Wehen at home, Hansa Rostock away
  • 55%
    Both teams scored
    League 63%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 55%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 66%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 55%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 41%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 33%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 28%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 3.2
    Avg total goals
    League 3.33
    4 + 5 matches
  • 68%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 80%
    4 + 5 matches
  • 45%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 47%
    4 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Wehen at home, Hansa Rostock away
Wehen (home)Hansa Rostock (away)
19Position4
LDLLLast 5, oldest to newestWWLDW
4Played5
0.25Points per match2.00
0%Win %60%
0.50Scored / match2.00
2.00Conceded / match1.80
2.50Avg total goals3.80
50%Both scored60%
25%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

WehenHansa Rostock
  • 0.501st half scored / match0.60
  • 1.251st half conceded / match0.80
  • 0.002nd half scored / match1.40
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time20%
  • 75%1st half over 0.560%
  • 50%1st half over 1.540%
  • 50%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.580%
  • 0%Scored in both halves40%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Wehen at home, Hansa Rostock away, this season.

Goals

WehenHansa Rostock
  • 0.50Scored / match2.00
  • 2.00Conceded / match1.80
  • 2.50Match total / match3.80
  • 50%Scored 1+80%
  • 0%Scored 2+60%
  • 75%Conceded 1+80%
  • 50%Conceded 2+60%
  • 50%Match over 1.5100%
  • 50%Match over 2.560%
  • 50%Match over 3.560%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for 3. Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.