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West Brom v Preston, EFL Championship, Tue, 29 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 24. Tue, 29 Dec 2026

West BromHome
vKick-off 19:45 UTC
PrestonAway
WWDLLLeague form, oldest to newestWLLDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

The Hawthorns. Photo: Mattd1991, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, West Brom have 5 scored home results and Preston 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: West Brom at home: 1.60 points per match (5 measured matches); Preston away: 0.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. West Brom scored 1.20 per home match (5 measured matches); Preston scored 1.00 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.42 per club appearance across 212 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 9 pooled club appearances (66.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. West Brom: 6 wins; Preston: 2 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, West Brom at home and Preston away.

West Brom at home

xG 1.14
  • Shots per match11.8
  • On target per match4.8
  • Goals per match1.2

Preston away

xG 1.45
  • Shots per match13.3
  • On target per match3.3
  • Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 106 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, West Brom
1.54
Expected goals, Preston
0.55
Most likely score
1-0 (19%)
Three or more goals
35%
Both clubs score
33%
West Brom score at least once
79%
Preston score at least once
43%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

West Brom win–
Draw–
Preston win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are West Brom goals, columns are Preston goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
012%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
119%11%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
215%8%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
38%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.58 goals) and away average (1.26 goals).

Sample. West Brom 9 matches, Preston 9, the league 106, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 106 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.7%21.3%
2.562.0%38.0%
3.534.3%65.7%
4.510.2%89.8%

First-half goals · 106 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.578.7%21.3%
1.539.8%60.2%
2.516.7%83.3%
3.58.3%91.7%

Corners · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.570.1%29.9%
9.558.8%41.2%
10.549.5%50.5%

Yellow + red card events · 95 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.9%3.1%
1.592.8%7.2%
2.575.3%24.7%
3.548.5%51.5%
4.536.1%63.9%
5.518.6%81.4%
6.512.4%87.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

6
West Brom wins
2
Draws
2
Preston wins
Goals / meeting
2.50
25 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
90%
9 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
West Brom clean sheets
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Preston clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.80
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.90
10 with card data
  1. Preston v West BromSat, 18 Apr 2026 · EFL Championship 2025-260–2HT 0–1
  2. West Brom v PrestonSat, 18 Oct 2025 · EFL Championship 2025-262–1HT 1–0
  3. West Brom v PrestonWed, 1 Jan 2025 · EFL Championship 2024-253–1HT 3–0
  4. Preston v West BromSat, 30 Nov 2024 · EFL Championship 2024-251–1HT 0–1
  5. West Brom v PrestonSat, 4 May 2024 · EFL Championship 2023-243–0HT 1–0
  6. Preston v West BromSat, 30 Sept 2023 · EFL Championship 2023-240–4HT 0–2
  7. West Brom v PrestonThu, 29 Dec 2022 · EFL Championship 2022-232–0HT 1–0
  8. Preston v West BromWed, 5 Oct 2022 · EFL Championship 2022-231–0HT 1–0
  9. West Brom v PrestonWed, 26 Jan 2022 · EFL Championship 2021-220–2HT 0–1
  10. Preston v West BromSat, 18 Sept 2021 · EFL Championship 2021-221–1HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
West Brom at homeDWDWDL
Preston awayLWLLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
West Brom at home, Preston away
  • 68%
    Both teams scored
    League 67%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 68%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 48%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 23%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 9%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.85
    5 + 4 matches
  • 78%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 79%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 45%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    5 + 4 matches
  • 9.0
    Corners per match
    League 10.60
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 71%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 59%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 4.0
    Cards per match
    League 3.92
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 48%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 36%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
West Brom at home, Preston away
West Brom (home)Preston (away)
10Position24
WDWDLLast 5, oldest to newestLLLD
5Played4
1.60Points per match0.25
40%Win %0%
1.20Scored / match1.00
0.80Conceded / match1.75
2.00Avg total goals2.75
60%Both scored75%
20%Clean sheets0%
20%Failed to score25%
1.14xG for1.45
0.87xG against1.39

Half by half

West BromPreston
  • 0.601st half scored / match0.75
  • 0.601st half conceded / match0.50
  • 0.602nd half scored / match0.25
  • 0.202nd half conceded / match1.25
  • 20%Leading at half-time50%
  • 80%1st half over 0.575%
  • 40%1st half over 1.550%
  • 40%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 40%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 20%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

West Brom at home, Preston away, this season.

Goals

West BromPreston
  • 1.20Scored / match1.00
  • 0.80Conceded / match1.75
  • 2.00Match total / match2.75
  • 80%Scored 1+75%
  • 20%Scored 2+25%
  • 80%Conceded 1+100%
  • 0%Conceded 2+75%
  • 60%Match over 1.575%
  • 20%Match over 2.575%
  • 20%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

West BromPreston
  • 11.75Shots for13.25
  • 7.50Shots against18.75
  • 4.75On target for3.25
  • 2.25On target against4.75
  • 13%Shot conversion8%
  • 1.14xG for1.45
  • 0.87xG against1.39

Corners

West BromPreston
  • 5.25Corners for3.25
  • 3.75Corners against5.75
  • 9.00Match total9.00
  • 100%Over 7.550%
  • 50%Over 8.550%
  • 25%Over 9.550%
  • 25%Over 10.550%
  • 0%Over 11.525%

Cards

West BromPreston
  • 2.00Cards for2.00
  • 2.50Cards against1.50
  • 4.50Match total3.50
  • 75%Over 2.550%
  • 50%Over 3.550%
  • 50%Over 4.550%
  • 25%Over 5.50%
  • 10.25Fouls committed13.75

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
8Birmingham9214
9Millwall9114
10West Brom9114
11Bristol City9-114
12Charlton9-313
22Burnley9-47
23Derby9-76
24Preston9-84
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL Championship matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.