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Westfalia Rhynern v Bonner SC, Regionalliga West, Sat, 3 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 28. Sat, 3 Apr 2027

Westfalia RhynernHome
vKick-off 12:00 UTC
Bonner SCAway
LWLLLLeague form, oldest to newestWDWDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Westfalia Rhynern have 6 scored home results and Bonner SC 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Westfalia Rhynern at home: 1.83 points per match (6 measured matches); Bonner SC away: 0.75 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Westfalia Rhynern scored 2.00 per home match (6 measured matches); Bonner SC scored 1.50 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.75 per club appearance across 202 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 9 of 10 pooled club appearances (90.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Westfalia Rhynern: 0 wins; Bonner SC: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 101 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Westfalia Rhynern
1.69
Expected goals, Bonner SC
1.96
Most likely score
1-1 (9%)
Three or more goals
71%
Both clubs score
70%
Westfalia Rhynern score at least once
82%
Bonner SC score at least once
86%
Season sample
11 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Westfalia Rhynern win–
Draw–
Bonner SC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Westfalia Rhynern goals, columns are Bonner SC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%5%5%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
14%9%8%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
24%7%7%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
32%4%4%3%1%1%under 1%under 1%
41%2%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.67 goals) and away average (1.83 goals).

Sample. Westfalia Rhynern 11 matches, Bonner SC 10, the league 101, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 24 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 101 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.587.4%12.6%
2.569.9%30.1%
3.548.5%51.5%
4.529.1%70.9%

First-half goals · 101 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.7%24.3%
1.555.3%44.7%
2.518.4%81.6%
3.58.7%91.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Westfalia Rhynern wins
0
Draws
1
Bonner SC wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Westfalia Rhynern clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Bonner SC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Bonner SC v Westfalia RhynernFri, 2 Oct 2026 · Regionalliga West 2026-272–1HT 1–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Westfalia Rhynern at homeDLDWWL
Bonner SC awayLDDD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Westfalia Rhynern at home, Bonner SC away
  • 92%
    Both teams scored
    League 72%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 92%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 88%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 58%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 70%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 46%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 49%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 29%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 3.5
    Avg total goals
    League 3.50
    6 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 29%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 55%
    6 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Westfalia Rhynern at home, Bonner SC away
Westfalia Rhynern (home)Bonner SC (away)
7Position10
DDWWLLast 5, oldest to newestLDDD
6Played4
1.83Points per match0.75
50%Win %0%
2.00Scored / match1.50
1.67Conceded / match1.75
3.67Avg total goals3.25
83%Both scored100%
0%Clean sheets0%
17%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Westfalia RhynernBonner SC
  • 0.831st half scored / match0.75
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.75
  • 1.172nd half scored / match0.75
  • 1.332nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 33%Leading at half-time50%
  • 50%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 33%1st half over 1.525%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 67%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 33%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Westfalia Rhynern at home, Bonner SC away, this season.

Goals

Westfalia RhynernBonner SC
  • 2.00Scored / match1.50
  • 1.67Conceded / match1.75
  • 3.67Match total / match3.25
  • 83%Scored 1+100%
  • 67%Scored 2+25%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 67%Conceded 2+50%
  • 83%Match over 1.5100%
  • 67%Match over 2.550%
  • 67%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Regionalliga West matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.